Wisconsin's 4th congressional district, anchored in Milwaukee County and rated D+26 by the Cook Partisan Voting Index, has delivered consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles, including Gwen Moore's 74.8% share in 2024. Incumbent Moore secured the Democratic nomination in the August 11 primary and faces Republican Tim Rogers, a perennial candidate who prevailed in his party's low-turnout primary, along with independent Arthur Burks in the November 3 general election. Forecasters classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited opposition fundraising and the district's partisan composition. Trader pricing at 95.8% for the Democratic nominee aligns with this structural advantage. Late developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unprecedented turnout surge could narrow the outcome, though historical patterns indicate such shifts remain rare in this seat.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाWI -04 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
WI -04 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
$36,788 वॉल्यूम
$36,788 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
ग्वेन मूर (डेमोक्रेटिक)
96%
टिम रोजर्स (रिपब्लिकन)
1%
$36,788 वॉल्यूम
$36,788 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
ग्वेन मूर (डेमोक्रेटिक)
$14,357 वॉल्यूम
96%
टिम रोजर्स (रिपब्लिकन)
$22,431 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin's 4th congressional district, anchored in Milwaukee County and rated D+26 by the Cook Partisan Voting Index, has delivered consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles, including Gwen Moore's 74.8% share in 2024. Incumbent Moore secured the Democratic nomination in the August 11 primary and faces Republican Tim Rogers, a perennial candidate who prevailed in his party's low-turnout primary, along with independent Arthur Burks in the November 3 general election. Forecasters classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited opposition fundraising and the district's partisan composition. Trader pricing at 95.8% for the Democratic nominee aligns with this structural advantage. Late developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unprecedented turnout surge could narrow the outcome, though historical patterns indicate such shifts remain rare in this seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$36,788समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin's 4th congressional district, anchored in Milwaukee County and rated D+26 by the Cook Partisan Voting Index, has delivered consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles, including Gwen Moore's 74.8% share in 2024. Incumbent Moore secured the Democratic nomination in the August 11 primary and faces Republican Tim Rogers, a perennial candidate who prevailed in his party's low-turnout primary, along with independent Arthur Burks in the November 3 general election. Forecasters classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited opposition fundraising and the district's partisan composition. Trader pricing at 95.8% for the Democratic nominee aligns with this structural advantage. Late developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unprecedented turnout surge could narrow the outcome, though historical patterns indicate such shifts remain rare in this seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$36,788समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...Wisconsin's 4th congressional district, anchored in Milwaukee County and rated D+26 by the Cook Partisan Voting Index, has delivered consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles, including Gwen Moore's 74.8% share in 2024. Incumbent Moore secured the Democratic nomination in the August 11 primary and faces Republican Tim Rogers, a perennial candidate who prevailed in his party's low-turnout primary, along with independent Arthur Burks in the November 3 general election. Forecasters classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited opposition fundraising and the district's partisan composition. Trader pricing at 95.8% for the Democratic nominee aligns with this structural advantage. Late developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unprecedented turnout surge could narrow the outcome, though historical patterns indicate such shifts remain rare in this seat.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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