Netanyahu’s sustained public commitment to leading Likud through the October 27 Knesset election, combined with repeated statements that he intends to remain party chairman and serve as opposition leader if necessary, underpins trader expectations that he will not withdraw. Recent polling shows his bloc holding steady near or slightly above 54 seats despite ongoing scrutiny of October 7 security failures and campaign attacks from rivals such as Gadi Eisenkot. No primary-source developments, including health reports, legal rulings, or internal party challenges, indicate an impending exit, and the prime minister has continued active campaigning and coalition coordination. While a sudden medical event, major scandal, or unforeseen personal circumstance could theoretically alter the timeline before election day, current evidence points to entrenched participation rather than departure.