Colorado's universal mail-in voting system, which drove primary participation near 36% amid a competitive Democratic Senate contest, continues to underpin expectations for general election turnout among roughly 4 million active registered voters. With the November 3 contest rated safe Democratic and featuring limited national polarization, trader consensus centers on the 2.55M-2.7M range as turnout aligns with recent midterm patterns adjusted for population growth rather than producing a surge. Early voting volume, demographic differentials, and any late mobilization among unaffiliated or younger voters remain the primary variables that could shift probabilities within the clustered mid-range outcomes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiColorado Senate Election: Turnout
2.55M-2.7M 54%
2.7M-2.85M 22%
2.4M-2.55M 18%
2.85M-3M 5.5%
<2.1M
1%
2.1M-2.25M
3%
2.25M-2.4M
3%
2.4M-2.55M
18%
2.55M-2.7M
54%
2.7M-2.85M
22%
2.85M-3M
6%
3M+
1%
2.55M-2.7M 54%
2.7M-2.85M 22%
2.4M-2.55M 18%
2.85M-3M 5.5%
<2.1M
1%
2.1M-2.25M
3%
2.25M-2.4M
3%
2.4M-2.55M
18%
2.55M-2.7M
54%
2.7M-2.85M
22%
2.85M-3M
6%
3M+
1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Colorado, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 18, 2026, 10:07 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Colorado, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Colorado's universal mail-in voting system, which drove primary participation near 36% amid a competitive Democratic Senate contest, continues to underpin expectations for general election turnout among roughly 4 million active registered voters. With the November 3 contest rated safe Democratic and featuring limited national polarization, trader consensus centers on the 2.55M-2.7M range as turnout aligns with recent midterm patterns adjusted for population growth rather than producing a surge. Early voting volume, demographic differentials, and any late mobilization among unaffiliated or younger voters remain the primary variables that could shift probabilities within the clustered mid-range outcomes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui



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