**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 21, 2026, centers on a consensus minimum near 24–26°C, with 26°C carrying the highest implied probability at 55%.** Multiple forecast models, including GFS runs referenced in real-time updates, project overnight lows around 24–26°C (roughly 75–79°F) under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and moderate humidity typical of the coastal Mediterranean setting. This range aligns with September climatology for Tel Aviv, where average overnight lows hover near 21–24°C but have trended warmer this month, with recent daily minima often 23–25°C amid above-normal sea surface temperatures and limited nocturnal cooling. The 18°C-or-below outcome at 31% reflects residual uncertainty from potential model divergence or localized urban effects, though current conditions show no strong cold-air advection or unusual radiative cooling. Key near-term factors include stable high pressure, dew points in the upper teens to low 20s Celsius, and sea-breeze moderation that caps how low temperatures can fall. Updated model guidance and official Israel Meteorological Service observations through the evening will likely anchor the final reading, supporting the market’s emphasis on the 24–26°C cluster over more extreme tails.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 21?
Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 21?
18°C or below 62%
26°C 54%
23°C 50%
24°C 50%
$1,265 Vol.
$1,265 Vol.
Sep 21, 2026
18°C or below
62%
19°C
47%
20°C
2%
21°C
30%
22°C
10%
23°C
50%
24°C
50%
25°C
17%
26°C
54%
27°C
8%
28°C or higher
4%
18°C or below 62%
26°C 54%
23°C 50%
24°C 50%
$1,265 Vol.
$1,265 Vol.
Sep 21, 2026
18°C or below
$0 Vol.
62%
19°C
$0 Vol.
47%
20°C
$15 Vol.
2%
21°C
$15 Vol.
30%
22°C
$65 Vol.
10%
23°C
$188 Vol.
50%
24°C
$0 Vol.
50%
25°C
$78 Vol.
17%
26°C
$73 Vol.
54%
27°C
$572 Vol.
8%
28°C or higher
$259 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 21, 2026, centers on a consensus minimum near 24–26°C, with 26°C carrying the highest implied probability at 55%.** Multiple forecast models, including GFS runs referenced in real-time updates, project overnight lows around 24–26°C (roughly 75–79°F) under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and moderate humidity typical of the coastal Mediterranean setting.
This range aligns with September climatology for Tel Aviv, where average overnight lows hover near 21–24°C but have trended warmer this month, with recent daily minima often 23–25°C amid above-normal sea surface temperatures and limited nocturnal cooling. The 18°C-or-below outcome at 31% reflects residual uncertainty from potential model divergence or localized urban effects, though current conditions show no strong cold-air advection or unusual radiative cooling.
Key near-term factors include stable high pressure, dew points in the upper teens to low 20s Celsius, and sea-breeze moderation that caps how low temperatures can fall. Updated model guidance and official Israel Meteorological Service observations through the evening will likely anchor the final reading, supporting the market’s emphasis on the 24–26°C cluster over more extreme tails.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,265Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 21, 2026, centers on a consensus minimum near 24–26°C, with 26°C carrying the highest implied probability at 55%.** Multiple forecast models, including GFS runs referenced in real-time updates, project overnight lows around 24–26°C (roughly 75–79°F) under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and moderate humidity typical of the coastal Mediterranean setting.
This range aligns with September climatology for Tel Aviv, where average overnight lows hover near 21–24°C but have trended warmer this month, with recent daily minima often 23–25°C amid above-normal sea surface temperatures and limited nocturnal cooling. The 18°C-or-below outcome at 31% reflects residual uncertainty from potential model divergence or localized urban effects, though current conditions show no strong cold-air advection or unusual radiative cooling.
Key near-term factors include stable high pressure, dew points in the upper teens to low 20s Celsius, and sea-breeze moderation that caps how low temperatures can fall. Updated model guidance and official Israel Meteorological Service observations through the evening will likely anchor the final reading, supporting the market’s emphasis on the 24–26°C cluster over more extreme tails.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,265Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 21, 2026, centers on a consensus minimum near 24–26°C, with 26°C carrying the highest implied probability at 55%.** Multiple forecast models, including GFS runs referenced in real-time updates, project overnight lows around 24–26°C (roughly 75–79°F) under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and moderate humidity typical of the coastal Mediterranean setting. This range aligns with September climatology for Tel Aviv, where average overnight lows hover near 21–24°C but have trended warmer this month, with recent daily minima often 23–25°C amid above-normal sea surface temperatures and limited nocturnal cooling. The 18°C-or-below outcome at 31% reflects residual uncertainty from potential model divergence or localized urban effects, though current conditions show no strong cold-air advection or unusual radiative cooling. Key near-term factors include stable high pressure, dew points in the upper teens to low 20s Celsius, and sea-breeze moderation that caps how low temperatures can fall. Updated model guidance and official Israel Meteorological Service observations through the evening will likely anchor the final reading, supporting the market’s emphasis on the 24–26°C cluster over more extreme tails.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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