**Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) holds the strongest position for second place in Tocantins’ two-seat Senate race, with polls from August 2026 consistently placing him behind frontrunner Eduardo Gomes (PL) while ahead of or tied with Carlos Gaguim (União Brasil).** Multiple surveys, including those by Paraná Pesquisas, Real Time Big Data, and Quaest, show Gomes leading with 14–35% support and Guimarães in the 8–22% range as the clearest challenger, amid high undecided shares (often 30%+) and fragmented support for names like Paulo Mourão, Ronaldo Dimas, and Vanderlei Luxemburgo. Gaguim’s elevated rejection ratings and competition for the same voter base limit his upside, while lower-polling candidates face structural barriers in name recognition and resources. With the October 4 vote approaching, late shifts in undecided voters or campaign momentum on federal funding and state priorities could narrow or widen gaps reflected in current trader pricing.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiAlexandre Guimarães 55%
Gaguim 31.3%
Eduardo Gomes 9.0%
Paulo Mourão 3.3%
$25,761 Vol.
$25,761 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Alexandre Guimarães
55%
Gaguim
31%
Eduardo Gomes
9%
Paulo Mourão
3%
Vanderlei Luxemburgo
3%
Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro
3%
Osvany Luz
1%
Ronaldo Dimas
1%
Eli Borges
1%
Nilton Santos
<1%
Apóstolo Flavio Braga
<1%
Fábio Ribeiro
<1%
Professor Osvaldo
<1%
Alexandre Guimarães 55%
Gaguim 31.3%
Eduardo Gomes 9.0%
Paulo Mourão 3.3%
$25,761 Vol.
$25,761 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Alexandre Guimarães
$13,917 Vol.
55%
Gaguim
$2,842 Vol.
31%
Eduardo Gomes
$1,282 Vol.
9%
Paulo Mourão
$4,410 Vol.
3%
Vanderlei Luxemburgo
$386 Vol.
3%
Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro
$364 Vol.
3%
Osvany Luz
$418 Vol.
1%
Ronaldo Dimas
$342 Vol.
1%
Eli Borges
$489 Vol.
1%
Nilton Santos
$358 Vol.
<1%
Apóstolo Flavio Braga
$357 Vol.
<1%
Fábio Ribeiro
$311 Vol.
<1%
Professor Osvaldo
$284 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) holds the strongest position for second place in Tocantins’ two-seat Senate race, with polls from August 2026 consistently placing him behind frontrunner Eduardo Gomes (PL) while ahead of or tied with Carlos Gaguim (União Brasil).** Multiple surveys, including those by Paraná Pesquisas, Real Time Big Data, and Quaest, show Gomes leading with 14–35% support and Guimarães in the 8–22% range as the clearest challenger, amid high undecided shares (often 30%+) and fragmented support for names like Paulo Mourão, Ronaldo Dimas, and Vanderlei Luxemburgo. Gaguim’s elevated rejection ratings and competition for the same voter base limit his upside, while lower-polling candidates face structural barriers in name recognition and resources. With the October 4 vote approaching, late shifts in undecided voters or campaign momentum on federal funding and state priorities could narrow or widen gaps reflected in current trader pricing.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ET
Volume
$25,761Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) holds the strongest position for second place in Tocantins’ two-seat Senate race, with polls from August 2026 consistently placing him behind frontrunner Eduardo Gomes (PL) while ahead of or tied with Carlos Gaguim (União Brasil).** Multiple surveys, including those by Paraná Pesquisas, Real Time Big Data, and Quaest, show Gomes leading with 14–35% support and Guimarães in the 8–22% range as the clearest challenger, amid high undecided shares (often 30%+) and fragmented support for names like Paulo Mourão, Ronaldo Dimas, and Vanderlei Luxemburgo. Gaguim’s elevated rejection ratings and competition for the same voter base limit his upside, while lower-polling candidates face structural barriers in name recognition and resources. With the October 4 vote approaching, late shifts in undecided voters or campaign momentum on federal funding and state priorities could narrow or widen gaps reflected in current trader pricing.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$25,761Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) holds the strongest position for second place in Tocantins’ two-seat Senate race, with polls from August 2026 consistently placing him behind frontrunner Eduardo Gomes (PL) while ahead of or tied with Carlos Gaguim (União Brasil).** Multiple surveys, including those by Paraná Pesquisas, Real Time Big Data, and Quaest, show Gomes leading with 14–35% support and Guimarães in the 8–22% range as the clearest challenger, amid high undecided shares (often 30%+) and fragmented support for names like Paulo Mourão, Ronaldo Dimas, and Vanderlei Luxemburgo. Gaguim’s elevated rejection ratings and competition for the same voter base limit his upside, while lower-polling candidates face structural barriers in name recognition and resources. With the October 4 vote approaching, late shifts in undecided voters or campaign momentum on federal funding and state priorities could narrow or widen gaps reflected in current trader pricing.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan