Discord's confidential S-1 filing on January 6, 2026, with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan as leads, established intent for a U.S. listing, yet the absence of a public filing or pricing date after the missed first-half 2026 window has shifted the base case toward 2027 amid softer conditions for consumer platforms. Secondary-market marks near $8.5–10 billion—well below the 2021 $15 billion peak—reflect compressed multiples on roughly $600 million in estimated revenue and ongoing unprofitability, lending support to the 11–14 billion outcome bucket while the 46.5% probability on no IPO by December 31, 2027, captures realistic SEC and market-timing risks. Leadership transition to Humam Sakhnini in 2025 and focus on advertising monetization provide operational context, but broader IPO pipeline dominated by AI names limits near-term catalysts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiNo IPO by December 31, 2027 46.5%
11–14B 20.1%
8–11B 9%
14–17B 5.3%
$69,302 Vol.
$69,302 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
<5B
2%
5–8B
2%
8–11B
9%
11–14B
20%
14–17B
5%
17–20B
5%
20B+
5%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
47%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 46.5%
11–14B 20.1%
8–11B 9%
14–17B 5.3%
$69,302 Vol.
$69,302 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
<5B
$15,738 Vol.
2%
5–8B
$4,825 Vol.
2%
8–11B
$13,756 Vol.
9%
11–14B
$8,588 Vol.
20%
14–17B
$2,601 Vol.
5%
17–20B
$5,142 Vol.
5%
20B+
$4,629 Vol.
5%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$14,023 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Discord's confidential S-1 filing on January 6, 2026, with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan as leads, established intent for a U.S. listing, yet the absence of a public filing or pricing date after the missed first-half 2026 window has shifted the base case toward 2027 amid softer conditions for consumer platforms. Secondary-market marks near $8.5–10 billion—well below the 2021 $15 billion peak—reflect compressed multiples on roughly $600 million in estimated revenue and ongoing unprofitability, lending support to the 11–14 billion outcome bucket while the 46.5% probability on no IPO by December 31, 2027, captures realistic SEC and market-timing risks. Leadership transition to Humam Sakhnini in 2025 and focus on advertising monetization provide operational context, but broader IPO pipeline dominated by AI names limits near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
Volume
$69,302Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2028Pasar Dibuka
Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Discord's confidential S-1 filing on January 6, 2026, with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan as leads, established intent for a U.S. listing, yet the absence of a public filing or pricing date after the missed first-half 2026 window has shifted the base case toward 2027 amid softer conditions for consumer platforms. Secondary-market marks near $8.5–10 billion—well below the 2021 $15 billion peak—reflect compressed multiples on roughly $600 million in estimated revenue and ongoing unprofitability, lending support to the 11–14 billion outcome bucket while the 46.5% probability on no IPO by December 31, 2027, captures realistic SEC and market-timing risks. Leadership transition to Humam Sakhnini in 2025 and focus on advertising monetization provide operational context, but broader IPO pipeline dominated by AI names limits near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Volume
$69,302Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2028Pasar Dibuka
Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Discord's confidential S-1 filing on January 6, 2026, with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan as leads, established intent for a U.S. listing, yet the absence of a public filing or pricing date after the missed first-half 2026 window has shifted the base case toward 2027 amid softer conditions for consumer platforms. Secondary-market marks near $8.5–10 billion—well below the 2021 $15 billion peak—reflect compressed multiples on roughly $600 million in estimated revenue and ongoing unprofitability, lending support to the 11–14 billion outcome bucket while the 46.5% probability on no IPO by December 31, 2027, captures realistic SEC and market-timing risks. Leadership transition to Humam Sakhnini in 2025 and focus on advertising monetization provide operational context, but broader IPO pipeline dominated by AI names limits near-term catalysts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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