Bob Onder, the Republican incumbent, secured his party's nomination in the August 2026 primary with 66 percent of the vote and enters the November general election as the clear frontrunner in Missouri's 3rd Congressional District. The district's consistent Republican tilt, demonstrated by Onder's 61 percent victory margin in 2024, combined with his substantial fundraising edge and endorsements from agricultural and conservative groups, underpins trader consensus around a strong hold. Race forecasters rate the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. Potential shifts could stem from late legal rulings on the ongoing redistricting litigation, where Onder is seeking to preserve the primary-used map, unusually low turnout, or unforeseen national political developments that alter voter priorities before Election Day.
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MO-03 House Election Winner
$31,447 Vol.
$31,447 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Bob Onder (R)
93%
Bethany Mann (D)
3%
$31,447 Vol.
$31,447 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Bob Onder (R)
$13,047 Vol.
93%
Bethany Mann (D)
$18,400 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Bob Onder, the Republican incumbent, secured his party's nomination in the August 2026 primary with 66 percent of the vote and enters the November general election as the clear frontrunner in Missouri's 3rd Congressional District. The district's consistent Republican tilt, demonstrated by Onder's 61 percent victory margin in 2024, combined with his substantial fundraising edge and endorsements from agricultural and conservative groups, underpins trader consensus around a strong hold. Race forecasters rate the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. Potential shifts could stem from late legal rulings on the ongoing redistricting litigation, where Onder is seeking to preserve the primary-used map, unusually low turnout, or unforeseen national political developments that alter voter priorities before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$31,447Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Bob Onder, the Republican incumbent, secured his party's nomination in the August 2026 primary with 66 percent of the vote and enters the November general election as the clear frontrunner in Missouri's 3rd Congressional District. The district's consistent Republican tilt, demonstrated by Onder's 61 percent victory margin in 2024, combined with his substantial fundraising edge and endorsements from agricultural and conservative groups, underpins trader consensus around a strong hold. Race forecasters rate the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. Potential shifts could stem from late legal rulings on the ongoing redistricting litigation, where Onder is seeking to preserve the primary-used map, unusually low turnout, or unforeseen national political developments that alter voter priorities before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$31,447Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Bob Onder, the Republican incumbent, secured his party's nomination in the August 2026 primary with 66 percent of the vote and enters the November general election as the clear frontrunner in Missouri's 3rd Congressional District. The district's consistent Republican tilt, demonstrated by Onder's 61 percent victory margin in 2024, combined with his substantial fundraising edge and endorsements from agricultural and conservative groups, underpins trader consensus around a strong hold. Race forecasters rate the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. Potential shifts could stem from late legal rulings on the ongoing redistricting litigation, where Onder is seeking to preserve the primary-used map, unusually low turnout, or unforeseen national political developments that alter voter priorities before Election Day.
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