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icon for Kentucky Senate Election: Turnout
Politik·Jumlah Pemilih

Kentucky Senate Election: Turnout

icon for Kentucky Senate Election: Turnout
Politik·Jumlah Pemilih

Kentucky Senate Election: Turnout

1.3M-1.4M 32%

1.7M-1.8M 19%

1.4M-1.5M 17%

1.6M-1.7M 13%

Polymarket
BARU

1.3M-1.4M 32%

1.7M-1.8M 19%

1.4M-1.5M 17%

1.6M-1.7M 13%

Polymarket
BARU

<1.2M

$1,409 Vol.

1%

1.2M-1.3M

$45 Vol.

7%

1.3M-1.4M

$144 Vol.

32%

1.4M-1.5M

$28 Vol.

17%

1.5M-1.6M

$45 Vol.

8%

1.6M-1.7M

$28 Vol.

13%

1.7M-1.8M

$28 Vol.

19%

1.8M+

$183 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The open U.S. Senate seat after Mitch McConnell's retirement has elevated visibility for the November 3 contest between Republican Andy Barr and Democrat Charles Booker, yet Kentucky's strong Republican lean keeps the race non-competitive. Recent polling shows Barr ahead by nine points among likely voters, with more than one-third still persuadable and notable disapproval of federal tariffs. Turnout will likely depend on Republican rural mobilization versus Democratic efforts in Louisville and Lexington, alongside standard midterm factors such as early voting access, campaign spending intensity, and national political conditions. The spread across mid-range vote totals in trader consensus reflects uncertainty over whether base enthusiasm or lower overall participation will prevail in this safely Republican environment.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,911
Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 18, 2026, 10:19 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The open U.S. Senate seat after Mitch McConnell's retirement has elevated visibility for the November 3 contest between Republican Andy Barr and Democrat Charles Booker, yet Kentucky's strong Republican lean keeps the race non-competitive. Recent polling shows Barr ahead by nine points among likely voters, with more than one-third still persuadable and notable disapproval of federal tariffs. Turnout will likely depend on Republican rural mobilization versus Democratic efforts in Louisville and Lexington, alongside standard midterm factors such as early voting access, campaign spending intensity, and national political conditions. The spread across mid-range vote totals in trader consensus reflects uncertainty over whether base enthusiasm or lower overall participation will prevail in this safely Republican environment.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,911
Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 18, 2026, 10:19 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Kentucky Senate Election: Turnout" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 8 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "1.3M-1.4M" di 32%, diikuti oleh "1.7M-1.8M" di 19%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 32¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 32% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Kentucky Senate Election: Turnout" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Aug 18, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Kentucky Senate Election: Turnout," jelajahi 8 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Kentucky Senate Election: Turnout" adalah "1.3M-1.4M" di 32%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 32% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "1.7M-1.8M" di 19%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Kentucky Senate Election: Turnout" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.