OpenAI’s September 2026 announcement that its unreleased Astra model and 10,000 AI agents solved the Navier–Stokes existence and smoothness problem—one of the Clay Millennium Prize questions—in 88 hours has sharply lifted trader expectations for additional major breakthroughs before year-end. This follows OpenAI’s August report of ten substantial advances across geometry, group theory, and combinatorics, plus Anthropic’s Claude-driven improvements to Riemann zeta function bounds and Google DeepMind’s ongoing IMO-level and research-agent work. Labs are rapidly scaling multi-agent systems and inference-time compute on open problems, though independent verification of formal proofs remains a key uncertainty. Traders are watching for further Millennium or Erdős-problem resolutions and competitive model releases that could shift implied probabilities on markets like the Riemann hypothesis or P versus NP.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiBARU
Dec 31, 2026
Hodge Conjecture
56%
Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer
56%
Legendre's Conjecture
50%
Yang-Mills
50%
Collatz Conjecture
50%
Strong Goldbach Conjecture
50%
Twin Prime Conjecture
50%
Odd Perfect Number
50%
Hadwiger-Nelson Problem
50%
Hadamard Matrix Conjecture
50%
Beal's Conjecture
50%
Ramsey Number R(5,5)
50%
Riemann Hypothesis
50%
P versus NP
34%
$393 Vol.
Hodge Conjecture
$315 Vol.
56%
Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer
$0 Vol.
56%
Legendre's Conjecture
$0 Vol.
50%
Yang-Mills
$0 Vol.
50%
Collatz Conjecture
$0 Vol.
50%
Strong Goldbach Conjecture
$0 Vol.
50%
Twin Prime Conjecture
$0 Vol.
50%
Odd Perfect Number
$0 Vol.
50%
Hadwiger-Nelson Problem
$0 Vol.
50%
Hadamard Matrix Conjecture
$0 Vol.
50%
Beal's Conjecture
$0 Vol.
50%
Ramsey Number R(5,5)
$0 Vol.
50%
Riemann Hypothesis
$0 Vol.
50%
P versus NP
$78 Vol.
34%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an eligible AI lab announces a solution to the problem specified in the title by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem specified in the title has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from the Clay Mathematics Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s September 2026 announcement that its unreleased Astra model and 10,000 AI agents solved the Navier–Stokes existence and smoothness problem—one of the Clay Millennium Prize questions—in 88 hours has sharply lifted trader expectations for additional major breakthroughs before year-end. This follows OpenAI’s August report of ten substantial advances across geometry, group theory, and combinatorics, plus Anthropic’s Claude-driven improvements to Riemann zeta function bounds and Google DeepMind’s ongoing IMO-level and research-agent work. Labs are rapidly scaling multi-agent systems and inference-time compute on open problems, though independent verification of formal proofs remains a key uncertainty. Traders are watching for further Millennium or Erdős-problem resolutions and competitive model releases that could shift implied probabilities on markets like the Riemann hypothesis or P versus NP.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an eligible AI lab announces a solution to the problem specified in the title by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem specified in the title has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from the Clay Mathematics Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem specified in the title has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from the Clay Mathematics Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 9, 2026, 3:44 PM ET
Volume
$393Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Sep 9, 2026, 3:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an eligible AI lab announces a solution to the problem specified in the title by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem specified in the title has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from the Clay Mathematics Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s September 2026 announcement that its unreleased Astra model and 10,000 AI agents solved the Navier–Stokes existence and smoothness problem—one of the Clay Millennium Prize questions—in 88 hours has sharply lifted trader expectations for additional major breakthroughs before year-end. This follows OpenAI’s August report of ten substantial advances across geometry, group theory, and combinatorics, plus Anthropic’s Claude-driven improvements to Riemann zeta function bounds and Google DeepMind’s ongoing IMO-level and research-agent work. Labs are rapidly scaling multi-agent systems and inference-time compute on open problems, though independent verification of formal proofs remains a key uncertainty. Traders are watching for further Millennium or Erdős-problem resolutions and competitive model releases that could shift implied probabilities on markets like the Riemann hypothesis or P versus NP.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an eligible AI lab announces a solution to the problem specified in the title by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem specified in the title has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from the Clay Mathematics Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem specified in the title has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from the Clay Mathematics Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$393Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Sep 9, 2026, 3:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s September 2026 announcement that its unreleased Astra model and 10,000 AI agents solved the Navier–Stokes existence and smoothness problem—one of the Clay Millennium Prize questions—in 88 hours has sharply lifted trader expectations for additional major breakthroughs before year-end. This follows OpenAI’s August report of ten substantial advances across geometry, group theory, and combinatorics, plus Anthropic’s Claude-driven improvements to Riemann zeta function bounds and Google DeepMind’s ongoing IMO-level and research-agent work. Labs are rapidly scaling multi-agent systems and inference-time compute on open problems, though independent verification of formal proofs remains a key uncertainty. Traders are watching for further Millennium or Erdős-problem resolutions and competitive model releases that could shift implied probabilities on markets like the Riemann hypothesis or P versus NP.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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