Recent polling from September 2026 shows Rui Costa (PT) leading Senate vote intentions in Bahia at 26%, with Jaques Wagner (PT) at 19% and opposition figures João Roma (PL) and Angelo Coronel (Republicanos) within the margin of error behind him at 17% and 15%. This pattern, consistent with earlier Quaest and Paraná surveys, positions the two PT candidates for the top spots while sustaining uncertainty over the second seat. High undecided and blank/null shares, combined with voters selecting two distinct names, keep the ordering among trailing contenders fluid. Late campaign events, shifts in turnout among PT-aligned voters, or stronger opposition consolidation could alter the margin between Wagner and the nearest challengers before the October 4 first-round vote.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiJaques Wagner 54%
Rui Costa 16.9%
Angelo Coronel 14.0%
João Roma 12.4%
$35,036 Vol.
$35,036 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Jaques Wagner
54%
Rui Costa
17%
Angelo Coronel
14%
João Roma
8%
Carlos Sodré
<1%
Gregorio Gould
<1%
Marcelo Carvalho
<1%
Marcelo Millet
<1%
Marcelo Santtana
<1%
Professora Delliana
<1%
Jaques Wagner 54%
Rui Costa 16.9%
Angelo Coronel 14.0%
João Roma 12.4%
$35,036 Vol.
$35,036 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Jaques Wagner
$23,482 Vol.
54%
Rui Costa
$4,840 Vol.
17%
Angelo Coronel
$1,641 Vol.
14%
João Roma
$1,255 Vol.
8%
Carlos Sodré
$681 Vol.
<1%
Gregorio Gould
$570 Vol.
<1%
Marcelo Carvalho
$488 Vol.
<1%
Marcelo Millet
$673 Vol.
<1%
Marcelo Santtana
$654 Vol.
<1%
Professora Delliana
$751 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from September 2026 shows Rui Costa (PT) leading Senate vote intentions in Bahia at 26%, with Jaques Wagner (PT) at 19% and opposition figures João Roma (PL) and Angelo Coronel (Republicanos) within the margin of error behind him at 17% and 15%. This pattern, consistent with earlier Quaest and Paraná surveys, positions the two PT candidates for the top spots while sustaining uncertainty over the second seat. High undecided and blank/null shares, combined with voters selecting two distinct names, keep the ordering among trailing contenders fluid. Late campaign events, shifts in turnout among PT-aligned voters, or stronger opposition consolidation could alter the margin between Wagner and the nearest challengers before the October 4 first-round vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ET
Volume
$35,036Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from September 2026 shows Rui Costa (PT) leading Senate vote intentions in Bahia at 26%, with Jaques Wagner (PT) at 19% and opposition figures João Roma (PL) and Angelo Coronel (Republicanos) within the margin of error behind him at 17% and 15%. This pattern, consistent with earlier Quaest and Paraná surveys, positions the two PT candidates for the top spots while sustaining uncertainty over the second seat. High undecided and blank/null shares, combined with voters selecting two distinct names, keep the ordering among trailing contenders fluid. Late campaign events, shifts in turnout among PT-aligned voters, or stronger opposition consolidation could alter the margin between Wagner and the nearest challengers before the October 4 first-round vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$35,036Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from September 2026 shows Rui Costa (PT) leading Senate vote intentions in Bahia at 26%, with Jaques Wagner (PT) at 19% and opposition figures João Roma (PL) and Angelo Coronel (Republicanos) within the margin of error behind him at 17% and 15%. This pattern, consistent with earlier Quaest and Paraná surveys, positions the two PT candidates for the top spots while sustaining uncertainty over the second seat. High undecided and blank/null shares, combined with voters selecting two distinct names, keep the ordering among trailing contenders fluid. Late campaign events, shifts in turnout among PT-aligned voters, or stronger opposition consolidation could alter the margin between Wagner and the nearest challengers before the October 4 first-round vote.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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