The competitive toss-up between Democrat Abdul El-Sayed and Republican Mike Rogers for Michigan’s open U.S. Senate seat drives trader expectations for solid midterm turnout. Recent polling shows a narrow race with margins inside the margin of error, energizing both parties’ bases and independents around economic concerns such as auto tariffs and manufacturing. The August Democratic primary drew record participation exceeding 2.5 million voters, signaling sustained engagement that could carry into the general election. Michigan’s established patterns of reliable midterm turnout, supported by expanded early and absentee voting options, support probabilities clustering in the 4.6–5 million range without evident catalysts for record highs or sharp drops.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiMichigan Senate Election: Turnout
Michigan Senate Election: Turnout
4.6M-4.8M 45.1%
4.8M-5M 20%
4.4M-4.6M 20%
5.6M+ 5.3%
BARU
BARU
Nov 3, 2026
<4.2M
3%
4.2M-4.4M
1%
4.4M-4.6M
20%
4.6M-4.8M
45%
4.8M-5M
20%
5M-5.2M
12%
5.2M-5.4M
1%
5.4M-5.6M
1%
5.6M+
5%
4.6M-4.8M 45.1%
4.8M-5M 20%
4.4M-4.6M 20%
5.6M+ 5.3%
BARU
BARU
Nov 3, 2026
<4.2M
$278 Vol.
3%
4.2M-4.4M
$249 Vol.
1%
4.4M-4.6M
$2,010 Vol.
20%
4.6M-4.8M
$750 Vol.
45%
4.8M-5M
$1,840 Vol.
20%
5M-5.2M
$251 Vol.
12%
5.2M-5.4M
$2,410 Vol.
1%
5.4M-5.6M
$1,307 Vol.
1%
5.6M+
$463 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The competitive toss-up between Democrat Abdul El-Sayed and Republican Mike Rogers for Michigan’s open U.S. Senate seat drives trader expectations for solid midterm turnout. Recent polling shows a narrow race with margins inside the margin of error, energizing both parties’ bases and independents around economic concerns such as auto tariffs and manufacturing. The August Democratic primary drew record participation exceeding 2.5 million voters, signaling sustained engagement that could carry into the general election. Michigan’s established patterns of reliable midterm turnout, supported by expanded early and absentee voting options, support probabilities clustering in the 4.6–5 million range without evident catalysts for record highs or sharp drops.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 18, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
Volume
$9,557Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 18, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The competitive toss-up between Democrat Abdul El-Sayed and Republican Mike Rogers for Michigan’s open U.S. Senate seat drives trader expectations for solid midterm turnout. Recent polling shows a narrow race with margins inside the margin of error, energizing both parties’ bases and independents around economic concerns such as auto tariffs and manufacturing. The August Democratic primary drew record participation exceeding 2.5 million voters, signaling sustained engagement that could carry into the general election. Michigan’s established patterns of reliable midterm turnout, supported by expanded early and absentee voting options, support probabilities clustering in the 4.6–5 million range without evident catalysts for record highs or sharp drops.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$9,557Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 18, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The competitive toss-up between Democrat Abdul El-Sayed and Republican Mike Rogers for Michigan’s open U.S. Senate seat drives trader expectations for solid midterm turnout. Recent polling shows a narrow race with margins inside the margin of error, energizing both parties’ bases and independents around economic concerns such as auto tariffs and manufacturing. The August Democratic primary drew record participation exceeding 2.5 million voters, signaling sustained engagement that could carry into the general election. Michigan’s established patterns of reliable midterm turnout, supported by expanded early and absentee voting options, support probabilities clustering in the 4.6–5 million range without evident catalysts for record highs or sharp drops.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiTerkait
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