Michelle Bolsonaro (PL) holds a commanding lead in trader pricing for first place in the Federal District’s October 2026 Senate contest, where voters select two senators. Recent Igape and Datafolha surveys show her ahead on first-choice ballots at 28–34 percent, well clear of Leila do Vôlei (PDT), Bia Kicis (PL), and Erika Kokay (PT), who cluster lower in combined or second-choice totals amid sizable undecided shares. Her position reflects sustained name recognition and party alignment within the right-leaning electorate, reinforced by PL internal coordination that pairs her with Kicis for the dual-seat outcome. Late-campaign developments, including legal rulings on advertising and shifts among undecided voters, remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before election day.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiMichelle Bolsonaro 91%
Bia Kicis 5.8%
Leila do Vôlei 4.0%
Erika Kokay 2.1%
$30,270 Vol.
$30,270 Vol.
Jun 30, 2027
Michelle Bolsonaro
91%
Bia Kicis
6%
Leila do Vôlei
4%
Erika Kokay
2%
Avenir Rosa
<1%
David Horn
<1%
Guto Felício dos Santos
<1%
Marley
<1%
Professor Guilherme Amorim
<1%
Ronaldo Fonseca
<1%
Sebastião Coelho
<1%
Tiago
<1%
Zanata
<1%
Michelle Bolsonaro 91%
Bia Kicis 5.8%
Leila do Vôlei 4.0%
Erika Kokay 2.1%
$30,270 Vol.
$30,270 Vol.
Jun 30, 2027
Michelle Bolsonaro
$12,918 Vol.
91%
Bia Kicis
$5,145 Vol.
6%
Leila do Vôlei
$4,470 Vol.
4%
Erika Kokay
$2,213 Vol.
2%
Avenir Rosa
$801 Vol.
<1%
David Horn
$505 Vol.
<1%
Guto Felício dos Santos
$794 Vol.
<1%
Marley
$381 Vol.
<1%
Professor Guilherme Amorim
$795 Vol.
<1%
Ronaldo Fonseca
$674 Vol.
<1%
Sebastião Coelho
$556 Vol.
<1%
Tiago
$489 Vol.
<1%
Zanata
$530 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Michelle Bolsonaro (PL) holds a commanding lead in trader pricing for first place in the Federal District’s October 2026 Senate contest, where voters select two senators. Recent Igape and Datafolha surveys show her ahead on first-choice ballots at 28–34 percent, well clear of Leila do Vôlei (PDT), Bia Kicis (PL), and Erika Kokay (PT), who cluster lower in combined or second-choice totals amid sizable undecided shares. Her position reflects sustained name recognition and party alignment within the right-leaning electorate, reinforced by PL internal coordination that pairs her with Kicis for the dual-seat outcome. Late-campaign developments, including legal rulings on advertising and shifts among undecided voters, remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ET
Volume
$30,270Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47de9d...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Michelle Bolsonaro (PL) holds a commanding lead in trader pricing for first place in the Federal District’s October 2026 Senate contest, where voters select two senators. Recent Igape and Datafolha surveys show her ahead on first-choice ballots at 28–34 percent, well clear of Leila do Vôlei (PDT), Bia Kicis (PL), and Erika Kokay (PT), who cluster lower in combined or second-choice totals amid sizable undecided shares. Her position reflects sustained name recognition and party alignment within the right-leaning electorate, reinforced by PL internal coordination that pairs her with Kicis for the dual-seat outcome. Late-campaign developments, including legal rulings on advertising and shifts among undecided voters, remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$30,270Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47de9d...Michelle Bolsonaro (PL) holds a commanding lead in trader pricing for first place in the Federal District’s October 2026 Senate contest, where voters select two senators. Recent Igape and Datafolha surveys show her ahead on first-choice ballots at 28–34 percent, well clear of Leila do Vôlei (PDT), Bia Kicis (PL), and Erika Kokay (PT), who cluster lower in combined or second-choice totals amid sizable undecided shares. Her position reflects sustained name recognition and party alignment within the right-leaning electorate, reinforced by PL internal coordination that pairs her with Kicis for the dual-seat outcome. Late-campaign developments, including legal rulings on advertising and shifts among undecided voters, remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before election day.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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