Gracinha Caiado (União Brasil) holds an 78.5% implied probability for first place in the October 4 Goiás Senate election because multiple polls since July, including Quaest and Directa surveys through mid-September, show her consistently leading with 20-32% support in first-preference or combined votes, well ahead of rivals. Gustavo Gayer (PL) at 16.5% reflects his steady second-place positioning at 12-20% amid competition for the second seat. Incumbent Vanderlan Cardoso (PSD), Dr. Zacharias Calil (MDB), and Gustavo Mendanha (PRD) register far lower market prices consistent with their trailing poll numbers around 6-13%. Recent candidate interviews and campaign activity have not altered the established hierarchy, with voter indecision and the two-vote system reinforcing Caiado's frontrunner status in trader assessments.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiGracinha Caiado 79%
Gustavo Gayer 16%
Guilherme Darques <1%
Vanderlan Cardoso <1%
$17,538 Vol.
$17,538 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Gracinha Caiado
79%
Gustavo Gayer
16%
Guilherme Darques
1%
Vanderlan Cardoso
1%
Ernesto Roller
1%
Isaura Lemos
<1%
Cintia Dias
<1%
Gustavo Mendanha
<1%
Iure Castro
<1%
Dr. Zacharias Calil
<1%
Oséias Varão
<1%
Gracinha Caiado 79%
Gustavo Gayer 16%
Guilherme Darques <1%
Vanderlan Cardoso <1%
$17,538 Vol.
$17,538 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Gracinha Caiado
$12,018 Vol.
79%
Gustavo Gayer
$1,672 Vol.
16%
Guilherme Darques
$417 Vol.
1%
Vanderlan Cardoso
$461 Vol.
1%
Ernesto Roller
$447 Vol.
1%
Isaura Lemos
$513 Vol.
<1%
Cintia Dias
$387 Vol.
<1%
Gustavo Mendanha
$417 Vol.
<1%
Iure Castro
$404 Vol.
<1%
Dr. Zacharias Calil
$388 Vol.
<1%
Oséias Varão
$413 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Gracinha Caiado (União Brasil) holds an 78.5% implied probability for first place in the October 4 Goiás Senate election because multiple polls since July, including Quaest and Directa surveys through mid-September, show her consistently leading with 20-32% support in first-preference or combined votes, well ahead of rivals. Gustavo Gayer (PL) at 16.5% reflects his steady second-place positioning at 12-20% amid competition for the second seat. Incumbent Vanderlan Cardoso (PSD), Dr. Zacharias Calil (MDB), and Gustavo Mendanha (PRD) register far lower market prices consistent with their trailing poll numbers around 6-13%. Recent candidate interviews and campaign activity have not altered the established hierarchy, with voter indecision and the two-vote system reinforcing Caiado's frontrunner status in trader assessments.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 5:59 AM ET
Volume
$17,538Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 5:59 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Gracinha Caiado (União Brasil) holds an 78.5% implied probability for first place in the October 4 Goiás Senate election because multiple polls since July, including Quaest and Directa surveys through mid-September, show her consistently leading with 20-32% support in first-preference or combined votes, well ahead of rivals. Gustavo Gayer (PL) at 16.5% reflects his steady second-place positioning at 12-20% amid competition for the second seat. Incumbent Vanderlan Cardoso (PSD), Dr. Zacharias Calil (MDB), and Gustavo Mendanha (PRD) register far lower market prices consistent with their trailing poll numbers around 6-13%. Recent candidate interviews and campaign activity have not altered the established hierarchy, with voter indecision and the two-vote system reinforcing Caiado's frontrunner status in trader assessments.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$17,538Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 5:59 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Gracinha Caiado (União Brasil) holds an 78.5% implied probability for first place in the October 4 Goiás Senate election because multiple polls since July, including Quaest and Directa surveys through mid-September, show her consistently leading with 20-32% support in first-preference or combined votes, well ahead of rivals. Gustavo Gayer (PL) at 16.5% reflects his steady second-place positioning at 12-20% amid competition for the second seat. Incumbent Vanderlan Cardoso (PSD), Dr. Zacharias Calil (MDB), and Gustavo Mendanha (PRD) register far lower market prices consistent with their trailing poll numbers around 6-13%. Recent candidate interviews and campaign activity have not altered the established hierarchy, with voter indecision and the two-vote system reinforcing Caiado's frontrunner status in trader assessments.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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