Incumbent Republican Paul Gosar holds a commanding position in Arizona's 9th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat's strong Republican tilt with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+15 and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles. Both candidates advanced unopposed from the July 21 primaries, leaving Gosar without intra-party opposition while Democrat Dani Sterbinsky, a Navy veteran, mounts the general election challenge. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's western Arizona geography spanning rural and border areas. Limited recent developments, such as Gosar's absence from an August debate attended by Sterbinsky, have not altered the underlying fundamentals. Late shifts could stem from national political waves or unforeseen candidate-specific events before ballots close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoAZ-09 House Election Winner
AZ-09 House Election Winner
$26,127 Vol.
$26,127 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Paul Gosar (R)
95%
Dani Sterbinsky (D)
4%
$26,127 Vol.
$26,127 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Paul Gosar (R)
$10,243 Vol.
95%
Dani Sterbinsky (D)
$15,884 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Paul Gosar holds a commanding position in Arizona's 9th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat's strong Republican tilt with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+15 and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles. Both candidates advanced unopposed from the July 21 primaries, leaving Gosar without intra-party opposition while Democrat Dani Sterbinsky, a Navy veteran, mounts the general election challenge. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's western Arizona geography spanning rural and border areas. Limited recent developments, such as Gosar's absence from an August debate attended by Sterbinsky, have not altered the underlying fundamentals. Late shifts could stem from national political waves or unforeseen candidate-specific events before ballots close.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volume
$26,127Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Paul Gosar holds a commanding position in Arizona's 9th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat's strong Republican tilt with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+15 and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles. Both candidates advanced unopposed from the July 21 primaries, leaving Gosar without intra-party opposition while Democrat Dani Sterbinsky, a Navy veteran, mounts the general election challenge. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's western Arizona geography spanning rural and border areas. Limited recent developments, such as Gosar's absence from an August debate attended by Sterbinsky, have not altered the underlying fundamentals. Late shifts could stem from national political waves or unforeseen candidate-specific events before ballots close.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$26,127Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Paul Gosar holds a commanding position in Arizona's 9th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat's strong Republican tilt with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+15 and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles. Both candidates advanced unopposed from the July 21 primaries, leaving Gosar without intra-party opposition while Democrat Dani Sterbinsky, a Navy veteran, mounts the general election challenge. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's western Arizona geography spanning rural and border areas. Limited recent developments, such as Gosar's absence from an August debate attended by Sterbinsky, have not altered the underlying fundamentals. Late shifts could stem from national political waves or unforeseen candidate-specific events before ballots close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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