Lula holds the strongest position among candidates seeking first place in Amazonas during the October 4 first round, with trader consensus at 71.5% reflecting consistent polling leads in the state. Recent surveys, including those from Quaest and Real Time Big Data in August, show Lula at 38-40% against Flávio Bolsonaro at 35-39%, with the president drawing decisive support from interior municipalities that offset closer results in Manaus. Flávio Bolsonaro trails at 27.5% in the market, consistent with his narrower base in the capital and limited gains elsewhere. Other listed candidates register minimal shares below 6% in state-level data, aligning with their low market pricing. National trends and Lula's May visit to the region have reinforced this positioning ahead of the vote.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLula 72%
Flavio Bolsonaro 28%
Ronaldo Caiado <1%
Clariana Barao <1%
$26,843 Vol.
$26,843 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
72%
Flavio Bolsonaro
28%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Samara
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Zema
<1%
Lula 72%
Flavio Bolsonaro 28%
Ronaldo Caiado <1%
Clariana Barao <1%
$26,843 Vol.
$26,843 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
$8,512 Vol.
72%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$9,740 Vol.
28%
Ronaldo Caiado
$751 Vol.
<1%
Clariana Barao
$861 Vol.
<1%
Edmilson Costa
$729 Vol.
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$571 Vol.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$747 Vol.
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$836 Vol.
<1%
Renan Santos
$1,149 Vol.
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$855 Vol.
<1%
Samara
$542 Vol.
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$908 Vol.
<1%
Zema
$641 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amazonas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula holds the strongest position among candidates seeking first place in Amazonas during the October 4 first round, with trader consensus at 71.5% reflecting consistent polling leads in the state. Recent surveys, including those from Quaest and Real Time Big Data in August, show Lula at 38-40% against Flávio Bolsonaro at 35-39%, with the president drawing decisive support from interior municipalities that offset closer results in Manaus. Flávio Bolsonaro trails at 27.5% in the market, consistent with his narrower base in the capital and limited gains elsewhere. Other listed candidates register minimal shares below 6% in state-level data, aligning with their low market pricing. National trends and Lula's May visit to the region have reinforced this positioning ahead of the vote.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amazonas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 6:25 AM ET
Volume
$26,843Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:25 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amazonas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula holds the strongest position among candidates seeking first place in Amazonas during the October 4 first round, with trader consensus at 71.5% reflecting consistent polling leads in the state. Recent surveys, including those from Quaest and Real Time Big Data in August, show Lula at 38-40% against Flávio Bolsonaro at 35-39%, with the president drawing decisive support from interior municipalities that offset closer results in Manaus. Flávio Bolsonaro trails at 27.5% in the market, consistent with his narrower base in the capital and limited gains elsewhere. Other listed candidates register minimal shares below 6% in state-level data, aligning with their low market pricing. National trends and Lula's May visit to the region have reinforced this positioning ahead of the vote.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amazonas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$26,843Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:25 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Lula holds the strongest position among candidates seeking first place in Amazonas during the October 4 first round, with trader consensus at 71.5% reflecting consistent polling leads in the state. Recent surveys, including those from Quaest and Real Time Big Data in August, show Lula at 38-40% against Flávio Bolsonaro at 35-39%, with the president drawing decisive support from interior municipalities that offset closer results in Manaus. Flávio Bolsonaro trails at 27.5% in the market, consistent with his narrower base in the capital and limited gains elsewhere. Other listed candidates register minimal shares below 6% in state-level data, aligning with their low market pricing. National trends and Lula's May visit to the region have reinforced this positioning ahead of the vote.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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