Recent Real Time Big Data polling from early September shows Rayssa Furlan (Podemos) leading Senate intentions in Amapá at 33%, ahead of Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) at 20% and Lucas Barreto (PSD) at 14%, with the remaining registered candidates trailing further. Her position benefits from alignment with Dr. Furlan (PSD), who holds a commanding 62% lead in the concurrent gubernatorial race, creating potential coattails effects across the majoritarian ticket. Earlier surveys from June and August reflected similar patterns, with Furlan consistently ahead in first-preference and consolidated vote scenarios for the two available seats. Traders appear to price her elevated probability for first place on this sustained polling advantage and ticket strength heading into the October election, while lower odds on other names reflect their weaker survey performance and limited momentum.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiRayssa Furlan 81%
Randolfe 6.4%
Lucas Barreto 3.5%
Alliny Serrão <1%
$33,027 Vol.
$33,027 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Rayssa Furlan
81%
Randolfe
6%
Lucas Barreto
4%
Alliny Serrão
1%
Acácio Favacho
<1%
Helio Silva
<1%
Juíza Jô
<1%
Professor Uzian Pinto
<1%
Capi
<1%
Rayssa Furlan 81%
Randolfe 6.4%
Lucas Barreto 3.5%
Alliny Serrão <1%
$33,027 Vol.
$33,027 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Rayssa Furlan
$24,894 Vol.
81%
Randolfe
$1,437 Vol.
6%
Lucas Barreto
$1,386 Vol.
4%
Alliny Serrão
$1,207 Vol.
1%
Acácio Favacho
$879 Vol.
<1%
Helio Silva
$573 Vol.
<1%
Juíza Jô
$952 Vol.
<1%
Professor Uzian Pinto
$947 Vol.
<1%
Capi
$751 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent Real Time Big Data polling from early September shows Rayssa Furlan (Podemos) leading Senate intentions in Amapá at 33%, ahead of Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) at 20% and Lucas Barreto (PSD) at 14%, with the remaining registered candidates trailing further. Her position benefits from alignment with Dr. Furlan (PSD), who holds a commanding 62% lead in the concurrent gubernatorial race, creating potential coattails effects across the majoritarian ticket. Earlier surveys from June and August reflected similar patterns, with Furlan consistently ahead in first-preference and consolidated vote scenarios for the two available seats. Traders appear to price her elevated probability for first place on this sustained polling advantage and ticket strength heading into the October election, while lower odds on other names reflect their weaker survey performance and limited momentum.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ET
Volume
$33,027Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent Real Time Big Data polling from early September shows Rayssa Furlan (Podemos) leading Senate intentions in Amapá at 33%, ahead of Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) at 20% and Lucas Barreto (PSD) at 14%, with the remaining registered candidates trailing further. Her position benefits from alignment with Dr. Furlan (PSD), who holds a commanding 62% lead in the concurrent gubernatorial race, creating potential coattails effects across the majoritarian ticket. Earlier surveys from June and August reflected similar patterns, with Furlan consistently ahead in first-preference and consolidated vote scenarios for the two available seats. Traders appear to price her elevated probability for first place on this sustained polling advantage and ticket strength heading into the October election, while lower odds on other names reflect their weaker survey performance and limited momentum.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$33,027Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Real Time Big Data polling from early September shows Rayssa Furlan (Podemos) leading Senate intentions in Amapá at 33%, ahead of Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) at 20% and Lucas Barreto (PSD) at 14%, with the remaining registered candidates trailing further. Her position benefits from alignment with Dr. Furlan (PSD), who holds a commanding 62% lead in the concurrent gubernatorial race, creating potential coattails effects across the majoritarian ticket. Earlier surveys from June and August reflected similar patterns, with Furlan consistently ahead in first-preference and consolidated vote scenarios for the two available seats. Traders appear to price her elevated probability for first place on this sustained polling advantage and ticket strength heading into the October election, while lower odds on other names reflect their weaker survey performance and limited momentum.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan