Recent forecast models for Tel Aviv show mixed signals on overnight radiative cooling and sea-breeze moderation, driving the tight clustering of implied odds around 24°C as the most probable minimum while leaving room for 28°C-plus or sub-18°C outcomes. Typical September nocturnal temperatures hover near 22–24°C under clear, calm conditions, but shifts in upper-level ridging or increased low-level moisture can suppress cooling by several degrees or enhance it via clearer skies. Ensemble guidance diverges on boundary-layer winds and cloud cover for the 21–22 September period, creating the observed market spread. Updated runs from regional meteorological centers and any observed temperature anomalies tonight will likely narrow the range before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 22?
28°C or higher 86%
18°C or below 79%
24°C 50%
25°C 40%
18°C or below
79%
19°C
2%
20°C
7%
21°C
39%
22°C
11%
23°C
38%
24°C
50%
25°C
40%
26°C
38%
27°C
5%
28°C or higher
86%
28°C or higher 86%
18°C or below 79%
24°C 50%
25°C 40%
18°C or below
79%
19°C
2%
20°C
7%
21°C
39%
22°C
11%
23°C
38%
24°C
50%
25°C
40%
26°C
38%
27°C
5%
28°C or higher
86%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models for Tel Aviv show mixed signals on overnight radiative cooling and sea-breeze moderation, driving the tight clustering of implied odds around 24°C as the most probable minimum while leaving room for 28°C-plus or sub-18°C outcomes. Typical September nocturnal temperatures hover near 22–24°C under clear, calm conditions, but shifts in upper-level ridging or increased low-level moisture can suppress cooling by several degrees or enhance it via clearer skies. Ensemble guidance diverges on boundary-layer winds and cloud cover for the 21–22 September period, creating the observed market spread. Updated runs from regional meteorological centers and any observed temperature anomalies tonight will likely narrow the range before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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