Low historical participation in Alabama's off-year elections and the U.S. Senate race's status as a safe Republican hold shape trader emphasis on the 1.4M-1.6M vote range. Registered voters total roughly 3.6-3.8 million, yet recent primaries and the June 2026 runoff saw turnout of 23% and 10.7% respectively, reflecting a long-term decline. With Republican nominee Barry Moore holding a substantial lead over Democrat Everett Wess, limited Democratic mobilization and modest overall interest keep probabilities clustered tightly. National events, intensified get-out-the-vote efforts, or shifts in perceived competitiveness before November 3 could alter participation and widen the distribution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiAlabama Senate Election: Turnout
Alabama Senate Election: Turnout
1.5M-1.6M 36%
1.4M-1.5M 30%
1.6M-1.7M 15.8%
1.8M+ 5.4%
$10,029 Vol.
$10,029 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
<1.2M
1%
1.2M-1.3M
3%
1.3M-1.4M
3%
1.4M-1.5M
30%
1.5M-1.6M
36%
1.6M-1.7M
26%
1.7M-1.8M
6%
1.8M+
5%
1.5M-1.6M 36%
1.4M-1.5M 30%
1.6M-1.7M 15.8%
1.8M+ 5.4%
$10,029 Vol.
$10,029 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
<1.2M
$1,401 Vol.
1%
1.2M-1.3M
$1,136 Vol.
3%
1.3M-1.4M
$602 Vol.
3%
1.4M-1.5M
$890 Vol.
30%
1.5M-1.6M
$1,300 Vol.
36%
1.6M-1.7M
$909 Vol.
26%
1.7M-1.8M
$494 Vol.
6%
1.8M+
$3,298 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Low historical participation in Alabama's off-year elections and the U.S. Senate race's status as a safe Republican hold shape trader emphasis on the 1.4M-1.6M vote range. Registered voters total roughly 3.6-3.8 million, yet recent primaries and the June 2026 runoff saw turnout of 23% and 10.7% respectively, reflecting a long-term decline. With Republican nominee Barry Moore holding a substantial lead over Democrat Everett Wess, limited Democratic mobilization and modest overall interest keep probabilities clustered tightly. National events, intensified get-out-the-vote efforts, or shifts in perceived competitiveness before November 3 could alter participation and widen the distribution.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 18, 2026, 10:09 AM ET
Volume
$10,029Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 18, 2026, 10:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Low historical participation in Alabama's off-year elections and the U.S. Senate race's status as a safe Republican hold shape trader emphasis on the 1.4M-1.6M vote range. Registered voters total roughly 3.6-3.8 million, yet recent primaries and the June 2026 runoff saw turnout of 23% and 10.7% respectively, reflecting a long-term decline. With Republican nominee Barry Moore holding a substantial lead over Democrat Everett Wess, limited Democratic mobilization and modest overall interest keep probabilities clustered tightly. National events, intensified get-out-the-vote efforts, or shifts in perceived competitiveness before November 3 could alter participation and widen the distribution.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$10,029Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 18, 2026, 10:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Low historical participation in Alabama's off-year elections and the U.S. Senate race's status as a safe Republican hold shape trader emphasis on the 1.4M-1.6M vote range. Registered voters total roughly 3.6-3.8 million, yet recent primaries and the June 2026 runoff saw turnout of 23% and 10.7% respectively, reflecting a long-term decline. With Republican nominee Barry Moore holding a substantial lead over Democrat Everett Wess, limited Democratic mobilization and modest overall interest keep probabilities clustered tightly. National events, intensified get-out-the-vote efforts, or shifts in perceived competitiveness before November 3 could alter participation and widen the distribution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiTerkait
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