Incumbent Republican Brian Babin holds a commanding 92.5% implied probability in the TX-36 House race due to the district's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+18 Cook PVI and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent statewide contests. Babin secured renomination with 81% in the March primary, maintains substantial cash reserves exceeding $900,000, and faces a Democratic nominee in Rhonda Hart who raised under $7,000 after her primary win. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen national political shift or late developments affecting the incumbent, though structural advantages and historical voting patterns continue to anchor trader consensus.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiTX-36 House Election Winner
TX-36 House Election Winner
$30,119 Vol.
$30,119 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Brian Babin (R)
93%
Rhonda Hart (D)
7%
$30,119 Vol.
$30,119 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Brian Babin (R)
$8,417 Vol.
93%
Rhonda Hart (D)
$21,702 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brian Babin holds a commanding 92.5% implied probability in the TX-36 House race due to the district's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+18 Cook PVI and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent statewide contests. Babin secured renomination with 81% in the March primary, maintains substantial cash reserves exceeding $900,000, and faces a Democratic nominee in Rhonda Hart who raised under $7,000 after her primary win. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen national political shift or late developments affecting the incumbent, though structural advantages and historical voting patterns continue to anchor trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$30,119Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brian Babin holds a commanding 92.5% implied probability in the TX-36 House race due to the district's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+18 Cook PVI and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent statewide contests. Babin secured renomination with 81% in the March primary, maintains substantial cash reserves exceeding $900,000, and faces a Democratic nominee in Rhonda Hart who raised under $7,000 after her primary win. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen national political shift or late developments affecting the incumbent, though structural advantages and historical voting patterns continue to anchor trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$30,119Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brian Babin holds a commanding 92.5% implied probability in the TX-36 House race due to the district's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+18 Cook PVI and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent statewide contests. Babin secured renomination with 81% in the March primary, maintains substantial cash reserves exceeding $900,000, and faces a Democratic nominee in Rhonda Hart who raised under $7,000 after her primary win. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen national political shift or late developments affecting the incumbent, though structural advantages and historical voting patterns continue to anchor trader consensus.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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