Republican incumbent Ashley Moody holds a consistent polling lead over Democratic nominee Angie Nixon in Florida’s November 3 special Senate election, reflecting the state’s Republican registration advantage and rightward shift since 2024. This dynamic, paired with typical midterm turnout patterns, centers trader expectations near 8 million total votes. Post-August primary results, mobilization of no-party-affiliation voters and partisan enthusiasm gaps remain key variables that could push totals higher or lower within the 7.75M–8.5M range. Early and mail voting trends, get-out-the-vote efforts, and any late shifts in independent participation continue to sustain the close distribution of probabilities across neighboring buckets.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiFlorida Senate Election: Turnout
Florida Senate Election: Turnout
8M-8.25M 34%
7.75M-8M 32.0%
7.5M-7.75M 11.9%
8.75M-9M 7%
BARU
BARU
Nov 3, 2026
<7M
1%
7M-7.25M
1%
7.25M-7.5M
6%
7.5M-7.75M
12%
7.75M-8M
29%
8M-8.25M
34%
8.25M-8.5M
7%
8.5M-8.75M
3%
8.75M-9M
7%
9M+
5%
8M-8.25M 34%
7.75M-8M 32.0%
7.5M-7.75M 11.9%
8.75M-9M 7%
BARU
BARU
Nov 3, 2026
<7M
$85 Vol.
1%
7M-7.25M
$537 Vol.
1%
7.25M-7.5M
$1,594 Vol.
6%
7.5M-7.75M
$98 Vol.
12%
7.75M-8M
$134 Vol.
29%
8M-8.25M
$1,231 Vol.
34%
8.25M-8.5M
$104 Vol.
7%
8.5M-8.75M
$1,185 Vol.
3%
8.75M-9M
$92 Vol.
7%
9M+
$45 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Republican incumbent Ashley Moody holds a consistent polling lead over Democratic nominee Angie Nixon in Florida’s November 3 special Senate election, reflecting the state’s Republican registration advantage and rightward shift since 2024. This dynamic, paired with typical midterm turnout patterns, centers trader expectations near 8 million total votes. Post-August primary results, mobilization of no-party-affiliation voters and partisan enthusiasm gaps remain key variables that could push totals higher or lower within the 7.75M–8.5M range. Early and mail voting trends, get-out-the-vote efforts, and any late shifts in independent participation continue to sustain the close distribution of probabilities across neighboring buckets.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 18, 2026, 10:06 AM ET
Volume
$5,105Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 18, 2026, 10:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Republican incumbent Ashley Moody holds a consistent polling lead over Democratic nominee Angie Nixon in Florida’s November 3 special Senate election, reflecting the state’s Republican registration advantage and rightward shift since 2024. This dynamic, paired with typical midterm turnout patterns, centers trader expectations near 8 million total votes. Post-August primary results, mobilization of no-party-affiliation voters and partisan enthusiasm gaps remain key variables that could push totals higher or lower within the 7.75M–8.5M range. Early and mail voting trends, get-out-the-vote efforts, and any late shifts in independent participation continue to sustain the close distribution of probabilities across neighboring buckets.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$5,105Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 18, 2026, 10:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Republican incumbent Ashley Moody holds a consistent polling lead over Democratic nominee Angie Nixon in Florida’s November 3 special Senate election, reflecting the state’s Republican registration advantage and rightward shift since 2024. This dynamic, paired with typical midterm turnout patterns, centers trader expectations near 8 million total votes. Post-August primary results, mobilization of no-party-affiliation voters and partisan enthusiasm gaps remain key variables that could push totals higher or lower within the 7.75M–8.5M range. Early and mail voting trends, get-out-the-vote efforts, and any late shifts in independent participation continue to sustain the close distribution of probabilities across neighboring buckets.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiTerkait
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