The Unity party's formal withdrawal from Israel's October 27 legislative election on September 4, after consistently polling below the 3.25% threshold in recent surveys and failing to secure surplus-vote or merger deals with other center-right lists, underpins trader consensus for a sub-0.5% vote share. Founded in August by Gilad Erdan and Yuli Edelstein as a potential bridge in the fragmented right-wing space, the party cited insufficient public support for its unity-government concept and weak polling as decisive factors. With candidate lists finalized and no mechanism for re-entry, the outcome aligns with historical patterns for parties that exit late. Only an unforeseen reversal, such as a last-minute court intervention or alliance revival, could realistically alter this trajectory before election day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया<0.5% 98.6%
0.5-0.75% 1.7%
0.75-1% <1%
1-2% <1%
नया
नया
27 अक्टू, 2026
<0.5%
99%
0.5-0.75%
2%
0.75-1%
1%
1-2%
<1%
2%+
<1%
<0.5% 98.6%
0.5-0.75% 1.7%
0.75-1% <1%
1-2% <1%
नया
नया
27 अक्टू, 2026
<0.5%
$834 वॉल्यूम
99%
0.5-0.75%
$223 वॉल्यूम
2%
0.75-1%
$205 वॉल्यूम
1%
1-2%
$166 वॉल्यूम
<1%
2%+
$231 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).The Unity party's formal withdrawal from Israel's October 27 legislative election on September 4, after consistently polling below the 3.25% threshold in recent surveys and failing to secure surplus-vote or merger deals with other center-right lists, underpins trader consensus for a sub-0.5% vote share. Founded in August by Gilad Erdan and Yuli Edelstein as a potential bridge in the fragmented right-wing space, the party cited insufficient public support for its unity-government concept and weak polling as decisive factors. With candidate lists finalized and no mechanism for re-entry, the outcome aligns with historical patterns for parties that exit late. Only an unforeseen reversal, such as a last-minute court intervention or alliance revival, could realistically alter this trajectory before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 8, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,659समाप्ति तिथि
27 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 8, 2026, 4:27 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).The Unity party's formal withdrawal from Israel's October 27 legislative election on September 4, after consistently polling below the 3.25% threshold in recent surveys and failing to secure surplus-vote or merger deals with other center-right lists, underpins trader consensus for a sub-0.5% vote share. Founded in August by Gilad Erdan and Yuli Edelstein as a potential bridge in the fragmented right-wing space, the party cited insufficient public support for its unity-government concept and weak polling as decisive factors. With candidate lists finalized and no mechanism for re-entry, the outcome aligns with historical patterns for parties that exit late. Only an unforeseen reversal, such as a last-minute court intervention or alliance revival, could realistically alter this trajectory before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
वॉल्यूम
$1,659समाप्ति तिथि
27 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 8, 2026, 4:27 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The Unity party's formal withdrawal from Israel's October 27 legislative election on September 4, after consistently polling below the 3.25% threshold in recent surveys and failing to secure surplus-vote or merger deals with other center-right lists, underpins trader consensus for a sub-0.5% vote share. Founded in August by Gilad Erdan and Yuli Edelstein as a potential bridge in the fragmented right-wing space, the party cited insufficient public support for its unity-government concept and weak polling as decisive factors. With candidate lists finalized and no mechanism for re-entry, the outcome aligns with historical patterns for parties that exit late. Only an unforeseen reversal, such as a last-minute court intervention or alliance revival, could realistically alter this trajectory before election day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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