Elevated inflation and the July FOMC's 9-3 vote—with three hawkish dissents from Hammack, Kashkari, and Logan favoring an immediate 25 basis point hike—anchor trader expectations for three or more dissents at the September 15-16 meeting. Persistent PCE readings near 3.7% year-over-year, core measures above 3.3%, and oil prices above $100 amid Middle East supply risks sustain policy divisions, even as the labor market remains stable with unemployment near 4.1-4.3%. Recent comments from Governor Waller, open to holding if upcoming data cool or hiking otherwise, underscore the data-dependent outlook ahead of the September 11 CPI release. Market-implied odds embed uncertainty over whether additional regional presidents align with the hawkish bloc or if fresh disinflation signals narrow the split.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHow many dissent at the September Fed meeting?
3 31%
4+ 29%
0 14%
1 14%
$23,959 Vol.
$23,959 Vol.
0
14%
1
14%
2
11%
3
31%
4+
29%
3 31%
4+ 29%
0 14%
1 14%
$23,959 Vol.
$23,959 Vol.
0
14%
1
14%
2
11%
3
31%
4+
29%
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 27, 2026, 7:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Elevated inflation and the July FOMC's 9-3 vote—with three hawkish dissents from Hammack, Kashkari, and Logan favoring an immediate 25 basis point hike—anchor trader expectations for three or more dissents at the September 15-16 meeting. Persistent PCE readings near 3.7% year-over-year, core measures above 3.3%, and oil prices above $100 amid Middle East supply risks sustain policy divisions, even as the labor market remains stable with unemployment near 4.1-4.3%. Recent comments from Governor Waller, open to holding if upcoming data cool or hiking otherwise, underscore the data-dependent outlook ahead of the September 11 CPI release. Market-implied odds embed uncertainty over whether additional regional presidents align with the hawkish bloc or if fresh disinflation signals narrow the split.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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