Anthropic leads the market-implied odds at 72.5% for the best AI agent by end of November due to its sustained edge in agentic capabilities, including the July 2026 release of Claude Opus 5, which excels on FrontierBench and computer-use tasks while supporting long-running, multi-step workflows with improved memory and subagent coordination. Recent enhancements such as the Claude Agent SDK, context editing tools, and Claude Code Projects have strengthened reliability for complex orchestration, outpacing competitors on benchmarks like OSWorld and SWE-bench. OpenAI’s September 2026 Agents API and workspace agents provide a competitive harness for cloud-based execution, yet trader consensus reflects Anthropic’s stronger positioning in enterprise-grade autonomy and tool integration. Key upcoming catalysts include potential model updates ahead of year-end developer events, though rapid iteration in the space could shift relative capabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiAnthropic 73%
OpenAI 15%
Z.ai 3.6%
Google 2.8%
BARU
BARU
Nov 30, 2026
Anthropic
73%
OpenAI
15%
Z.ai
4%
7%
Meta
2%
SpaceXAI
1%
DeepSeek
1%
MiniMax
1%
Nvidia
1%
Moonshot
1%
Xiaomi
1%
ByteDance
1%
Baidu
1%
Amazon
1%
Mistral
1%
Meituan
1%
Microsoft
1%
Tencent
1%
Alibaba
7%
Anthropic 73%
OpenAI 15%
Z.ai 3.6%
Google 2.8%
BARU
BARU
Nov 30, 2026
Anthropic
$727 Vol.
73%
OpenAI
$372 Vol.
15%
Z.ai
$251 Vol.
4%
$236 Vol.
7%
Meta
$263 Vol.
2%
SpaceXAI
$215 Vol.
1%
DeepSeek
$188 Vol.
1%
MiniMax
$188 Vol.
1%
Nvidia
$188 Vol.
1%
Moonshot
$208 Vol.
1%
Xiaomi
$224 Vol.
1%
ByteDance
$178 Vol.
1%
Baidu
$188 Vol.
1%
Amazon
$188 Vol.
1%
Mistral
$188 Vol.
1%
Meituan
$188 Vol.
1%
Microsoft
$188 Vol.
1%
Tencent
$190 Vol.
1%
Alibaba
$200 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic leads the market-implied odds at 72.5% for the best AI agent by end of November due to its sustained edge in agentic capabilities, including the July 2026 release of Claude Opus 5, which excels on FrontierBench and computer-use tasks while supporting long-running, multi-step workflows with improved memory and subagent coordination. Recent enhancements such as the Claude Agent SDK, context editing tools, and Claude Code Projects have strengthened reliability for complex orchestration, outpacing competitors on benchmarks like OSWorld and SWE-bench. OpenAI’s September 2026 Agents API and workspace agents provide a competitive harness for cloud-based execution, yet trader consensus reflects Anthropic’s stronger positioning in enterprise-grade autonomy and tool integration. Key upcoming catalysts include potential model updates ahead of year-end developer events, though rapid iteration in the space could shift relative capabilities.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 17, 2026, 8:02 PM ET
Volume
$4,570Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 17, 2026, 8:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic leads the market-implied odds at 72.5% for the best AI agent by end of November due to its sustained edge in agentic capabilities, including the July 2026 release of Claude Opus 5, which excels on FrontierBench and computer-use tasks while supporting long-running, multi-step workflows with improved memory and subagent coordination. Recent enhancements such as the Claude Agent SDK, context editing tools, and Claude Code Projects have strengthened reliability for complex orchestration, outpacing competitors on benchmarks like OSWorld and SWE-bench. OpenAI’s September 2026 Agents API and workspace agents provide a competitive harness for cloud-based execution, yet trader consensus reflects Anthropic’s stronger positioning in enterprise-grade autonomy and tool integration. Key upcoming catalysts include potential model updates ahead of year-end developer events, though rapid iteration in the space could shift relative capabilities.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volume
$4,570Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 17, 2026, 8:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic leads the market-implied odds at 72.5% for the best AI agent by end of November due to its sustained edge in agentic capabilities, including the July 2026 release of Claude Opus 5, which excels on FrontierBench and computer-use tasks while supporting long-running, multi-step workflows with improved memory and subagent coordination. Recent enhancements such as the Claude Agent SDK, context editing tools, and Claude Code Projects have strengthened reliability for complex orchestration, outpacing competitors on benchmarks like OSWorld and SWE-bench. OpenAI’s September 2026 Agents API and workspace agents provide a competitive harness for cloud-based execution, yet trader consensus reflects Anthropic’s stronger positioning in enterprise-grade autonomy and tool integration. Key upcoming catalysts include potential model updates ahead of year-end developer events, though rapid iteration in the space could shift relative capabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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