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icon for Rio Grande do Sul Senate Election: 2nd Place
Politik·Brasil

Rio Grande do Sul Senate Election: 2nd Place

icon for Rio Grande do Sul Senate Election: 2nd Place
Politik·Brasil

Rio Grande do Sul Senate Election: 2nd Place

Manuela D'Ávila 33%

Marcel Van Hattem 27%

Rigotto 25%

Pimenta 11%

Polymarket

$34,663 Vol.

Manuela D'Ávila 33%

Marcel Van Hattem 27%

Rigotto 25%

Pimenta 11%

Polymarket

$34,663 Vol.

icon for Manuela D'Ávila

Manuela D'Ávila

$8,524 Vol.

33%

icon for Marcel Van Hattem

Marcel Van Hattem

$11,456 Vol.

27%

icon for Rigotto

Rigotto

$3,843 Vol.

25%

icon for Pimenta

Pimenta

$2,574 Vol.

11%

icon for Sanderson

Sanderson

$1,837 Vol.

3%

icon for Tania Peres

Tania Peres

$1,032 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ric Jones

Ric Jones

$954 Vol.

<1%

icon for Frederico Antunes

Frederico Antunes

$753 Vol.

<1%

icon for Luciano do MLB

Luciano do MLB

$1,089 Vol.

<1%

icon for Milton Cardoso

Milton Cardoso

$340 Vol.

<1%

icon for Regis Ethur

Regis Ethur

$419 Vol.

<1%

icon for Renato Jaguarão

Renato Jaguarão

$830 Vol.

<1%

icon for Daniela Mulheres Socialistas

Daniela Mulheres Socialistas

$1,013 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from institutes including Real Time Big Data and Quaest shows a tight contest for the two Senate seats in Rio Grande do Sul, with Manuela D'Ávila (PSOL), Marcel Van Hattem (Novo), Germano Rigotto (MDB), Paulo Pimenta (PT), and Ubiratã Sanderson (PL) clustered within margins of error across multiple surveys conducted through late August. High shares of undecided voters and the mechanics of distributing first- and second-choice votes keep second-place positioning fluid. The current market pricing reflects this statistical deadlock, as no candidate has established a durable lead in the final weeks before the October 4 vote. Further debates, shifts in coalition endorsements, or turnout patterns among key regional blocs could alter the ordering among the frontrunners.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$34,663
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from institutes including Real Time Big Data and Quaest shows a tight contest for the two Senate seats in Rio Grande do Sul, with Manuela D'Ávila (PSOL), Marcel Van Hattem (Novo), Germano Rigotto (MDB), Paulo Pimenta (PT), and Ubiratã Sanderson (PL) clustered within margins of error across multiple surveys conducted through late August. High shares of undecided voters and the mechanics of distributing first- and second-choice votes keep second-place positioning fluid. The current market pricing reflects this statistical deadlock, as no candidate has established a durable lead in the final weeks before the October 4 vote. Further debates, shifts in coalition endorsements, or turnout patterns among key regional blocs could alter the ordering among the frontrunners.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$34,663
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Terkait

icon for Will Marcel Van Hattem win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?

Will Marcel Van Hattem win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?

59%
icon for Will Zenaide Maia win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?

Will Zenaide Maia win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?

48%
icon for Will Marcelo Crivella win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?

Will Marcelo Crivella win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?

57%

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Rio Grande do Sul Senate Election: 2nd Place" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 13 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Manuela D'Ávila" di 33%, diikuti oleh "Marcel Van Hattem" di 27%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 33¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 33% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Rio Grande do Sul Senate Election: 2nd Place" telah menghasilkan $34.7K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Aug 17, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Rio Grande do Sul Senate Election: 2nd Place," jelajahi 13 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Rio Grande do Sul Senate Election: 2nd Place" adalah "Manuela D'Ávila" di 33%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 33% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Marcel Van Hattem" di 27%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Rio Grande do Sul Senate Election: 2nd Place" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.