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icon for Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
Politik·Fed

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

icon for Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
Politik·Fed

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

$445,260 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$445,260 Vol.

Polymarket

December 31

$158,669 Vol.

11%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Powell's 14-year term as a Federal Reserve governor, set to expire January 31, 2028, forms the statutory anchor for trader positioning in this market, reinforced by his April 2026 statement committing to remain on the Board after stepping down as chair on May 22 to shield institutional independence amid Trump administration legal scrutiny. Recent developments center on the ongoing Inspector General probe into Fed headquarters renovations, with Powell conditioning any departure on full transparency and finality; no resolution has emerged as of September 2026. This dynamic, coupled with limited historical precedent for early governor exits and fixed staggered terms, sustains low implied probabilities of departure before 2028 while highlighting potential catalysts like probe conclusions or shifts in administration pressure that could alter board composition and monetary policy continuity.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volume
$445,260
Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Powell's 14-year term as a Federal Reserve governor, set to expire January 31, 2028, forms the statutory anchor for trader positioning in this market, reinforced by his April 2026 statement committing to remain on the Board after stepping down as chair on May 22 to shield institutional independence amid Trump administration legal scrutiny. Recent developments center on the ongoing Inspector General probe into Fed headquarters renovations, with Powell conditioning any departure on full transparency and finality; no resolution has emerged as of September 2026. This dynamic, coupled with limited historical precedent for early governor exits and fixed staggered terms, sustains low implied probabilities of departure before 2028 while highlighting potential catalysts like probe conclusions or shifts in administration pressure that could alter board composition and monetary policy continuity.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volume
$445,260
Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 2 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "December 31" di 11%, diikuti oleh "May 30" di 0%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 11¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 11% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?" telah menghasilkan $445.3K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jan 5, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?," jelajahi 2 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?" adalah "December 31" di 11%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 11% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "May 30" di 0%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.