Gavin Newsom tests waters in South Carolina ahead of 2028 presidential run

Gavin Newsom drops to 14%10%

Newsom made campaign-style appearances in South Carolina, signaling early moves toward a 2028 presidential bid. Despite no formal announcement, this activity maintained his market interest though his price declined amid uncertainty.

Kamala Harris accepts some Democrats' requests to stay away from midterm campaigns

Kamala Harris rises to 8%1%

Harris acknowledged that some red-state Democrats prefer she not campaign for them in 2026 midterms, reflecting mixed party support and possibly limiting her 2028 nomination momentum, stabilizing her market odds around 8%.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez renews membership in Democratic Socialists of America amid 2028 run rumors

Ocasio-Cortez's rejoining of the DSA was seen as a strategic move to solidify her progressive credentials ahead of a potential presidential run, supporting her market price strength.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rejoins Democratic Socialists of America

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 20%5%

In early September 2026, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez officially rejoined the Democratic Socialists of America, reinforcing her progressive credentials and energizing her base.

Mark Kelly gains prominence amid legal battles and fundraising

Mark Kelly rises to 3%1%

Kelly's legal victory and fundraising success raised his profile as a potential 2028 candidate, though his market price remained low compared to frontrunners.

Rahm Emanuel states Democratic Socialists are not part of Democratic Party

Rahm Emanuel rises to 3%1%

Rahm Emanuel publicly declared that the Democratic Socialists of America are not part of the Democratic Party, a statement that stirred intra-party debate and affected his political positioning.

Pete Buttigieg indicates leaning toward 2028 presidential run

Former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg stated he is more inclined than not to run for president in 2028, boosting his market perception and positioning him as a leading candidate.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez officially rejoins Democratic Socialists of America

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 20%6%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rejoined the Democratic Socialists of America, reinforcing her progressive credentials and energizing her base ahead of a potential 2028 presidential run.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez renews membership in Democratic Socialists of America after 7-year lapse

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 20%5%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rejoined the Democratic Socialists of America in August 2026, signaling a recommitment to progressive politics and impacting her market position positively after a period of decline.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez overtakes Gavin Newsom in 2028 Democratic nominee odds

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 21%6%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez surpassed Gavin Newsom in prediction market odds for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, reflecting her growing progressive base and media presence, while Newsom's odds declined.

Gavin Newsom's support rises in early 2028 presidential polling

Polling data showed a sharp increase in support for Gavin Newsom as a potential 2028 Democratic presidential candidate, reflecting his rising profile and combative stance against Trump.

Josh Shapiro leads Pennsylvania governor's race amid 2028 speculation

Josh Shapiro maintained a double-digit lead in Pennsylvania's governor race, fueling speculation about his potential 2028 presidential run and positively impacting his market price.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez does not rule out 2028 presidential run in ABC interview

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 20%5%

In a high-profile interview, Ocasio-Cortez left open the possibility of running for president in 2028, maintaining her status as a leading progressive voice and potential nominee.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez's market price rises to 20% amid growing speculation

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 20%12%

Ocasio-Cortez's price increased from 8% to 20% over the analysis window, reflecting growing public interest and speculation about her potential 2028 presidential run, supported by her national tour and progressive base.

Gavin Newsom signs controversial 'Stop Nick Shirley Act' raising free speech concerns

Gavin Newsom dips to 14%2%

Newsom signed a contentious law criticized for potentially chilling investigative journalism, which added to negative perceptions and further pressured his market price downward.

Pete Buttigieg visits South Carolina, hints at 2028 presidential run

Pete Buttigieg rises to 6%1%

Buttigieg's visit to South Carolina and comments about focusing on 2026 while hinting at a 2028 run helped maintain his visibility and modest market price despite uncertainty about his candidacy.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez's market odds rise after polling gains and campaign activity

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 21%6%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez's market price increased from 15% to 21% following strong polling results, increased fundraising, and campaigning outside her district, positioning her as a leading progressive contender for the 2028 nomination.

Pete Buttigieg returns to South Carolina amid 2028 presidential speculation

Pete Buttigieg rises to 6%1%

Buttigieg visited South Carolina, a key early primary state, signaling ongoing interest in a 2028 presidential run while focusing on 2026 midterms, maintaining his national profile despite low market prices.

Pete Buttigieg signals inclination to run for president in 2028

Pete Buttigieg rises to 6%1%

In a podcast interview, Buttigieg indicated he was "more inclined than not" to launch a 2028 presidential bid, slightly boosting his market price from a low base.

Pete Buttigieg hints at 2028 presidential run at South Carolina Democratic event

Pete Buttigieg rises to 6%1%

At a South Carolina Democratic Party event, Pete Buttigieg responded affirmatively when asked about a 2028 presidential run, sparking public speculation and modest market gains.

Mark Kelly gains attention as potential 2028 contender amid Democratic midterm efforts

Mark Kelly rises to 3%1%

Kelly's active role in supporting Democrats during the 2026 midterms and his rising national profile contributed to a modest increase in his market price.

Mark Kelly boosts Democrats amid Trump feud, raising 2028 profile

Mark Kelly rises to 3%1%

Kelly's public opposition to Trump and fundraising success elevated his national standing and positioned him as a potential 2028 presidential contender, slightly increasing his market odds.

Jon Ossoff leads comfortably in 2026 Senate race and gains national attention

Jon Ossoff jumps to 16%7%

Polls and campaign events in mid-2026 showed Ossoff with a strong lead in his re-election bid, increasing speculation about his 2028 presidential prospects and raising his market price.

Jon Ossoff gains attention with sharp criticism of Trump administration

Jon Ossoff jumps to 16%6%

Senator Jon Ossoff publicly criticized President Trump and gained national attention, which helped raise his profile and fundraising ahead of his 2026 Senate re-election and potential 2028 ambitions.

Kamala Harris leads new polls as potential 2028 Democratic nominee

A Focal Data/Financial Times poll released in mid-August showed Kamala Harris leading the 2028 Democratic primary with 30% support, though she had not formally committed to running. This polling boost helped stabilize her market price around 7%.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez membership renewal in DSA signals 2028 presidential ambitions

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 20%5%

Ocasio-Cortez renewed her membership in the Democratic Socialists of America in August 2026, signaling progressive support and increasing speculation about a 2028 presidential run, contributing to price gains.

Gavin Newsom's 2028 nomination odds decline amid political challenges

Gavin Newsom drops to 15%9%

California Governor Gavin Newsom's market price declined steadily from 24% to 15% as political turbulence and shifting narratives weakened his frontrunner status in the Democratic nomination race.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leads New Hampshire poll for 2028 Democratic nomination

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 21%2%

A University of New Hampshire poll showed Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leading the pack of potential 2028 Democratic presidential nominees, reflecting her growing support in an early primary state and contributing to her market price increase to 21%.

Kamala Harris leads 2028 Democratic primary polls with 30% support

Kamala Harris rises to 8%1%

A Focal Data/Financial Times poll released in mid-August 2026 showed Harris leading the Democratic primary with 30% support, reinforcing her frontrunner status despite no formal campaign announcement.

Jon Ossoff gains attention with viral campaign moments amid 2026 Senate race

Jon Ossoff jumps to 16%9%

Ossoff's viral campaign clips and strong fundraising for his 2026 Senate reelection increased his national profile and market odds for the 2028 nomination, rising from 7% to 16%.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez surges past Gavin Newsom in 2028 Democratic nominee odds

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 18%3%

Following viral social media posts and increased media attention, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez surged past Gavin Newsom in prediction market odds, with her price rising to 18% while Newsom declined to 15%.

Jon Ossoff delivers anti-Trump speech alongside Senator Mark Kelly

Jon Ossoff rises to 15%1%

Ossoff's public criticism of Trump alongside fellow Senator Mark Kelly reinforced his national profile and appeal to Democratic voters, supporting his market price increase.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez campaigns across multiple states, fueling 2028 presidential speculation

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 14%5%

In mid-2026, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez undertook a cross-country campaign tour, raising her national profile and increasing speculation about a 2028 presidential run, contributing to her market price rising from 9% to 14% by mid-July.

Poll shows Kamala Harris leads 2028 Democratic primary with 30% support

A Focal Data/Financial Times poll released in mid-August showed Harris leading the Democratic primary field with 30% support, reinforcing her frontrunner status despite her non-committal stance on running.

Jon Ossoff reiterates he will not run for president in 2028, focusing on Senate race

Jon Ossoff rises to 16%1%

Ossoff publicly dismissed 2028 presidential ambitions to focus on his 2026 Senate reelection, which tempered market speculation despite his rising profile and polling.

Jon Ossoff dismisses 2028 presidential run speculation amid rising profile

Jon Ossoff rises to 16%2%

Despite rising market odds and speculation, Ossoff publicly stated he has no interest in running for president in 2028, which tempered some market enthusiasm but did not halt his gains.

Kamala Harris says she is 'thinking about' running in 2028 presidential election

Kamala Harris dips to 7%2%

Former Vice President Kamala Harris publicly stated she is considering a 2028 presidential run at the National Action Network Convention, sparking speculation and maintaining her market presence despite lower odds.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez states no regrets about publicly sharing egg-freezing decision

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 21%1%

Ocasio-Cortez reaffirmed her openness about her egg-freezing journey, maintaining media interest and reinforcing her progressive image, which sustained her market price gains.

Georgia Senator Jon Ossoff rules out 2028 presidential bid, focuses on 2026 Senate race

Ossoff publicly dismissed speculation about a 2028 presidential run, emphasizing his focus on the 2026 Senate reelection, which tempered some market enthusiasm but did not halt his price gains.

Jon Ossoff publicly denies 2028 presidential run despite rising odds

Jon Ossoff drops to 4%12%

Jon Ossoff reiterated he will not run for president in 2028, focusing on his Senate reelection, which caused a sharp drop in his market price despite earlier gains from increased media attention and polling.

Jon Ossoff reiterates he is not running for president in 2028

Jon Ossoff jumps to 16%8%

Despite rising speculation and increasing market odds, Jon Ossoff publicly and repeatedly stated in June and August 2026 that he is not running for president in 2028, focusing instead on his 2026 Senate reelection campaign. This statement caused some market volatility but did not fully reverse his rising odds.

Gavin Newsom’s odds decline amid rising competition in 2028 Democratic nomination race

Gavin Newsom dips to 16%4%

Gavin Newsom’s market odds declined to 16% as other candidates like Ocasio-Cortez and Ossoff gained ground, reflecting a more competitive and fragmented Democratic primary field.

Jon Ossoff rises in prediction markets despite denying 2028 presidential run

Jon Ossoff jumps to 16%9%

Ossoff's market odds increased as he gained attention for his criticism of Trump and effective messaging, despite his repeated statements that he will not run for president in 2028.

Donald Trump predicts Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez will run for president in 2028

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 20%1%

Former President Trump publicly predicted that Ocasio-Cortez would seek the presidency in 2028, drawing media attention and possibly influencing market perceptions of her viability as a candidate, supporting her price increase.

Democratic National Committee approves South Carolina as first 2028 primary state

The Democratic National Committee finalized a new presidential primary calendar prioritizing diverse electorates, with South Carolina set to hold the first 2028 Democratic presidential primary. This decision reflects strategic party efforts to engage key constituencies early in the nomination process.

Rahm Emanuel tours early primary states signaling 2028 presidential interest

Rahm Emanuel jumps to 13%11%

Rahm Emanuel conducted visits to New Hampshire and South Carolina, early primary states, indicating serious consideration of a 2028 presidential bid, which increased his visibility and market positioning.

Democratic Party approves new 2028 presidential primary calendar favoring South Carolina

The Democratic National Committee finalized a new 2028 primary calendar on August 15, 2026, shifting early contests to more racially diverse states like South Carolina, impacting candidate strategies and market perceptions, benefiting candidates with strong support in those states.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leads New Hampshire Democratic poll for 2028

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 15%7%

Ocasio-Cortez narrowly led the Democratic field in a New Hampshire poll, boosting her market price from 8% to 15%, reflecting growing progressive enthusiasm and her emergence as a party ideological leader.

Rahm Emanuel undertakes New Hampshire bike tour fueling 2028 speculation

Rahm Emanuel rises to 3%1%

Rahm Emanuel conducted a bike tour in New Hampshire, an early primary state, signaling active exploration of a 2028 presidential bid and slightly increasing his market price.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez renews Democratic Socialists of America membership amid 2028 speculation

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 22%7%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez officially rejoined the Democratic Socialists of America, signaling a rebranding and commitment to a progressive lane for a potential 2028 presidential run, boosting her market appeal.

Mark Kelly signals 2028 presidential run consideration on NBC's Meet the Press

Mark Kelly rises to 3%1%

Senator Mark Kelly stated he would decide on a 2028 presidential run based on post-midterm issues, maintaining his profile as a potential candidate and slightly increasing market interest.

Democratic Party approves new 2028 presidential primary calendar favoring South Carolina

The Democratic National Committee finalized a new 2028 primary calendar on August 15, 2026, shifting early contests to more racially diverse states like South Carolina, impacting candidate strategies and market perceptions.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez soft-launches 2028 presidential bid with egg-freezing video series

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 21%6%

Ocasio-Cortez's personal and savvy social media campaign about freezing her eggs was widely interpreted as a soft launch of her 2028 presidential bid, increasing her visibility and market odds significantly in August.

Democratic National Committee approves South Carolina as first 2028 primary state

The DNC officially approved a revised nominating calendar establishing South Carolina as the first state to hold its 2028 presidential primary, emphasizing diverse electorates and reshaping the nomination process.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez surges to 19% on Polymarket after ABC appearance

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 19%5%

Following her August 9 appearance on ABC's This Week, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez's market odds rose to 19%, surpassing Gavin Newsom and reflecting increased speculation about her 2028 presidential run.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez renews Democratic Socialists of America membership

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 21%6%

Ocasio-Cortez's renewal of her DSA membership signaled a recommitment to progressive politics and increased speculation about her 2028 presidential ambitions, contributing to her market price rise.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez signals Democratic shift away from 'woke' politics

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 19%5%

Ocasio-Cortez publicly reflected on the 'woke' era, signaling a Democratic Party shift away from extreme rhetoric, which influenced her market price by suggesting a more moderate positioning for 2028.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to lead in prediction markets for 2028 Democratic nomination

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 21%6%

Following her August 9 TV appearance and public announcements, Ocasio-Cortez's odds surged in prediction markets, surpassing Gavin Newsom as the frontrunner for the Democratic nomination in 2028.

Pete Buttigieg indicates inclination to run for president in 2028

Pete Buttigieg rises to 6%1%

In an August 2026 podcast interview, Pete Buttigieg expressed being 'more inclined than not' to launch a 2028 presidential bid, influencing his market price upward.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to lead in prediction markets for 2028 Democratic nomination

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 21%6%

By August 12, 2026, Ocasio-Cortez overtook Gavin Newsom in prediction market odds for the 2028 Democratic nomination, reflecting her rising national profile and growing support among Democratic voters.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez ends engagement, remains open to 2028 presidential run

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 20%7%

AOC's personal news of ending her engagement attracted media attention, but she has not ruled out a 2028 presidential bid, influencing market perceptions.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez overtakes Gavin Newsom in 2028 Democratic nominee odds

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 18%3%

Following increased media attention and viral social media posts, Ocasio-Cortez surpassed Newsom in prediction market odds, reflecting growing enthusiasm for her candidacy.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and fiancé end engagement

AOC's reported breakup with her fiancé brought personal news to the forefront, impacting her public image and market price.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez surpasses Gavin Newsom as 2028 Democratic favorite in prediction markets

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 20%6%

Ocasio-Cortez moved ahead of Newsom in early prediction-market odds for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, reflecting shifting support among Democratic voters.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rejoins Democratic Socialists of America after membership lapse

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 20%9%

AOC renewed her membership in the DSA after a seven-year lapse, reaffirming her progressive credentials and energizing her base ahead of 2028, positively impacting her market position.

Kamala Harris leads new polls as potential 2028 Democratic nominee

Polls released in August 2026 showed Harris leading with 30% support among Democrats, reinforcing her status as a top contender despite not formally committing to run.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announces she is freezing her eggs amid 2028 plans

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 19%5%

AOC publicly shared her decision to freeze her eggs as she contemplates her political future and potential 2028 presidential run, drawing media attention and modest market gains.

Kamala Harris publicly states she is 'thinking about' running for president again in 2028

Kamala Harris rises to 9%2%

During a speech at the National Action Network convention, Kamala Harris publicly stated she is considering a 2028 presidential run, sparking speculation and debate about her political future. This announcement initially supported her market price, which fluctuated around 7-10%.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez admits considering 2028 presidential run amid rising polls

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 20%12%

Ocasio-Cortez acknowledged she has not ruled out a 2028 presidential bid, coinciding with her leading position in New Hampshire primary polls and growing national profile.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez reveals decision to freeze her eggs

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 20%6%

AOC publicly shared her decision to freeze her eggs, highlighting personal and family planning challenges, which influenced public perception and her market price.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announces freezing eggs amid political decision-making

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 20%6%

AOC publicly shared her decision to freeze her eggs while considering her next political moves, signaling personal and political planning that influenced market perceptions of her candidacy.

Ocasio-Cortez announces she is freezing her eggs amid political plans

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 21%6%

Ocasio-Cortez publicly shared her decision to freeze her eggs as she contemplates her next political moves, addressing personal and political considerations relevant to her 2028 ambitions.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez publicly announces she is freezing her eggs

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 9%1%

Ocasio-Cortez shared her decision to freeze her eggs, highlighting challenges faced by working women and increasing her visibility and progressive appeal, which influenced a slight market uptick.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez publicly documents egg-freezing process amid political considerations

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 18%4%

Ocasio-Cortez shared detailed videos of her egg-freezing process, highlighting personal and political planning, which coincided with a modest increase in her market odds.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez states she has not ruled out 2028 presidential run

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 20%6%

In an ABC News interview, AOC said she has not dismissed the possibility of running for president in 2028, signaling her openness and energizing progressive support.

Gavin Newsom visits Michigan to boost Democrats and maintain presidential prospects

Gavin Newsom dips to 16%1%

Newsom's active campaigning in key battleground states like Michigan was seen as an effort to build support for a potential 2028 presidential run, sustaining his market position despite some decline.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez declines to rule out 2028 presidential run

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 18%3%

Ocasio-Cortez publicly left open the possibility of running for president in 2028 during interviews and appearances, which boosted her market price from 15% to 18%. This signaled growing support and speculation about her candidacy.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leaves door open to 2028 presidential run

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 19%4%

Ocasio-Cortez's comments about not ruling out a presidential run kept speculation alive and supported her market price increase during this time.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announces she is freezing her eggs amid 2028 political considerations

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 21%6%

Ocasio-Cortez's personal announcement about freezing her eggs, coupled with leaving open a 2028 presidential run, attracted media attention and boosted her market odds from 15% to 21%.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announces egg freezing, leaves door open to 2028 presidential run

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 18%4%

Ocasio-Cortez publicly shared her decision to freeze her eggs, framing it as a step to control her political and personal future. She also stated she has not ruled out a 2028 presidential or Senate run, which boosted her market price significantly.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announces freezing her eggs amid political decisions

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 20%5%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez publicly announced she is freezing her eggs as she contemplates her political future, signaling a pause or reconsideration of a 2028 presidential run. This personal revelation coincided with a rise in her market price from 15% to 20%.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez says she hasn't ruled out 2028 presidential run

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 19%4%

In August 2026, Ocasio-Cortez publicly stated she has not ruled out running for president in 2028, supporting her rising market position and polling strength in early primary states.

Ocasio-Cortez confirms she hasn't ruled out 2028 presidential or Senate run

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 20%5%

Ocasio-Cortez stated in an interview that she remains undecided about running for president or Senate in 2028, reinforcing market optimism and contributing to her price rise to 20% by mid-August.

Ocasio-Cortez leaves door open to 2028 presidential run in TV interview

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 19%4%

In an interview on ABC's "This Week," Ocasio-Cortez stated she has not ruled out running for president in 2028, responding to polling showing her as a leading candidate. This statement reinforced market optimism about her candidacy, contributing to price gains.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez publicly discusses egg freezing and leaves door open for 2028 run

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 18%4%

Ocasio-Cortez's public discussion of personal milestones, including freezing her eggs, coupled with her openness to a presidential run, increased speculation and market support, pushing her odds to around 18%.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leaves open 2028 presidential run or Senate challenge

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 21%6%

In August 2026, Ocasio-Cortez stated she has not ruled out running for president or challenging Chuck Schumer for Senate, maintaining market interest and supporting her price rise.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez does not rule out 2028 presidential or Senate run

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 19%10%

Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez stated she has not ruled out running for president or Senate in 2028, maintaining her position as a leading contender in polls and markets.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez TV appearance boosts 2028 nomination odds

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 19%5%

Following her August 9, 2026 appearance on ABC's This Week, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez's market odds surged to 19%, surpassing Gavin Newsom and reflecting increased speculation about her 2028 presidential run.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announces decision to freeze her eggs and shares process online

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 20%5%

Ocasio-Cortez publicly revealed her decision to freeze her eggs and documented the process on social media, drawing significant media attention and increasing her visibility as a progressive figure, which positively impacted her market price.

Gavin Newsom campaigns in Michigan to boost Democrats and raise profile

Gavin Newsom dips to 14%3%

Newsom's visit to Michigan to support Democratic candidates and raise his national profile was seen as part of his preparation for a potential 2028 presidential run, contributing to market interest though his price declined later in August.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez's ABC TV appearance boosts her 2028 nomination odds

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 19%4%

Following her August 9, 2026 appearance on ABC's This Week, Ocasio-Cortez's market odds surged to 19%, surpassing Gavin Newsom and reflecting increased speculation about her 2028 presidential run.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez hints at 2028 presidential run on ABC's This Week

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 19%5%

Ocasio-Cortez's appearance on ABC's This Week, where she hinted at a possible 2028 run, led to a sharp increase in her prediction market odds, reflecting growing enthusiasm among supporters.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announces egg-freezing and openness to presidential run

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 20%5%

Ocasio-Cortez's public announcement about freezing her eggs and openness to a presidential run was a strategic move that increased speculation about her candidacy, causing her market odds to jump from 15% to 20%.

Pete Buttigieg speaks at Michigan Democrats rally amid false swatting incident

Pete Buttigieg actively engaged in political events such as the Michigan Democrats rally while managing fallout from a false swatting incident that temporarily separated him from his children, impacting his public image and candidacy prospects.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announces freezing her eggs amid political decisions

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 20%6%

Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez publicly announced she is freezing her eggs as she contemplates her political future, signaling a pause or reconsideration of a 2028 presidential run, which corresponded with a low market price.

Gavin Newsom confirms he is weighing a 2028 presidential run after 2026 midterms

Gavin Newsom jumps to 25%5%

Newsom publicly stated he would seriously consider a 2028 presidential bid after the 2026 midterms, boosting market confidence and stabilizing his price around 24-25%.

Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear raises $4.3 million for 2025 PAC amid presidential speculation

Beshear's super PAC raised significant funds in 2025, supporting his potential 2028 presidential ambitions and increasing his national profile despite low market prices.

James Talarico campaigns with populist economic proposals in Texas

James Talarico rises to 3%1%

Talarico campaigned with a populist economic plan including AI dividends and support for first-time homebuyers, enhancing his profile ahead of the 2026 Senate election.

Pete Buttigieg headlines Michigan Democrats’ Detroit election rally

Buttigieg’s active campaigning and visibility at key Democratic events helped stabilize his market price despite earlier declines.

Pete Buttigieg to headline Michigan Democrats’ Detroit election rally

Buttigieg was announced as the headliner for a major Michigan Democratic rally, signaling his continued active role in party politics and potential 2028 candidacy.

Kamala Harris confirms she is 'thinking about' 2028 presidential run

Kamala Harris rises to 9%2%

Former Vice President Kamala Harris publicly acknowledged she is considering a 2028 presidential campaign, marking her most open remarks about her political future and maintaining her position as a top contender.

Jon Ossoff's market price rises amid 2026 reelection campaign momentum

Jon Ossoff rises to 15%3%

Jon Ossoff's market price increased in August 2026 reflecting growing confidence in his 2026 Senate reelection prospects and potential 2028 presidential candidacy.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leads New Hampshire poll for 2028 Democratic nomination

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 14%4%

A University of New Hampshire poll showed Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leading the pack of potential 2028 Democratic presidential nominees, reflecting her growing support in an early primary state.

Pete Buttigieg confirms leaning toward 2028 presidential run

Buttigieg publicly confirmed he is leaning toward running for president in 2028, citing fatherhood as a factor, which reinforced his status as a leading candidate in the market.

Pete Buttigieg leans toward running for president in 2028

Pete Buttigieg rises to 6%1%

Former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg expressed that he is more inclined than not to run for president in 2028, following a poll showing him leading the Democratic field, which influenced his market price.

Pete Buttigieg signals 2028 Democratic presidential bid in podcast interview

Pete Buttigieg rises to 6%1%

Buttigieg expressed being 'more inclined than not' to run for president in 2028, fueling speculation and supporting his position as a leading contender in polls and markets.

Pete Buttigieg signals 2028 presidential run on podcast

Pete Buttigieg stated on a podcast that he is 'more inclined than not' to run for president in 2028, signaling his intention and sparking media speculation and a rise in his market odds.

Pete Buttigieg indicates he is leaning toward 2028 presidential run

Pete Buttigieg rises to 6%1%

Pete Buttigieg stated in a podcast interview that he is 'more inclined than not' to run for president in 2028, signaling his growing commitment to a potential campaign.

Pete Buttigieg signals leaning toward 2028 presidential run

Pete Buttigieg rises to 6%1%

Buttigieg stated he is more inclined than not to run for president in 2028, increasing speculation and market interest in his candidacy.

Pete Buttigieg signals inclination to run for president in 2028

Pete Buttigieg rises to 5%1%

In August 2026, Pete Buttigieg stated in a podcast interview that he was "more inclined than not" to run for president in 2028, which corresponded with a slight increase in his market odds from 4% to 5%.

Pete Buttigieg says he is leaning toward running for president in 2028

In a podcast interview, Pete Buttigieg expressed that he is 'more inclined than not' to run for president in 2028, signaling increased commitment and positively impacting his market position and polling numbers.

Kamala Harris confirmed as Democratic nominee with delegate majority, DNC chair says

Kamala Harris dips to 8%1%

Democratic National Committee Chair Jaime Harrison confirmed Kamala Harris had secured the majority of delegate votes to become the party's nominee, solidifying her position and causing market stabilization around 8%.

Gavin Newsom raises significant funds for Democratic candidates in key 2026 races

Gavin Newsom raised substantial money for Democrats in important 2026 races, including for Jon Ossoff in Georgia and others, bolstering his standing within the party and supporting his 2028 presidential ambitions, though his market price showed some volatility.

Yahoo/YouGov poll shows Gavin Newsom surging to front of Democratic primary pack

A late August 2026 Yahoo/YouGov poll showed Gavin Newsom with 21% support among Democratic-leaning voters, slightly ahead of Kamala Harris, reinforcing his front-runner status despite market price declines.

Kamala Harris outlines progressive 2028 agenda including court packing and Electoral College reform

Harris publicly presented a far-left policy agenda signaling her intent to run in 2028, aiming to energize the progressive base and differentiate herself, which maintained her market relevance during the summer.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rejoins Democratic Socialists of America ahead of 2028 run speculation

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 20%6%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez renewed her membership in the Democratic Socialists of America in August 2026, signaling her continued alignment with progressive politics and fueling speculation about a 2028 presidential run, coinciding with a market price increase from 14% to 20%.

Kamala Harris hints at 2028 presidential run with far-left message

Kamala Harris dips to 8%1%

At the National Urban League Conference, Harris suggested she is considering a 2028 run, maintaining her lead in many Democratic primary polls but facing skepticism about her electability and market position.

Kamala Harris calls for major reforms including Supreme Court expansion ahead of possible 2028 run

Kamala Harris dips to 8%1%

Harris publicly endorsed progressive policies such as expanding the Supreme Court and abolishing the Electoral College, signaling a shift to a more left-leaning platform as she weighs a 2028 presidential campaign. Despite this, her market odds remained relatively flat.

Kamala Harris publicly confirms she will not seek 2028 Democratic presidential nomination

Kamala Harris dips to 6%3%

Harris announced she would not run for the 2028 nomination, leading to a decline in her market price from 9% to 6% as traders adjusted expectations about her viability.

Andy Beshear hints at 2028 presidential run amid rising national profile

Andy Beshear rises to 3%1%

Beshear’s active role in 2026 midterms and public statements about considering a presidential run increased his visibility as a potential 2028 candidate.

Pete Buttigieg campaigns for Democrats in key states ahead of 2026 midterms

Pete Buttigieg rises to 5%1%

Former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg actively campaigned for Democratic candidates in competitive states, maintaining his national profile and fueling speculation about a 2028 presidential run.

Kamala Harris announces she will not run for California governor in 2026

Harris's decision to skip the 2026 California gubernatorial race fueled speculation about a possible 2028 presidential run, affecting her market support as a nominee.

Kamala Harris endorses progressive reforms amid 2028 speculation

Kamala Harris dips to 8%1%

Kamala Harris publicly supported expanding the Supreme Court and abolishing the Electoral College, signaling a shift to the left and reinforcing her position as a leading 2028 contender despite not formally declaring a run.

Jon Ossoff's Senate reelection campaign gains momentum in Georgia

Jon Ossoff rises to 13%1%

Ossoff's improving position in the 2026 Senate race increased his visibility but only modestly improved his market odds for the presidential nomination.

Gavin Newsom faces backlash over podcast featuring conservative guests

Gavin Newsom drops to 18%6%

Newsom's podcast hosting right-wing figures and controversial comments caused backlash within the Democratic Party, contributing to a decline in his market price from 24% to 18%.

Pete Buttigieg signals inclination to run for president in 2028

Pete Buttigieg rises to 5%1%

Pete Buttigieg stated in a podcast interview that he is 'more inclined than not' to launch a 2028 presidential bid, marking a clear signal of his potential candidacy and boosting his market position.

Pete Buttigieg leads latest Emerson College poll for 2028 Democratic nomination

Pete Buttigieg rises to 6%1%

Buttigieg's poll lead reinforced his status as a top contender, contributing to a modest increase in his market price.

Kamala Harris rules out 2026 California governor run, fueling 2028 presidential speculation

Harris announced she would not run for California governor in 2026, ending speculation about a state-level campaign and increasing focus on a possible 2028 presidential bid, which influenced market sentiment.

Court documents reveal Trump administration's political targeting of Gavin Newsom

Gavin Newsom dips to 17%3%

Newly released federal court documents exposed that the Trump administration's immigration raid at a Gavin Newsom event was politically motivated, affecting Newsom's political standing and public perception ahead of 2028.

Gavin Newsom delays 2028 presidential announcement pending 2026 midterm results

Gavin Newsom drops to 17%7%

Newsom publicly stated he would consider a 2028 presidential run after the 2026 midterms, which initially supported his frontrunner status but later market prices declined as uncertainty grew.

Rahm Emanuel criticizes Democratic Party and tests 2028 presidential waters

Emanuel publicly criticized the Democratic Party's direction and increased media appearances, signaling his interest in a 2028 presidential bid and affecting his market perception.

Kamala Harris publicly signals consideration of 2028 presidential bid

Kamala Harris rises to 9%1%

In late July 2026, Kamala Harris stated she was "thinking about" running for president in 2028, maintaining her frontrunner status in polls and stabilizing her market position despite competition from rising candidates.

Kamala Harris endorses Maine Senate candidate amid 2028 speculation

Kamala Harris rises to 9%2%

Kamala Harris endorsed a Democratic Senate candidate in Maine, maintaining her political presence and visibility amid ongoing speculation about a 2028 presidential run.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leads poll to be Democratic nominee for 2028 presidential run

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 16%5%

AOC's leading position in polls signaled growing support within the Democratic base, boosting her market price significantly during this period.

Kamala Harris remains a key figure with ongoing 2028 presidential speculation

Despite her 2024 loss, Harris continues to be a prominent figure with some Democratic officials supporting her potential 2028 run, maintaining her market relevance.

Kamala Harris officially secures Democratic presidential nomination

Kamala Harris rises to 9%2%

Kamala Harris won enough delegate votes to become the official Democratic presidential nominee, solidifying her position despite lower market odds compared to some rivals.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leads poll to be Democratic nominee for 2028 presidential run

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 20%12%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez topped a key poll for the 2028 Democratic nomination, reflecting her growing national profile and progressive support, which drove her market price from 8% to 20% over the analysis window.

Kamala Harris announces she will not run for 2028 Democratic nomination

Kamala Harris dips to 6%3%

Former Vice President Kamala Harris publicly confirmed she would not seek the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, leading to a decline in her market price from 9% to 6% as traders adjusted expectations and her prospects diminished.

Kamala Harris signals possible 2028 presidential run amid increased political visibility

Kamala Harris rises to 9%2%

Former Vice President Kamala Harris increased her political visibility and private outreach, signaling early steps toward a potential 2028 presidential bid, maintaining her frontrunner status in polls.

Kamala Harris endorses Maine Senate candidate amid 2028 speculation

Kamala Harris rises to 9%3%

Harris's endorsement maintained her political presence and visibility, stabilizing her market odds around 7-9% despite mixed enthusiasm.

Kamala Harris announces she will not run for 2028 Democratic nomination

Kamala Harris dips to 6%3%

Former Vice President Kamala Harris publicly confirmed she would not seek the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, leading to a decline in her market price as traders adjusted expectations about her viability.

Kamala Harris signals potential 2028 run with public appearances and book tour

Kamala Harris rises to 9%2%

Harris maintained steady polling and market support by engaging in public events and a book tour, reinforcing her position as a top contender despite no formal campaign announcement.

Kamala Harris endorses Maine Democratic Senate candidate Troy Jackson

Kamala Harris rises to 9%2%

Kamala Harris's endorsement of Troy Jackson on July 25, 2026, demonstrated her ongoing involvement in Democratic politics and maintained her visibility, though her market odds remained steady around 7-9%.

Pete Buttigieg signals potential 2028 presidential run in media appearances

Former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg, while campaigning for Democrats in early primary states, indicated he is considering a 2028 presidential bid, maintaining his status as a leading candidate in early polls.

Gavin Newsom faces criticism over California's economic and social challenges

Gavin Newsom dips to 19%4%

Newsom faced scrutiny for California's high poverty and homelessness rates, which may have contributed to the decline in his market odds in mid-2026.

Democratic National Committee votes to keep South Carolina first in 2028 primary calendar

The DNC Rules and Bylaws Committee voted to recommend South Carolina remain the first state on the 2028 Democratic presidential primary calendar, favoring more racially diverse states. This decision influenced candidate strategies and market perceptions, benefiting candidates with strong support in South Carolina like Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez.

Emerson poll includes Jon Ossoff as a top 2028 Democratic nominee choice

Jon Ossoff rises to 16%4%

The Emerson poll released July 23 included Jon Ossoff as a leading option for the 2028 Democratic nomination for the first time, showing him with 13% support. This reinforced his rising market price and speculation despite his public denials of running.

Jon Ossoff climbs to second place in 2028 Democratic nomination polls despite denial of candidacy

Jon Ossoff rises to 15%3%

Polling and market data in late July showed Ossoff rising to a strong second place in the 2028 Democratic nomination race, despite his public denials of running, pushing his market price to 15%.

Gavin Newsom publicly weighs 2028 presidential run after midterms

Gavin Newsom drops to 19%5%

Newsom's public statements about considering a 2028 presidential bid after the 2026 midterms increased his visibility and market interest, though his price declined slightly from earlier highs during the analysis window.

Polling shows Josh Shapiro among favorites for 2028 Democratic nomination

New polling placed Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro among the leading Democratic contenders for 2028, highlighting his growing national recognition and potential candidacy.

Josh Shapiro launches 2026 gubernatorial re-election campaign amid 2028 speculation

Josh Shapiro rises to 7%2%

Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro officially launched his 2026 re-election campaign, widely viewed as a stepping stone for a potential 2028 presidential run, increasing his visibility and market interest despite modest odds.

Emerson College poll shows Jon Ossoff among favorites for 2028 Democratic nomination

Jon Ossoff jumps to 14%5%

An Emerson College poll released in July 2026 included Jon Ossoff as a top choice for the 2028 Democratic nomination, with 13% support, reflecting growing enthusiasm despite his repeated denials of a presidential run.

Pete Buttigieg leads Democratic 2028 presidential primary poll

Pete Buttigieg jumps to 19%14%

An Emerson College poll showed Pete Buttigieg leading the Democratic field for the 2028 presidential nomination with 18%, narrowly ahead of Gavin Newsom and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, boosting his market position.

Pete Buttigieg signals inclination to run for president in 2028

Pete Buttigieg stated on a podcast that he is 'more inclined than not' to run for president in 2028, keeping speculation alive and supporting his leading position in polls.

Pete Buttigieg leads Emerson College poll with 19% support

Pete Buttigieg jumps to 19%7%

A new Emerson College poll showed Pete Buttigieg leading the potential 2028 Democratic presidential field with 19% support, ahead of Gavin Newsom and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, boosting his market confidence.

Jon Ossoff included in Emerson College poll for 2028 Democratic nominee

Jon Ossoff jumps to 13%9%

Jon Ossoff appeared in a poll for the first time as a potential 2028 nominee, gaining 13% support despite his repeated denials of interest, which increased his market odds.

Jon Ossoff gains favor as a 2028 Democratic presidential contender amid strong 2026 Senate campaign

Jon Ossoff jumps to 16%13%

Ossoff's strong fundraising and polling lead in his 2026 Senate re-election campaign increased his national profile and speculation about a 2028 presidential run, reflected in his market price rising from 3% to 16%.

Gavin Newsom leads 2028 Democratic field in new poll

Gavin Newsom rises to 19%1%

A poll showed Newsom leading the Democratic field with 19% support, narrowly ahead of Buttigieg and others, boosting his market odds and positioning him as a frontrunner.

New polling shows Jon Ossoff among favorites for Democratic nomination in 2028

Jon Ossoff jumps to 16%10%

An Emerson College poll included Jon Ossoff as a possible 2028 Democratic nominee for the first time, showing him polling at 13%, which increased his market odds and media attention despite his denials of running.

Pete Buttigieg signals 2028 presidential bid on podcast

Pete Buttigieg rises to 12%2%

Pete Buttigieg stated on a podcast that he is 'more inclined than not' to run for president in 2028, increasing speculation and market confidence in his candidacy.

Pete Buttigieg signals leaning toward 2028 presidential run on podcast

Pete Buttigieg jumps to 19%7%

In an interview on 'The Diary of a CEO' podcast, Buttigieg said he is "more inclined than not" to run for president in 2028, signaling increased commitment and boosting his market position.

Jon Ossoff ranks among favorites for 2028 Democratic nomination in new poll

Jon Ossoff rises to 16%3%

New polling placed Jon Ossoff among the top contenders for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, reflecting growing support despite his public reluctance to run.

Pete Buttigieg leads 2028 Democratic presidential primary poll in New Hampshire

Pete Buttigieg rises to 6%1%

A University of New Hampshire poll showed Pete Buttigieg leading the 2028 Democratic presidential field with 20% support, ahead of Gavin Newsom and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, reinforcing his frontrunner status.

Jon Ossoff rises to second place in Democratic nomination polls despite denying 2028 run

Jon Ossoff jumps to 16%6%

Polls released in late July showed Jon Ossoff climbing to second place in the Democratic primary field with 13-16% support, coinciding with his market price rising from 10% to 16%. Despite his denials of running, his growing popularity fueled market optimism about his chances.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leads early 2028 Democratic primary poll in New Hampshire

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 20%12%

A University of New Hampshire poll showed Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leading the potential 2028 Democratic primary field, reflecting her rising popularity and progressive support, which contributed to her market price increase.

Polls show Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez among top Democratic 2028 contenders

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 15%1%

Polls released in late July showed Ocasio-Cortez leading or near the top among Democratic voters in key states, boosting her market price from 14% to 15%. This reflected growing public support and increased viability as a candidate.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez acknowledges possible 2028 presidential run amid rising poll numbers

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 15%1%

Ocasio-Cortez responded to polls placing her among top Democratic contenders for 2028 by saying she was "flattered" and has not ruled out a presidential bid. This fueled market optimism and increased her nomination odds.

Pete Buttigieg leads Democratic field in Emerson College poll ahead of midterms

Pete Buttigieg rises to 6%1%

An Emerson College poll released July 23 showed Buttigieg leading the Democratic field with 19%, narrowly ahead of Gavin Newsom, boosting his market position and national profile.

Polling shows Jon Ossoff among favorites for 2028 Democratic nomination

Jon Ossoff rises to 9%3%

New polling data placed Jon Ossoff among the top contenders for the 2028 Democratic nomination, increasing his market odds despite his repeated denials of a presidential run.

Jon Ossoff rises in polls and market odds amid 2028 speculation

Jon Ossoff jumps to 16%12%

Jon Ossoff's strong messaging and rising profile in Georgia and nationally increased his chances in polls and prediction markets, despite his repeated denials of running for president in 2028.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leads New Hampshire Democratic poll for 2028

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 15%7%

A University of New Hampshire poll showed Ocasio-Cortez narrowly leading the Democratic field, boosting her market price from 8% to 15%. This reflected growing progressive enthusiasm and her emergence as a party ideological leader.

Poll shows Ossoff among favorites for 2028 Democratic nomination despite denial

Jon Ossoff rises to 16%2%

An Emerson College poll included Ossoff as a top choice for the 2028 Democratic nominee for the first time, showing him tied with Ocasio-Cortez and above Kamala Harris, despite his repeated denials of running.

Gavin Newsom leads Democratic 2028 field in Emerson College poll

Gavin Newsom rises to 17%3%

An Emerson College poll showed Gavin Newsom leading the Democratic field with 17% support, closely trailing Buttigieg and ahead of other contenders, boosting his market position.

Emerson College poll shows Pete Buttigieg leading 2028 Democratic field

Pete Buttigieg jumps to 18%13%

Buttigieg led the Democratic field with 18% support in a national poll, narrowly ahead of Newsom and Ocasio-Cortez, reinforcing his frontrunner status and boosting market confidence.

Poll shows Jon Ossoff among favorites for 2028 Democratic nomination

Jon Ossoff rises to 14%4%

A July 2026 poll showed Jon Ossoff rising in support for the 2028 nomination, contributing to his market price increase despite his repeated denials of interest in running.

Josh Shapiro hints at 2028 presidential run at National Action Network conference

Josh Shapiro rises to 6%1%

Josh Shapiro appeared at the National Action Network conference, hinting at a potential 2028 presidential bid and increasing his visibility, though his market price remained low.

Jon Ossoff surges to 16% in Democratic nomination odds after viral campaign speech

Jon Ossoff jumps to 16%10%

Ossoff's viral speeches and strong fundraising for his 2026 Senate campaign increased his national profile and market odds for the 2028 nomination from 6% to 16%.

Poll shows Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leading 2028 Democratic field in New Hampshire

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 21%6%

A New Hampshire poll in late July showed Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez as the frontrunner among Democratic candidates, boosting her market price from 15% to 21% by early August.

Emerson College poll includes Jon Ossoff as a top 2028 Democratic nominee choice

Jon Ossoff jumps to 15%6%

An Emerson College poll released on July 23, 2026, showed Jon Ossoff polling at 13%, placing him among the top Democratic contenders for the 2028 nomination despite his public denials of interest in running. This polling data helped raise his market price to 15%.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez opens door to 2028 presidential run after poll lead

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 20%6%

AOC acknowledged she has not ruled out a 2028 presidential bid after a poll showed her as the leading Democratic candidate, boosting her market price significantly.

Emerson poll shows Jon Ossoff among favorites for 2028 Democratic nomination

Jon Ossoff rises to 14%2%

An Emerson poll conducted July 19-20, 2026, showed Jon Ossoff receiving 13% support, tying with Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and indicating his rising stature in the 2028 Democratic primary field.

Jon Ossoff rises in 2028 Democratic nomination polls after Georgia rally

Jon Ossoff jumps to 16%9%

Following a rally in Georgia in July 2026, Jon Ossoff's polling numbers increased significantly, moving him into the top tier of Democratic contenders and improving his market odds for the nomination.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez maintains openness to 2028 presidential run after leading poll

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 15%2%

Ocasio-Cortez declined to rule out a 2028 run following a poll showing her as the top Democratic pick, supporting her market price increase and media attention.

CNN polling crowns Jon Ossoff as new frontrunner for 2028 Democratic nomination

Jon Ossoff rises to 14%4%

CNN polling data showed a surge in interest for Jon Ossoff, with Google searches up 300% and market odds climbing, marking him as a rising contender despite his public denials of running.

CNN analyst names Jon Ossoff as potential 2028 Democratic nominee frontrunner

Jon Ossoff rises to 14%2%

CNN analyst Harry Enten highlighted Ossoff's rising popularity and potential as the 2028 Democratic nominee, coinciding with a surge in Google searches and market odds, boosting his perceived viability.

Jon Ossoff surges as 2028 Democratic frontrunner in CNN polling and prediction markets

Jon Ossoff rises to 14%3%

CNN polling and prediction markets showed a surge in interest for Jon Ossoff as a leading 2028 Democratic contender, coinciding with a 300% increase in Google searches and rising market odds despite his denials of running.

Jon Ossoff emerges as 2028 Democratic frontrunner in CNN polling

Jon Ossoff jumps to 16%10%

Polling data revealed a surge in interest for Senator Jon Ossoff as a potential 2028 Democratic nominee, coinciding with increased media attention and viral speeches, which contributed to his market price rising from 6% to 16%.

JD Vance predicts Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez as 2028 Democratic nominee

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 14%5%

Republican JD Vance publicly predicted Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez would be the Democratic nominee in 2028, which sparked media attention and boosted her market price from 9% to 14%.

Jon Ossoff emerges as rising contender in 2028 Democratic nomination race

Jon Ossoff jumps to 14%5%

In July 2026, Jon Ossoff's profile surged with increased media attention and polling, pushing his market odds from 6% to 14%, reflecting growing enthusiasm despite his repeated denials of a presidential run.

CNN analyst declares Jon Ossoff a frontrunner for 2028 Democratic nomination

Jon Ossoff rises to 16%3%

CNN analyst Harry Enten highlighted Ossoff's rising profile and surging interest, coinciding with a 300% increase in Google searches and a climb in prediction markets, reinforcing his frontrunner status.

Jon Ossoff surges in polls and prediction markets as 2028 Democratic frontrunner

Jon Ossoff jumps to 14%7%

Jon Ossoff's profile rose sharply due to viral campaign speeches and favorable polling, leading to a significant increase in his market odds and media recognition as a leading 2028 contender.

Jon Ossoff rises as a 2028 Democratic frontrunner amid growing national profile

Jon Ossoff plunges to 14%36%

Ossoff's increasing national attention and viral speeches boosted his standing as a potential 2028 nominee, despite his focus on 2026 Senate re-election.

Jon Ossoff emerges as a top contender despite denying 2028 presidential run

Jon Ossoff rises to 14%4%

In late July 2026, Jon Ossoff's profile surged with viral speeches and increased polling support, making him a leading contender in prediction markets even as he publicly denied plans to run for president in 2028.

CNN analyst predicts Jon Ossoff could be 2028 Democratic nominee

Jon Ossoff jumps to 16%6%

CNN analyst Harry Enten publicly suggested Jon Ossoff could become the Democratic nominee in 2028, highlighting his rising popularity and effective opposition to Trump. This media endorsement contributed to Ossoff's surge in market odds during July 2026.

Jon Ossoff surges in prediction markets and polling for 2028 Democratic nomination

Jon Ossoff jumps to 16%13%

Senator Jon Ossoff's profile rose sharply due to viral campaign moments and strong fundraising, leading to increased odds and polling support for the 2028 nomination.

Jon Ossoff emerges as new frontrunner for 2028 Democratic nomination in CNN polling

Jon Ossoff jumps to 16%5%

CNN polling and increased Google search interest propelled Ossoff to near parity with Gavin Newsom, driving his market price from 11% to 16%.

Criticism mounts over Kamala Harris's viability as 2028 nominee despite polling lead

Despite leading some polls, Kamala Harris faced growing criticism from commentators and donors questioning her electability and campaign effectiveness, which kept her market odds stagnant.

Pete Buttigieg leads early 2028 Democratic presidential primary polls

Pete Buttigieg rises to 5%1%

Former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg topped early 2028 Democratic primary polls, reflecting his active campaigning and growing national profile as a potential presidential candidate.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez considered a top Democratic leader with 2028 front-runner status in New Hampshire poll

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 14%4%

A New Hampshire poll showed AOC leading potential Democratic candidates for 2028, solidifying her status as a party ideological leader and increasing market interest.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez receives Democratic nomination for New York’s 14th Congressional District

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 20%6%

Ocasio-Cortez secured the Democratic nomination for her congressional district, solidifying her political base and maintaining her visibility as a potential 2028 presidential candidate.

Democratic insiders name Kamala Harris as 'fairly obvious' 2028 frontrunner

Kamala Harris rises to 10%1%

Despite her 2024 loss, Harris's high name recognition and recent public appearances led insiders to view her as the likely 2028 nominee, stabilizing her market odds around 8-10%.

Emerson College poll shows Buttigieg leads Democratic 2028 field

An Emerson College poll released in July 2026 showed Pete Buttigieg leading the Democratic field for 2028, with Gavin Newsom and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trailing, influencing market perceptions.

Democratic insiders call Kamala Harris the 'fairly obvious' 2028 frontrunner

Multiple Democratic aides and strategists publicly described Kamala Harris as the leading candidate for the 2028 nomination, reinforcing her frontrunner status despite mixed polling and market prices.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez gains progressive support during 'Fighting Oligarchy' tour with Bernie Sanders

Ocasio-Cortez's active campaigning with Sanders energized her progressive base and media attention, supporting her market position as a leading nominee contender.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez emerges as ideological leader and 2028 front-runner in New Hampshire poll

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 15%1%

A July 2026 poll in New Hampshire showed Ocasio-Cortez leading potential Democratic candidates with 22% support, affirming her status as a party ideological leader and boosting her market odds to 15%.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leads New Hampshire Democratic primary poll

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 14%5%

A University of New Hampshire poll in July 2026 showed Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leading the Democratic field in a key early primary state, boosting her market price and positioning as a contender.

Kamala Harris named 'fairly obvious' 2028 frontrunner by Democratic insiders

Kamala Harris dips to 7%1%

Despite her 2024 loss, Harris was described by aides and strategists as the 'fairly obvious' frontrunner for the 2028 Democratic nomination, supported by high name recognition and recent public appearances, stabilizing her market position around 7-9%.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez gains renewed attention as a 2028 Democratic presidential contender

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 14%2%

Ocasio-Cortez's evolving rhetoric and national tour with Bernie Sanders have increased her visibility and support among progressive Democrats ahead of 2028.

Democratic insiders say Kamala Harris is the 'fairly obvious' 2028 frontrunner despite challenges

Kamala Harris dips to 7%2%

Despite her 2024 loss, Democratic aides suggested Harris remains the frontrunner due to name recognition and recent appearances, but her market price declined as she publicly ruled out running and faced skepticism.

Jon Ossoff surges in prediction markets amid criticism of Trump administration

Jon Ossoff jumps to 16%12%

Following a rally where Ossoff criticized the Trump administration, his chances in prediction markets surged, reflecting increased public and political support for his 2028 nomination prospects.

Jon Ossoff's 2028 presidential momentum grows amid strong fundraising and rising profile

Jon Ossoff rises to 15%4%

By July 20, 2026, Ossoff's fundraising success and growing national profile, including endorsements and campaign strength, boosted his market odds significantly during the analysis window.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez hints at 2028 presidential run during campaign events

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 13%4%

Congresswoman Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, while campaigning for progressive candidates, did not rule out a 2028 presidential run, signaling her ambition to change the country and energizing her progressive base.

Emerson poll shows Jon Ossoff at 13% in 2028 Democratic primary field

Jon Ossoff jumps to 15%8%

An Emerson College poll included Ossoff as a possible 2028 nominee option for the first time, showing him at 13%, which helped narrow the gap with frontrunner Gavin Newsom and supported his market rise.

Jon Ossoff rises in polls and prediction markets as 2028 Democratic contender

Jon Ossoff jumps to 16%13%

Georgia Senator Jon Ossoff's profile rose significantly in mid-2026 due to viral speeches and strong polling in a key swing state, increasing his market price from 3% to 16% and positioning him as a leading 2028 Democratic contender despite his public reluctance to run.

Gavin Newsom confirms he will consider 2028 presidential run after 2026 midterms

Gavin Newsom jumps to 25%7%

In July 2026, Gavin Newsom publicly stated he would seriously consider running for president in 2028 after the 2026 midterm elections, boosting his profile and market position as a leading Democratic contender.

Mark Kelly signals serious consideration of 2028 presidential run

Mark Kelly rises to 3%1%

Mark Kelly publicly expressed serious consideration of a 2028 presidential bid, increasing his visibility and market interest despite prior controversies.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leads New Hampshire poll for 2028 Democratic nomination

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 14%5%

A New Hampshire poll showed Ocasio-Cortez as the frontrunner for the 2028 Democratic nomination, boosting her market price and signaling strong grassroots support despite her noncommittal stance on running.

Jon Ossoff rises in Democratic primary polls despite denying 2028 presidential run

Jon Ossoff jumps to 14%8%

Despite repeated denials of presidential ambitions, Jon Ossoff's polling and market odds increased significantly in mid-2026, reflecting growing speculation about his potential candidacy and boosting his market price from 6% to 14%.

Emerson College poll shows Buttigieg leading Democratic 2028 field with 19%

A national Emerson College poll showed Buttigieg leading with 19% support, narrowly ahead of Gavin Newsom, reinforcing his frontrunner status and influencing market prices.

Jon Ossoff ties Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez in Emerson poll for 2028 Democratic nomination

Jon Ossoff rises to 14%2%

In the July 19-20 Emerson poll, Ossoff and Ocasio-Cortez both polled at 13%, marking a notable rise for Ossoff and reinforcing his growing stature in the race, which was reflected in market price increases.

Emerson College poll shows Pete Buttigieg leading 2028 Democratic field

Pete Buttigieg rises to 5%1%

A poll from Emerson College showed Pete Buttigieg leading the Democratic primary field for 2028, boosting his visibility and market support.

Polls show Kamala Harris leading 2028 Democratic primary field nationally

Kamala Harris rises to 9%1%

Polls in mid-2026 showed Harris leading the Democratic field with around 30% support, reinforcing her status as a frontrunner and supporting her market price around 8-10%.

Emerson poll shows Jon Ossoff rising among 2028 Democratic contenders

Jon Ossoff jumps to 14%8%

An Emerson College poll in late July 2026 showed Jon Ossoff gaining support, tying with Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and trailing Gavin Newsom, which contributed to a rise in his market odds from 6% to 14-16%. This polling data signaled growing viability for Ossoff despite his public denials of a presidential run.

Poll shows Jon Ossoff leading in Georgia Senate race, boosting 2028 prospects

Jon Ossoff jumps to 13%7%

A Fox News poll in July 2026 showed Jon Ossoff leading his Republican opponent by 13 points in Georgia, reinforcing his image as a highly electable Democrat and increasing his market odds for the 2028 nomination.

Jon Ossoff intensifies criticism of Trump, raising profile for 2026 race

Jon Ossoff jumps to 16%12%

Ossoff embraced a strong anti-Trump message, raising significant funds and energizing Democratic voters in Georgia, which improved his market position.

Poll shows Gavin Newsom's support declines amid rising competition

Gavin Newsom drops to 18%6%

Polling data released in mid-July showed Gavin Newsom's support dropping from 25% to 15%, with Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Jon Ossoff narrowing the gap. This contributed to a market price decline for Newsom from 24% to 18%.

Poll shows Jon Ossoff ties Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez in 2028 Democratic primary support

Jon Ossoff rises to 13%3%

An Emerson poll conducted July 19-20 showed Jon Ossoff receiving 13% support, tying with Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and trailing Gavin Newsom and Pete Buttigieg. This polling boost coincided with Ossoff's rise in prediction markets, increasing his perceived viability.

Jon Ossoff intensifies attacks on Trump in 2026 Senate reelection campaign

Jon Ossoff rises to 14%3%

Ossoff's aggressive stance against Trump and his administration during his 2026 reelection campaign raised his national profile, fueling speculation about his presidential prospects and driving up his market odds.

Jon Ossoff intensifies anti-Trump messaging in 2026 reelection campaign

Jon Ossoff rises to 9%2%

Ossoff's strong anti-Trump rhetoric and campaign fundraising surge in mid-2026 raised his profile as a 2028 contender, impacting his market price positively after prior declines.

Jon Ossoff gains attention as a 2028 Democratic prospect amid Senate reelection campaign

Senator Jon Ossoff focused on his 2026 Senate reelection in Georgia while gaining recognition as a potential 2028 presidential candidate, influencing his market probability.

Pete Buttigieg leads 2028 Democratic primary in Emerson College poll

Pete Buttigieg rises to 6%2%

A poll showed former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg leading the Democratic field for the 2028 presidential nomination, boosting his market position.

Emerson College poll shows Pete Buttigieg leading Democratic field for 2028

A national poll placed Buttigieg at 18% support, boosting his visibility and market position as a leading 2028 contender, though his market price remained steady at 5%.

Gavin Newsom visits South Carolina as part of southern tour amid 2028 speculation

Gavin Newsom dips to 19%2%

Newsom's visit to a key early primary state fueled speculation about a presidential run, influencing his market price downward as uncertainty about his candidacy persisted.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez campaigns across multiple states, fueling 2028 presidential speculation

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 14%5%

In mid-2026, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez undertook a cross-country campaign tour, raising her national profile and increasing speculation about a 2028 presidential run, which contributed to her market price rising from 9% to 14% by mid-July.

James Carville publicly states Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez has no chance at 2028 Democratic nomination

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez dips to 13%2%

Veteran strategist James Carville expressed skepticism about AOC's chances of winning the Democratic nomination, causing a temporary dip in her market odds from 15% to 13%, introducing doubt among some voters and market participants.

Gavin Newsom confirms he will consider 2028 presidential run after 2026 midterms

Gavin Newsom jumps to 25%5%

California Governor Gavin Newsom publicly stated he would seriously consider a 2028 presidential bid after the 2026 midterm elections, boosting his market price from 20% to 25% in mid-June before a gradual decline later in the summer.

Jon Ossoff criticizes Trump amid 2028 speculation

Jon Ossoff rises to 14%4%

Ossoff intensified his attacks on former President Trump while denying interest in a 2028 presidential run, which raised his profile and contributed to a price increase from 10% to 14% in mid-July, reflecting growing market interest despite his stated intentions.

Veteran strategist James Carville says Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez has no shot at 2028 Democratic nomination

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez dips to 13%2%

James Carville's public statement doubting Ocasio-Cortez's chances introduced skepticism, causing a temporary dip in her market odds from 15% to 13%.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez emerges as party ideological leader amid 2028 speculation

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 14%6%

Following a New Hampshire poll showing her as a frontrunner, Ocasio-Cortez solidified her role as a progressive leader, though some Democrats remain uncertain about her presidential viability, reflected in a market rise from 8% to 14%.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leads New Hampshire poll for 2028 Democratic nomination

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 15%6%

A New Hampshire poll showed Ocasio-Cortez as the top pick among Democratic contenders for 2028, boosting her profile and market price during the analysis window.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez participates in 'The People v. Trump' event, increasing national profile

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 14%2%

Ocasio-Cortez's participation in high-profile events and her progressive stance increased her visibility and market odds, contributing to a rise from 12% to 14% in mid-July.

James Carville says Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez has no shot at Democratic nomination

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez dips to 13%1%

Veteran strategist James Carville publicly stated on July 18 that Ocasio-Cortez had no chance at winning the Democratic nomination, which introduced skepticism about her viability and caused some market volatility.

Jon Ossoff gains attention for strong anti-Trump messaging during 2026 Senate campaign

Jon Ossoff rises to 13%3%

Ossoff's aggressive stance against Trump and his campaign's fundraising success increased his visibility and perceived viability, contributing to a rise in his market price.

Josh Shapiro intensifies midterm efforts with eye on 2028 presidential run

Josh Shapiro made significant efforts in the 2026 midterms, boosting down-ballot Democrats and solidifying his position as a leading 2028 presidential contender.

Jon Ossoff gains media attention as a leading 2028 Democratic contender

Jon Ossoff jumps to 15%5%

Media outlets like Vox and Politico highlighted Jon Ossoff as a rising figure in the 2028 Democratic field, contributing to increased market interest and a price rise from 10% to 15%.

Jon Ossoff gains attention with strong anti-Trump messaging and fundraising

Jon Ossoff rises to 12%3%

Senator Jon Ossoff increased his national profile through vocal opposition to Donald Trump and significant fundraising, positioning himself as a potential 2028 presidential candidate despite challenges in his 2026 Senate re-election race.

Jon Ossoff gains momentum as a 2028 contender despite denying presidential run

Jon Ossoff jumps to 12%5%

Ossoff's viral speeches and strong fundraising boosted his market odds from 7% to 12%, reflecting increased confidence in his viability despite his public denials of running.

Mark Kelly raises over $25 million, fueling 2028 presidential speculation

Mark Kelly rises to 3%2%

Arizona Senator Mark Kelly raised and donated significant funds to Democratic candidates and committees, amassing a war chest of over $25 million, which fueled speculation about a potential 2028 presidential run and increased his market profile.

Jon Ossoff aggressively challenges Trump nominee at Senate hearing

Jon Ossoff jumps to 14%11%

Jon Ossoff gained national attention by questioning Jay Clayton, Trump's nominee for national intelligence director, on the legitimacy of the 2020 election, enhancing his profile as a strong Trump critic and potential 2028 candidate.

Mark Kelly raises nearly $25 million campaign war chest amid Trump clashes

Mark Kelly rises to 3%1%

Senator Mark Kelly's significant fundraising surge amid political attacks from Trump and Pentagon disputes boosted his profile and viability as a 2028 presidential candidate, reflected in his market price.

Justice Department investigation into Gavin Newsom surfaces amid 2028 speculation

Gavin Newsom dips to 20%4%

Reports of a Justice Department investigation into Newsom led to negative media coverage and market skepticism, causing his nomination odds to decline during mid-July 2026.

Jon Ossoff questions Trump nominee Jay Clayton during confirmation hearing

Jon Ossoff rises to 7%2%

Ossoff's pointed questioning of Trump's nominee for national intelligence director raised his profile as a strong opponent of Trump and a serious 2028 contender.

Jon Ossoff polls tied for third in Democratic primary choice

Jon Ossoff rises to 7%1%

An Emerson College poll showed Jon Ossoff tied with Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez for third place in the 2028 Democratic primary choice, reflecting growing support and impacting market prices.

Senator Jon Ossoff aggressively questions Trump nominee at Senate hearing, highlighting opposition to Trump

Jon Ossoff rises to 12%3%

On July 15, 2026, Ossoff's pointed questioning of Jay Clayton, Trump's nominee for national intelligence director, and his vocal opposition to Trump administration policies raised his national profile and contributed to a significant rise in his market odds.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leads New Hampshire Democratic primary poll for 2028

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 15%4%

A University of New Hampshire poll showed Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leading the Democratic field with 22% support, surpassing Pete Buttigieg and others, boosting her market price significantly.

Poll shows Gavin Newsom leading 2028 Democratic nomination race

A new poll showed Gavin Newsom leading among Democratic primary contenders for 2028, boosting his market price and reinforcing his front-runner status.

Jon Ossoff posts $20 million fundraising haul for 2026 Senate race

Jon Ossoff rises to 6%2%

Senator Jon Ossoff reported a $20 million fundraising haul in the second quarter of 2026, significantly outpacing his opponent and solidifying his position as a strong Democratic contender, which influenced his market price positively.

Jon Ossoff gains momentum as a rising Democratic star with viral speeches

Jon Ossoff rises to 15%3%

Jon Ossoff's viral speeches criticizing Donald Trump and his growing media presence increased his profile as a potential 2028 candidate, reflected in a significant rise in market odds during July 2026.

Jon Ossoff criticizes Trump appointee Jay Clayton at Senate hearing

Jon Ossoff rises to 5%1%

Ossoff's high-profile questioning of Trump appointee Jay Clayton reinforced his image as a strong Trump critic and raised his national profile ahead of the 2026 midterms.

Mark Kelly reports nearly $25 million campaign war chest amid 2028 speculation

Mark Kelly rises to 3%1%

Senator Mark Kelly announced a political treasury of nearly $25 million in mid-2026, positioning himself as a top fundraiser and donor, which elevated his profile as a potential 2028 presidential candidate and slightly increased his market odds.

Jon Ossoff rises in polls and prediction markets as 2028 Democratic nominee contender

Jon Ossoff jumps to 15%12%

Senator Jon Ossoff's profile surged with viral speeches and strong fundraising, leading to increased polling support and prediction market odds for the 2028 Democratic nomination.

Jon Ossoff aggressively attacks Trump during Senate Intelligence Committee hearing

Jon Ossoff rises to 9%2%

Ossoff questioned Trump's nominee for national intelligence director about the 2020 election results, highlighting Trump's refusal to concede and labeling his administration corrupt. This high-profile confrontation boosted Ossoff's visibility as a leading anti-Trump Democrat and increased his 2028 nomination odds.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leads New Hampshire Democratic primary poll for 2028

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 16%5%

A University of New Hampshire poll showed Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leading the early 2028 Democratic primary state, causing her market price to jump from 11% to 16%, highlighting her growing appeal among progressive voters.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Jon Ossoff gain in polls and prediction markets

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 15%6%

By mid-July 2026, polls and prediction markets showed rising support for Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Jon Ossoff, narrowing the gap with Gavin Newsom and reflecting increased public interest and speculation about their potential candidacies.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez increases national campaigning and fundraising for 2028 positioning

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 15%6%

AOC ramped up her national presence and fundraising efforts in mid-2026, boosting her profile as a potential 2028 candidate and contributing to her market price increase from 9% to 15%.

Pete Buttigieg leaves door open for 2028 presidential run while focusing on 2026 midterms

During a visit to Iowa, Pete Buttigieg declined to rule out a 2028 presidential bid, emphasizing his focus on the 2026 midterm elections but keeping speculation alive about his future ambitions.

Jon Ossoff targets Republican opponent over Epstein files in new ad

Jon Ossoff rises to 9%3%

Ossoff's aggressive campaign tactics in his 2026 Senate race increased his visibility but did not translate into higher market odds for the presidential nomination.

Polling and betting markets show Gavin Newsom leading Democratic field

Gavin Newsom drops to 16%9%

By mid-July 2026, Gavin Newsom was the market favorite for the 2028 Democratic nomination, though his support began to decline from highs above 25% to around 16% by August, reflecting shifting voter sentiment.

Emerson poll shows Jon Ossoff among top 2028 Democratic contenders

Jon Ossoff jumps to 15%9%

In July 2026, Emerson College polling included Jon Ossoff as a leading option for the 2028 Democratic nomination for the first time, boosting his market support from 6% to 15%.

Pete Buttigieg keeps 2028 options open, focuses on 2026 races in Iowa

Pete Buttigieg rises to 5%1%

Former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg stated he has not ruled out a 2028 presidential run while focusing on the 2026 midterm elections, maintaining his presence in the national political conversation.

Pete Buttigieg rallies in Iowa, leaves door open for 2028 presidential run

Buttigieg's active campaigning for 2026 midterms and refusal to rule out a 2028 run maintained his visibility and market relevance.

Pete Buttigieg rules out 2026 Senate and governor races, fueling 2028 presidential speculation

Pete Buttigieg drops to 5%7%

Pete Buttigieg announced he would not run for Senate or governor in 2026, which political analysts interpreted as positioning for a 2028 presidential run, causing some market interest despite his low odds.

Pete Buttigieg does not rule out 2028 presidential run at Iowa campaign event

Former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg publicly declined to rule out a 2028 presidential bid during a campaign event in Iowa, keeping speculation alive and maintaining his position as a notable contender in the Democratic field.

Pete Buttigieg leads in Emerson College poll for 2028 Democratic presidential nomination

Pete Buttigieg rises to 5%1%

Former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg topped a new Emerson College poll as the leading choice for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, boosting his market odds.

Pete Buttigieg to keynote Iowa Democratic Party’s Liberty & Justice dinner, signaling 2028 run

Pete Buttigieg rises to 5%1%

Buttigieg's keynote at a major Iowa event increased his visibility in a key early primary state, supporting a price rise from 4% to 5%.

Pete Buttigieg leads early 2028 Democratic primary poll

An Emerson College poll showed Buttigieg leading the emerging Democratic primary field with 18% support, reinforcing his market position despite low prices.

Pete Buttigieg emerges as early 2028 Democratic front-runner in poll

An Emerson College poll showed Buttigieg leading the Democratic field for 2028, coinciding with his decision not to run for 2026 offices and focusing on a presidential bid, boosting his market price.

Pete Buttigieg keeps 2028 options open, focuses on midterms in Iowa

Pete Buttigieg rises to 11%2%

Buttigieg left the door open to a 2028 presidential run during a visit to Iowa, emphasizing focus on 2026 midterms but not ruling out a future campaign, maintaining speculation and market interest.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez surpasses Gavin Newsom as 2028 Dem presidential favorite on Polymarket

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 20%5%

Prediction markets showed AOC surpassing Newsom as the favorite for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, reflecting increased optimism about her candidacy.

Pete Buttigieg leads 2028 Democratic field in Emerson College poll

Pete Buttigieg jumps to 18%13%

Former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg emerged as the top choice for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination in a national poll, boosting his profile and market odds.

Jon Ossoff gains attention with strong anti-Trump rhetoric ahead of 2026 Senate race

Jon Ossoff jumps to 16%12%

Georgia Senator Jon Ossoff's vocal criticism of Donald Trump and his strong fundraising and campaigning for re-election in a swing state increased his profile as a 2028 presidential prospect, despite his public denial of presidential ambitions.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez gains momentum in 2028 Democratic nomination race

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 23%9%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez's market price rose significantly in mid-2026 as she increased her national profile and was seen as a leading progressive contender for the 2028 nomination.

Pete Buttigieg leads Emerson College poll for 2028 Democratic nomination

Pete Buttigieg rises to 18%4%

An Emerson College poll showed Pete Buttigieg leading the Democratic field with 18% support, ahead of Gavin Newsom and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, reinforcing his frontrunner status.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez campaigns across multiple states, fueling 2028 speculation

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 14%5%

AOC undertook a cross-country campaign tour, raising her national profile and increasing speculation about a 2028 presidential run, contributing to her market price rising from 9% to 14%.

Gavin Newsom campaigns in Nevada, signaling 2028 presidential ambitions

Gavin Newsom drops to 14%5%

California Governor Gavin Newsom held a campaign event in Nevada, a key early state, boosting his national profile and market odds as a potential 2028 Democratic nominee.

Poll shows Kamala Harris beating Gavin Newsom by double digits for 2028 nomination

A July 2026 national poll found Kamala Harris leading Gavin Newsom by 17.6 points, reinforcing her early advantage in the Democratic field, though her market odds remained lower than Newsom's.

Kamala Harris signals 2028 presidential ambitions during National Action Network Convention

Kamala Harris rises to 9%1%

At the 2026 National Action Network Convention, Kamala Harris stated she was "thinking about" running for president in 2028, maintaining her profile as a potential candidate despite mixed reactions.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leads new national Democratic poll for 2028 nomination

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 13%5%

A May 2026 AtlasIntel poll showed Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leading the Democratic field nationally with 26% support, boosting her market odds and signaling her rising prominence as a potential candidate.

Gavin Newsom campaigns nationally ahead of 2026 midterms, hints at 2028 run

Gavin Newsom dips to 20%4%

Newsom's national campaign tour to support Democrats and his statements about considering a 2028 presidential run after midterms helped maintain his status as a top contender, though his market price declined slightly.

Gavin Newsom campaigns in Nevada amid criticism from Republicans

Gavin Newsom dips to 19%2%

Newsom's Nevada campaign tour to support Democrats drew Republican criticism highlighting California's issues, which may have pressured his market price downward amid concerns about electability in swing states.

Gavin Newsom campaigns in key states ahead of 2026 midterms, hints at 2028 run

Governor Gavin Newsom toured states like Nevada and Michigan to support Democratic candidates and indicated he would consider a presidential run after the 2026 midterms. This activity reinforced his frontrunner status and sustained his market position despite some fluctuations.

Kamala Harris signals consideration of 2028 presidential bid during book tour

Kamala Harris rises to 9%2%

Former Vice President Kamala Harris publicly stated she is "thinking about" running for president in 2028 during a book tour and Democratic events, which helped stabilize her market price around 7-9%.

Gavin Newsom confirms he will consider 2028 presidential run after 2026 midterms

Gavin Newsom rises to 20%2%

California Governor Gavin Newsom publicly stated he would seriously consider a 2028 presidential bid after the 2026 midterm elections, boosting his profile and market position as a leading candidate.

Gavin Newsom dips in polls amid concerns over fiscal management

Gavin Newsom drops to 20%5%

Newsom's announcement of a multibillion-dollar shortfall raised concerns about his fiscal management, tempering enthusiasm for his presidential prospects and contributing to a modest pullback in his market price from 25% to 20%.

Kamala Harris hints at 2028 presidential run amid party speculation

Kamala Harris dips to 8%1%

Kamala Harris publicly indicated she might run for president in 2028, fueling speculation and maintaining her status as a frontrunner despite some intra-party challenges. This helped sustain her market position during mid-2026.

Gavin Newsom says he will consider 2028 presidential run after 2026 midterms

Gavin Newsom drops to 15%10%

California Governor Gavin Newsom publicly stated he would seriously consider a 2028 presidential bid after the 2026 midterm elections, which caused his market price to decline from 25% to 15% as uncertainty grew.

Gavin Newsom launches midterm campaign tour focusing on southern states

Gavin Newsom dips to 20%4%

Newsom began a campaign tour in July 2026 targeting key southern states with significant Black voter populations, aiming to build support for Democrats ahead of the midterms and position himself for a potential 2028 presidential run. This strategic outreach was seen as bolstering his frontrunner status, though his market price began to decline afterward.

Jon Ossoff gains momentum as a 2028 Democratic presidential prospect

Jon Ossoff jumps to 16%7%

Ossoff's viral speeches and rising popularity in polls and media coverage in mid-2026 increased speculation about his 2028 presidential prospects, despite his focus on reelection.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez surges in polls as potential 2028 nominee

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 15%5%

Ocasio-Cortez's polling rose sharply in early July, reaching 15% by July 9, reflecting increased support as a progressive leader and potential 2028 candidate, contributing to her market price increase from 10% to 15%.

Poll shows Kamala Harris leading Gavin Newsom in 2028 Democratic primary

Gavin Newsom dips to 20%4%

A July 2026 poll by Echelon Insights showed Kamala Harris with a 7-point lead over Gavin Newsom, indicating a shift in voter preference and contributing to Newsom's declining market price.

Rahm Emanuel delivers blistering speech in Israel warning of 'territorial pariah' status

Rahm Emanuel, a potential Democratic presidential candidate, gave a high-profile speech in Tel Aviv criticizing Israeli policies and warning that Israel risks becoming isolated, which affected his market perception positively as a serious contender.

Gavin Newsom launches national tour to boost Democrats and lay groundwork for 2028 run

Gavin Newsom rises to 20%2%

Governor Gavin Newsom began a national political swing including Nevada and the South to support Democrats in the 2026 midterms and build relationships for a potential 2028 presidential campaign, influencing his market position.

Rahm Emanuel criticizes Israeli policies in speech at Tel Aviv University

Rahm Emanuel rises to 3%1%

Rahm Emanuel's July 2026 speech criticizing Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu and U.S. military aid to Israel highlighted his foreign policy stance, impacting his political profile and market price.

Rahm Emanuel delivers critical speech on Israel's international standing

Rahm Emanuel, a potential 2028 Democratic candidate, gave a blistering speech in Tel Aviv warning that Israel has become increasingly isolated due to its leadership, raising his profile and impacting his candidacy perception.

Rahm Emanuel warns Israel has become a 'territorial pariah' in Tel Aviv speech

Rahm Emanuel rises to 3%1%

Rahm Emanuel delivered a critical speech in Israel, signaling his willingness to challenge traditional U.S.-Israel relations, raising his profile as a potential 2028 candidate.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez surges in polls amid speculation of 2028 run

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 16%7%

Ocasio-Cortez's support rose sharply in early July polls, reaching a high of 16%, as she kept her options open about a presidential run and gained recognition as a progressive leader, boosting her market price.

Gavin Newsom launches summer campaign tour to support Democrats in battleground states

Newsom began a national tour focusing on fundraising and campaigning for Democratic candidates in key states, signaling his increased national profile and potential 2028 presidential ambitions. This activity maintained his status as a leading contender despite some polling slumps.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez's market price surges amid rising progressive support

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 16%5%

Ocasio-Cortez's price jumped from 11% to 16% in early July 2026, reflecting growing enthusiasm among progressive voters and media attention as a rising 2028 contender.

Rahm Emanuel delivers speech in Tel Aviv warning about Israel policy

Former ambassador Rahm Emanuel gave a high-profile speech in Tel Aviv criticizing Israeli policies, raising his national profile amid speculation about a 2028 presidential run.

Rahm Emanuel delivers speech in Israel warning US-Israel ties at crossroads

Rahm Emanuel's speech in Israel criticizing 'Greater Israel' policies and calling for a new peace approach raised his national profile as a 2028 presidential contender.

Jon Ossoff's national ad buys suggest preparation for 2028 presidential run

Jon Ossoff jumps to 12%6%

Ossoff's campaign spent significant amounts on ads in early primary and swing states outside Georgia, indicating interest in building a national profile for a potential 2028 presidential run despite his public denial.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez surges in New Hampshire poll for 2028 Democratic nomination

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 16%5%

A New Hampshire poll showed Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leading the early 2028 Democratic presidential primary state, causing her market price to jump from 11% to 16%. This surge highlighted her growing appeal among progressive voters and increased speculation about her candidacy.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez national campaigning and fundraising boost 2028 prospects

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 15%7%

AOC increased her national presence and fundraising efforts in mid-2026, which helped raise her market price from 8% to 15% by early August, reflecting growing market confidence in her candidacy.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leads New Hampshire poll for 2028 Democratic nomination

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 15%6%

A New Hampshire poll showed Ocasio-Cortez as the top Democratic candidate for 2028, increasing her market price and solidifying her status as a front-runner.

Reports suggest Jon Ossoff laying groundwork for 2028 presidential run with national ad buys

Jon Ossoff rises to 15%3%

Reporting indicated that Senator Jon Ossoff has spent significant campaign funds on ads in early primary and swing states outside Georgia, signaling preparation for a 2028 presidential run. This increased his market odds despite his public denials of interest.