Skip to main content

Untuk trading di AS, kunjungi polymarket.us

icon for Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Teknologi·AI

Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

icon for Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Teknologi·AI

Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

$109,548 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$109,548 Vol.

Polymarket

55%+

$27,997 Vol.

92%

60%+

$46,964 Vol.

41%

65%+

$28,321 Vol.

19%

70%+

$4,458 Vol.

12%

75%+

$1,808 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric. The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic’s latest Claude releases, particularly Fable 5.1, Opus 5, and Mythos 5, currently lead Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboards with scores of 59–65% as of mid-September 2026, reflecting rapid gains from enhanced reasoning, tool use, and adaptive techniques on the 2,500-question expert-authored benchmark spanning math, physics, biology, and humanities. This positions Claude well ahead of OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra (~55%) and Meta’s Muse Spark models (~48–62%), underscoring Anthropic’s edge in frontier knowledge tasks that resist saturation. Traders are pricing in further incremental progress through additional 2026 releases, though the benchmark’s design leaves substantial headroom and protocol differences (tools versus closed-book) introduce evaluation variability that could influence final 2026 highs.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.

The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric. The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Volume
$109,548
Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 23, 2026, 6:42 PM ET

Sumber Resolusi

https://agi.safe.ai/

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric. The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic’s latest Claude releases, particularly Fable 5.1, Opus 5, and Mythos 5, currently lead Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboards with scores of 59–65% as of mid-September 2026, reflecting rapid gains from enhanced reasoning, tool use, and adaptive techniques on the 2,500-question expert-authored benchmark spanning math, physics, biology, and humanities. This positions Claude well ahead of OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra (~55%) and Meta’s Muse Spark models (~48–62%), underscoring Anthropic’s edge in frontier knowledge tasks that resist saturation. Traders are pricing in further incremental progress through additional 2026 releases, though the benchmark’s design leaves substantial headroom and protocol differences (tools versus closed-book) introduce evaluation variability that could influence final 2026 highs.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.

The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric. The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Volume
$109,548
Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 23, 2026, 6:42 PM ET

Sumber Resolusi

https://agi.safe.ai/

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Terkait

icon for Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?

Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?

43%
icon for Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?

Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?

78%
icon for Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?

Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?

28%

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 5 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "55%+" di 92%, diikuti oleh "60%+" di 41%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 92¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 92% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?" telah menghasilkan $109.5K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jul 23, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?," jelajahi 5 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?" adalah "55%+" di 92%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 92% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "60%+" di 41%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.