Rashida Tlaib secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan's 12th Congressional District after defeating primary challengers in the August 4, 2026, contest, positioning her as the clear frontrunner in the November 3 general election. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from forecasters and a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+21, underpins trader consensus on her commanding lead. Incumbency advantages, substantial fundraising, and prior general-election margins near 70 percent further reinforce this positioning against Republican nominee James Hooper. Realistic shifts in odds would require a major national political realignment, significant late-cycle developments, or an unforeseen event altering the general-election dynamics.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाMI -12 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
MI -12 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$39,214 वॉल्यूम
$39,214 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
रशीदा तलैब (डेमोक्रेट)
96%
जेम्स हूपर (रिपब्लिकन)
1%
$39,214 वॉल्यूम
$39,214 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
रशीदा तलैब (डेमोक्रेट)
$21,751 वॉल्यूम
96%
जेम्स हूपर (रिपब्लिकन)
$17,463 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rashida Tlaib secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan's 12th Congressional District after defeating primary challengers in the August 4, 2026, contest, positioning her as the clear frontrunner in the November 3 general election. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from forecasters and a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+21, underpins trader consensus on her commanding lead. Incumbency advantages, substantial fundraising, and prior general-election margins near 70 percent further reinforce this positioning against Republican nominee James Hooper. Realistic shifts in odds would require a major national political realignment, significant late-cycle developments, or an unforeseen event altering the general-election dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$39,214समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rashida Tlaib secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan's 12th Congressional District after defeating primary challengers in the August 4, 2026, contest, positioning her as the clear frontrunner in the November 3 general election. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from forecasters and a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+21, underpins trader consensus on her commanding lead. Incumbency advantages, substantial fundraising, and prior general-election margins near 70 percent further reinforce this positioning against Republican nominee James Hooper. Realistic shifts in odds would require a major national political realignment, significant late-cycle developments, or an unforeseen event altering the general-election dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$39,214समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...Rashida Tlaib secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan's 12th Congressional District after defeating primary challengers in the August 4, 2026, contest, positioning her as the clear frontrunner in the November 3 general election. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from forecasters and a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+21, underpins trader consensus on her commanding lead. Incumbency advantages, substantial fundraising, and prior general-election margins near 70 percent further reinforce this positioning against Republican nominee James Hooper. Realistic shifts in odds would require a major national political realignment, significant late-cycle developments, or an unforeseen event altering the general-election dynamics.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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