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icon for Alagoas Senate Election: 1st Place

Alagoas Senate Election: 1st Place

icon for Alagoas Senate Election: 1st Place

Alagoas Senate Election: 1st Place

Arthur Lira 46%

Renan 27%

Marina JHC 21.5%

Alexandre Fleming 2.2%

Polymarket

$21,740 Vol.

Arthur Lira 46%

Renan 27%

Marina JHC 21.5%

Alexandre Fleming 2.2%

Polymarket

$21,740 Vol.

icon for Arthur Lira

Arthur Lira

$11,336 Vol.

46%

icon for Renan

Renan

$7,341 Vol.

27%

icon for Marina JHC

Marina JHC

$1,273 Vol.

22%

icon for Alexandre Fleming

Alexandre Fleming

$453 Vol.

2%

icon for Dr. Wanderley

Dr. Wanderley

$536 Vol.

1%

icon for Mariedson

Mariedson

$408 Vol.

<1%

icon for Davi Davino Filho

Davi Davino Filho

$393 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Arthur Lira (PP) holds a narrow lead in trader pricing for first place in Alagoas’s Senate contest, followed by Renan Calheiros (MDB) and Marina JHC (PSDB), with the three candidates clustered within a few points in recent polling. Each voter selects two names for the state’s two seats, which keeps the race competitive and rewards name recognition plus coalition reach across Maceió and the interior. Marina JHC entered late after her husband JHC shifted to the gubernatorial race, creating an alliance that preserved Lira’s positioning while adding a new contender with strong capital support but weaker statewide visibility. Upcoming October 4 voting and any final campaign momentum in undecided or interior segments remain the main variables that could reorder the finish.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$21,740
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 5:51 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Arthur Lira (PP) holds a narrow lead in trader pricing for first place in Alagoas’s Senate contest, followed by Renan Calheiros (MDB) and Marina JHC (PSDB), with the three candidates clustered within a few points in recent polling. Each voter selects two names for the state’s two seats, which keeps the race competitive and rewards name recognition plus coalition reach across Maceió and the interior. Marina JHC entered late after her husband JHC shifted to the gubernatorial race, creating an alliance that preserved Lira’s positioning while adding a new contender with strong capital support but weaker statewide visibility. Upcoming October 4 voting and any final campaign momentum in undecided or interior segments remain the main variables that could reorder the finish.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$21,740
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 5:51 AM ET

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Alagoas Senate Election: 1st Place" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 7 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Arthur Lira" di 46%, diikuti oleh "Renan" di 27%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 46¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 46% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Alagoas Senate Election: 1st Place" telah menghasilkan $21.7K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Aug 17, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Alagoas Senate Election: 1st Place," jelajahi 7 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Alagoas Senate Election: 1st Place" adalah "Arthur Lira" di 46%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 46% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Renan" di 27%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Alagoas Senate Election: 1st Place" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.