Recent polling from Quaest and Real Time Big Data shows Renato Casagrande leading comfortably for one Espírito Santo Senate seat, while a fragmented field creates a technical tie among multiple contenders for second place. Sergio Meneguelli, Fabiano Contarato, Rose de Freitas, Maguinha Malta, Evair de Melo, and Marcos do Val each register single-digit to low double-digit support in consolidated first-and-second vote scenarios, with high shares of undecided voters and blank/null responses sustaining the equilibrium. Traders price the market near even odds across several names because no candidate has consolidated the remaining vote, and Brazilian Senate rules allow each elector to select two names. Upcoming debates, party coalition signals, or final pre-election surveys before October 4 could shift momentum and widen gaps among the pack.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiSergio Meneguelli 32%
Fabiano Contarato 26.8%
Rose de Freitas 19.7%
Maguinha Malta 16.0%
$40,560 Vol.
$40,560 Vol.

Sergio Meneguelli
32%

Fabiano Contarato
27%

Rose de Freitas
20%

Maguinha Malta
25%

Renato Casagrande
5%

Evair de Melo
7%

Leonardo Monjardim
<1%

Callegari
<1%

Marcos do Val
<1%

Professor Fabian
<1%

Rodney Miranda
<1%
Sergio Meneguelli 32%
Fabiano Contarato 26.8%
Rose de Freitas 19.7%
Maguinha Malta 16.0%
$40,560 Vol.
$40,560 Vol.

Sergio Meneguelli
32%

Fabiano Contarato
27%

Rose de Freitas
20%

Maguinha Malta
25%

Renato Casagrande
5%

Evair de Melo
7%

Leonardo Monjardim
<1%

Callegari
<1%

Marcos do Val
<1%

Professor Fabian
<1%

Rodney Miranda
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from Quaest and Real Time Big Data shows Renato Casagrande leading comfortably for one Espírito Santo Senate seat, while a fragmented field creates a technical tie among multiple contenders for second place. Sergio Meneguelli, Fabiano Contarato, Rose de Freitas, Maguinha Malta, Evair de Melo, and Marcos do Val each register single-digit to low double-digit support in consolidated first-and-second vote scenarios, with high shares of undecided voters and blank/null responses sustaining the equilibrium. Traders price the market near even odds across several names because no candidate has consolidated the remaining vote, and Brazilian Senate rules allow each elector to select two names. Upcoming debates, party coalition signals, or final pre-election surveys before October 4 could shift momentum and widen gaps among the pack.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui


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