Chris Stigall secured the Republican nomination for Missouri’s 6th Congressional District after winning the August 4 primary with 44 percent of the vote, backed by retiring incumbent Sam Graves. The district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+13 to R+19 Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Solid” or “Safe” ratings from forecasters, underpins trader consensus for Stigall’s general-election victory on November 3. Democrat Josh Smead advanced from his primary but faces structural disadvantages in a seat where Republican presidential candidates have posted double-digit margins in recent cycles. Limited polling and the absence of major developments since the primaries reinforce the current pricing, though late-cycle national shifts, turnout surprises in suburban areas added by redistricting, or candidate-specific events remain the primary variables that could narrow the outcome.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiMO-06 House Election Winner
MO-06 House Election Winner
$43,095 Vol.
$43,095 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Chris Stigall (R)
95%
Josh Smead (D)
6%
$43,095 Vol.
$43,095 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Chris Stigall (R)
$27,455 Vol.
95%
Josh Smead (D)
$15,640 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Chris Stigall secured the Republican nomination for Missouri’s 6th Congressional District after winning the August 4 primary with 44 percent of the vote, backed by retiring incumbent Sam Graves. The district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+13 to R+19 Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Solid” or “Safe” ratings from forecasters, underpins trader consensus for Stigall’s general-election victory on November 3. Democrat Josh Smead advanced from his primary but faces structural disadvantages in a seat where Republican presidential candidates have posted double-digit margins in recent cycles. Limited polling and the absence of major developments since the primaries reinforce the current pricing, though late-cycle national shifts, turnout surprises in suburban areas added by redistricting, or candidate-specific events remain the primary variables that could narrow the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$43,095Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Chris Stigall secured the Republican nomination for Missouri’s 6th Congressional District after winning the August 4 primary with 44 percent of the vote, backed by retiring incumbent Sam Graves. The district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+13 to R+19 Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Solid” or “Safe” ratings from forecasters, underpins trader consensus for Stigall’s general-election victory on November 3. Democrat Josh Smead advanced from his primary but faces structural disadvantages in a seat where Republican presidential candidates have posted double-digit margins in recent cycles. Limited polling and the absence of major developments since the primaries reinforce the current pricing, though late-cycle national shifts, turnout surprises in suburban areas added by redistricting, or candidate-specific events remain the primary variables that could narrow the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$43,095Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Chris Stigall secured the Republican nomination for Missouri’s 6th Congressional District after winning the August 4 primary with 44 percent of the vote, backed by retiring incumbent Sam Graves. The district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+13 to R+19 Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Solid” or “Safe” ratings from forecasters, underpins trader consensus for Stigall’s general-election victory on November 3. Democrat Josh Smead advanced from his primary but faces structural disadvantages in a seat where Republican presidential candidates have posted double-digit margins in recent cycles. Limited polling and the absence of major developments since the primaries reinforce the current pricing, though late-cycle national shifts, turnout surprises in suburban areas added by redistricting, or candidate-specific events remain the primary variables that could narrow the outcome.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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