Incumbent Democrat Rick Larsen advanced from the August 2026 top-two primary in Washington's 2nd congressional district with roughly 45 percent of the vote against Republican Edwin Feller's 33 percent, setting up a November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district's left-leaning presidential results and Larsen's long tenure since 2001 plus strong fundraising. Limited recent campaign activity and absence of new public polls since the primary have left trader consensus anchored on these fundamentals, producing the 94.5 percent implied probability for a Democratic win. Late developments such as unexpected turnout shifts, major scandals, or health events involving the candidates could still alter outcomes, though structural factors make such changes improbable.