Meta’s Muse Spark series, particularly the 1.1 and 1.3 variants, has driven recent trader sentiment by posting HLE scores in the 49–62% range depending on evaluation protocols such as tool use or high-reasoning modes. These results place Meta within a few points of Anthropic’s leading Claude Fable 5.1 (around 59–65%) while surpassing several OpenAI GPT-5 configurations on certain leaderboards. Momentum stems from Meta’s scaled training infrastructure, iterative post-training on expert-level data, and adaptive reasoning techniques that have narrowed the gap faster than earlier Llama releases. With three months remaining until the December 31, 2026 resolution, key catalysts include any fall model drops, new HLE versions with held-out questions, and disclosed scaling gains that could push Meta’s peak result above 60% or higher.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$65,939 Vol.
55%+
26%
60%+
18%
65%+
18%
70%+
7%
$65,939 Vol.
55%+
26%
60%+
18%
65%+
18%
70%+
7%
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 23, 2026, 6:48 PM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://agi.safe.ai/Resolver
0x65070BE91...For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Sumber Resolusi
https://agi.safe.ai/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Meta’s Muse Spark series, particularly the 1.1 and 1.3 variants, has driven recent trader sentiment by posting HLE scores in the 49–62% range depending on evaluation protocols such as tool use or high-reasoning modes. These results place Meta within a few points of Anthropic’s leading Claude Fable 5.1 (around 59–65%) while surpassing several OpenAI GPT-5 configurations on certain leaderboards. Momentum stems from Meta’s scaled training infrastructure, iterative post-training on expert-level data, and adaptive reasoning techniques that have narrowed the gap faster than earlier Llama releases. With three months remaining until the December 31, 2026 resolution, key catalysts include any fall model drops, new HLE versions with held-out questions, and disclosed scaling gains that could push Meta’s peak result above 60% or higher.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui



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