**Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and global models converged on a daily maximum near 19°C for Moscow on September 20, 2026, under southwesterly flow, mostly cloudy skies, and light winds.** Real-time observations throughout the afternoon showed temperatures peaking at or very near this value, with afternoon readings around 18–20°C (64–68°F) before cooling. This aligns with the market's 100% implied probability for exactly 19°C, as the consensus across GFS data, local stations, and pressure fields (around 747–750 mmHg) produced stable conditions without significant warming or cooling deviations. Historical September 20 averages near 15°C provide context for the mild anomaly, but no late-model shifts or unexpected advection altered the outcome. Only a major revision in final verified observations from Moscow-area stations could challenge the resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Moscow on September 20?
Highest temperature in Moscow on September 20?
19°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$37,548 Vol.
$37,548 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$37,548 Vol.
$37,548 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
14°C or below
$7,226 Vol.
No
15°C
$1,327 Vol.
No
16°C
$1,549 Vol.
No
17°C
$3,515 Vol.
No
18°C
$4,013 Vol.
No
19°C
$7,666 Vol.
Yes
20°C
$7,654 Vol.
No
21°C
$3,639 Vol.
No
22°C
$619 Vol.
No
23°C
$129 Vol.
No
24°C or higher
$213 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and global models converged on a daily maximum near 19°C for Moscow on September 20, 2026, under southwesterly flow, mostly cloudy skies, and light winds.** Real-time observations throughout the afternoon showed temperatures peaking at or very near this value, with afternoon readings around 18–20°C (64–68°F) before cooling. This aligns with the market's 100% implied probability for exactly 19°C, as the consensus across GFS data, local stations, and pressure fields (around 747–750 mmHg) produced stable conditions without significant warming or cooling deviations. Historical September 20 averages near 15°C provide context for the mild anomaly, but no late-model shifts or unexpected advection altered the outcome. Only a major revision in final verified observations from Moscow-area stations could challenge the resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$37,548Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and global models converged on a daily maximum near 19°C for Moscow on September 20, 2026, under southwesterly flow, mostly cloudy skies, and light winds.** Real-time observations throughout the afternoon showed temperatures peaking at or very near this value, with afternoon readings around 18–20°C (64–68°F) before cooling. This aligns with the market's 100% implied probability for exactly 19°C, as the consensus across GFS data, local stations, and pressure fields (around 747–750 mmHg) produced stable conditions without significant warming or cooling deviations. Historical September 20 averages near 15°C provide context for the mild anomaly, but no late-model shifts or unexpected advection altered the outcome. Only a major revision in final verified observations from Moscow-area stations could challenge the resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$37,548Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
**Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and global models converged on a daily maximum near 19°C for Moscow on September 20, 2026, under southwesterly flow, mostly cloudy skies, and light winds.** Real-time observations throughout the afternoon showed temperatures peaking at or very near this value, with afternoon readings around 18–20°C (64–68°F) before cooling. This aligns with the market's 100% implied probability for exactly 19°C, as the consensus across GFS data, local stations, and pressure fields (around 747–750 mmHg) produced stable conditions without significant warming or cooling deviations. Historical September 20 averages near 15°C provide context for the mild anomaly, but no late-model shifts or unexpected advection altered the outcome. Only a major revision in final verified observations from Moscow-area stations could challenge the resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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