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icon for Amazonas Governor Election Winner
Politik·Brasil

Amazonas Governor Election Winner

icon for Amazonas Governor Election Winner
Politik·Brasil

Amazonas Governor Election Winner

Omar Aziz 53%

Professora Maria do Carmo 36%

Roberto Cidade 15.6%

Gilberto Vasconcelos <1%

Polymarket

$29,639 Vol.

Omar Aziz 53%

Professora Maria do Carmo 36%

Roberto Cidade 15.6%

Gilberto Vasconcelos <1%

Polymarket

$29,639 Vol.

icon for Omar Aziz

Omar Aziz

$9,911 Vol.

53%

icon for Professora Maria do Carmo

Professora Maria do Carmo

$6,370 Vol.

36%

icon for Roberto Cidade

Roberto Cidade

$5,211 Vol.

16%

icon for Gilberto Vasconcelos

Gilberto Vasconcelos

$2,168 Vol.

<1%

icon for Cabo Daciolo

Cabo Daciolo

$1,959 Vol.

<1%

icon for David Almeida

David Almeida

$2,085 Vol.

<1%

icon for Isael Munduruku

Isael Munduruku

$1,935 Vol.

<1%

The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Omar Aziz (PSD), a former Amazonas governor and sitting senator, leads recent polling averages for the October 4 first-round vote with 26-34% support, ahead of a tight pack that includes current governor Roberto Cidade (União Brasil) at 18-22%, Professora Maria do Carmo (PL) at 16-27%, and David Almeida (Avante) at 8-21%. High undecided and spontaneous non-response rates—often exceeding 15-70%—along with fragmented opposition coalitions and technical ties in second-round simulations keep win probabilities compressed near 50% for multiple contenders. Recent campaign activity, including sabatinas on health infrastructure, the Zona Franca economy, and labor rules, plus interior travel by all major candidates, has yet to produce decisive shifts. Late-September polling trends, turnout patterns, and any new endorsements or alliance moves ahead of the October 25 runoff could widen separation among the top contenders.

The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$29,639
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Omar Aziz (PSD), a former Amazonas governor and sitting senator, leads recent polling averages for the October 4 first-round vote with 26-34% support, ahead of a tight pack that includes current governor Roberto Cidade (União Brasil) at 18-22%, Professora Maria do Carmo (PL) at 16-27%, and David Almeida (Avante) at 8-21%. High undecided and spontaneous non-response rates—often exceeding 15-70%—along with fragmented opposition coalitions and technical ties in second-round simulations keep win probabilities compressed near 50% for multiple contenders. Recent campaign activity, including sabatinas on health infrastructure, the Zona Franca economy, and labor rules, plus interior travel by all major candidates, has yet to produce decisive shifts. Late-September polling trends, turnout patterns, and any new endorsements or alliance moves ahead of the October 25 runoff could widen separation among the top contenders.

The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$29,639
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Amazonas Governor Election Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 7 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Omar Aziz" di 53%, diikuti oleh "Professora Maria do Carmo" di 36%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 53¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 53% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Amazonas Governor Election Winner" telah menghasilkan $29.6K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Aug 17, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Amazonas Governor Election Winner," jelajahi 7 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Amazonas Governor Election Winner" adalah "Omar Aziz" di 53%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 53% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Professora Maria do Carmo" di 36%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Amazonas Governor Election Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.