The Roraima Senate contest features two seats decided by voters selecting up to two candidates each on October 4, creating fluid dynamics for second place amid a fragmented field of 13 contenders. Recent surveys, including a mid-September Real Time Big Data poll and an earlier Quaest survey, show Teresa Surita (MDB) leading overall vote intentions while Nicoletti (PL), Helena da Asatur (PSD), and incumbent Chico Rodrigues (PSB) cluster closely behind, with high undecided shares and second-preference volatility keeping the ordering uncertain. Trader pricing reflects this tightness, with Nicoletti holding the strongest implied position for second amid limited differentiation on name recognition, regional bases, and minor alliance effects. Late consolidation of undecided voters or turnout shifts among smaller candidates could reorder the finish.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiNicoletti 44.4%
Teresa Surita 29%
Helena da Asatur 8.3%
Chico Rodrigues 5.2%
$68,655 Vol.
$68,655 Vol.

Nicoletti
47%

Teresa Surita
29%

Helena da Asatur
8%

Chico Rodrigues
5%

Helio Bolsonaro
5%

Mario Rocha
<1%

Bartô Macuxi
<1%

Hilton Xavier
<1%

Hiperion de Oliveira
<1%

Márcio Junqueira
<1%

Pastor Isamar
<1%

Regina Tio Ivo
<1%

Rogério Miranda
<1%
Nicoletti 44.4%
Teresa Surita 29%
Helena da Asatur 8.3%
Chico Rodrigues 5.2%
$68,655 Vol.
$68,655 Vol.

Nicoletti
47%

Teresa Surita
29%

Helena da Asatur
8%

Chico Rodrigues
5%

Helio Bolsonaro
5%

Mario Rocha
<1%

Bartô Macuxi
<1%

Hilton Xavier
<1%

Hiperion de Oliveira
<1%

Márcio Junqueira
<1%

Pastor Isamar
<1%

Regina Tio Ivo
<1%

Rogério Miranda
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Roraima Senate contest features two seats decided by voters selecting up to two candidates each on October 4, creating fluid dynamics for second place amid a fragmented field of 13 contenders. Recent surveys, including a mid-September Real Time Big Data poll and an earlier Quaest survey, show Teresa Surita (MDB) leading overall vote intentions while Nicoletti (PL), Helena da Asatur (PSD), and incumbent Chico Rodrigues (PSB) cluster closely behind, with high undecided shares and second-preference volatility keeping the ordering uncertain. Trader pricing reflects this tightness, with Nicoletti holding the strongest implied position for second amid limited differentiation on name recognition, regional bases, and minor alliance effects. Late consolidation of undecided voters or turnout shifts among smaller candidates could reorder the finish.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui


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