Recent AIME26 and TextArena math leaderboard results show Chinese labs like Z.ai’s GLM-5.2 and Moonshot’s Kimi models posting top scores near 99%, while Anthropic’s Claude Fable series maintains strength in arena Elo and OpenAI advances agent-based math solving. This tight clustering of frontier performance across Western and Asian providers has fragmented trader views on the second-place slot by end-October, with no single lab pulling decisively ahead on uncontaminated competition math. Key swing factors include imminent model updates, chain-of-thought refinements, and any new releases that could shift head-to-head preferences before the cutoff.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiOpenAI 39%
Anthropic 31%
Google 23%
Alibaba 4%
$50,975 Vol.
$50,975 Vol.
Oct 31, 2026
OpenAI
39%
Anthropic
31%
23%
Alibaba
4%
Baidu
2%
Moonshot
1%
Z.ai
1%
SpaceXAI
1%
Meta
1%
DeepSeek
1%
Xiaomi
1%
Meituan
1%
ByteDance
1%
StepFun
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Tencent
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Mistral
<1%
OpenAI 39%
Anthropic 31%
Google 23%
Alibaba 4%
$50,975 Vol.
$50,975 Vol.
Oct 31, 2026
OpenAI
$3,830 Vol.
39%
Anthropic
$4,130 Vol.
31%
$32,364 Vol.
23%
Alibaba
$1,311 Vol.
4%
Baidu
$567 Vol.
2%
Moonshot
$561 Vol.
1%
Z.ai
$659 Vol.
1%
SpaceXAI
$557 Vol.
1%
Meta
$571 Vol.
1%
DeepSeek
$596 Vol.
1%
Xiaomi
$538 Vol.
1%
Meituan
$889 Vol.
1%
ByteDance
$606 Vol.
1%
StepFun
$591 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$632 Vol.
<1%
Tencent
$601 Vol.
<1%
Microsoft
$747 Vol.
<1%
Nvidia
$521 Vol.
<1%
MiniMax
$370 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$336 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Recent AIME26 and TextArena math leaderboard results show Chinese labs like Z.ai’s GLM-5.2 and Moonshot’s Kimi models posting top scores near 99%, while Anthropic’s Claude Fable series maintains strength in arena Elo and OpenAI advances agent-based math solving. This tight clustering of frontier performance across Western and Asian providers has fragmented trader views on the second-place slot by end-October, with no single lab pulling decisively ahead on uncontaminated competition math. Key swing factors include imminent model updates, chain-of-thought refinements, and any new releases that could shift head-to-head preferences before the cutoff.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 12, 2026, 7:53 PM ET
Volume
$50,975Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 12, 2026, 7:53 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Recent AIME26 and TextArena math leaderboard results show Chinese labs like Z.ai’s GLM-5.2 and Moonshot’s Kimi models posting top scores near 99%, while Anthropic’s Claude Fable series maintains strength in arena Elo and OpenAI advances agent-based math solving. This tight clustering of frontier performance across Western and Asian providers has fragmented trader views on the second-place slot by end-October, with no single lab pulling decisively ahead on uncontaminated competition math. Key swing factors include imminent model updates, chain-of-thought refinements, and any new releases that could shift head-to-head preferences before the cutoff.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$50,975Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 12, 2026, 7:53 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent AIME26 and TextArena math leaderboard results show Chinese labs like Z.ai’s GLM-5.2 and Moonshot’s Kimi models posting top scores near 99%, while Anthropic’s Claude Fable series maintains strength in arena Elo and OpenAI advances agent-based math solving. This tight clustering of frontier performance across Western and Asian providers has fragmented trader views on the second-place slot by end-October, with no single lab pulling decisively ahead on uncontaminated competition math. Key swing factors include imminent model updates, chain-of-thought refinements, and any new releases that could shift head-to-head preferences before the cutoff.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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