Louisiana’s 1st congressional district carries an R+19 to R+20 partisan voter index and has delivered double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, including the incumbent’s 66.8% share in 2024. Steve Scalise, the House Majority Leader seeking re-election, faces limited primary opposition from Randall Arrington and a Democratic challenger in Lauren Jewett who has raised under $150,000. All major race-rating outlets classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, and no significant developments since candidate filing have altered that assessment. Trader consensus at 96% Republican reflects these structural advantages, incumbency strength, and fundraising disparity. A realistic shift would require a major late-cycle event such as a health crisis for Scalise or an unforeseen scandal capable of overcoming the district’s entrenched partisan lean.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाLA -01 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
LA -01 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$52,223 वॉल्यूम
$52,223 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
96%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
5%
$52,223 वॉल्यूम
$52,223 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$22,399 वॉल्यूम
96%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$29,823 वॉल्यूम
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana’s 1st congressional district carries an R+19 to R+20 partisan voter index and has delivered double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, including the incumbent’s 66.8% share in 2024. Steve Scalise, the House Majority Leader seeking re-election, faces limited primary opposition from Randall Arrington and a Democratic challenger in Lauren Jewett who has raised under $150,000. All major race-rating outlets classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, and no significant developments since candidate filing have altered that assessment. Trader consensus at 96% Republican reflects these structural advantages, incumbency strength, and fundraising disparity. A realistic shift would require a major late-cycle event such as a health crisis for Scalise or an unforeseen scandal capable of overcoming the district’s entrenched partisan lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$52,223समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana’s 1st congressional district carries an R+19 to R+20 partisan voter index and has delivered double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, including the incumbent’s 66.8% share in 2024. Steve Scalise, the House Majority Leader seeking re-election, faces limited primary opposition from Randall Arrington and a Democratic challenger in Lauren Jewett who has raised under $150,000. All major race-rating outlets classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, and no significant developments since candidate filing have altered that assessment. Trader consensus at 96% Republican reflects these structural advantages, incumbency strength, and fundraising disparity. A realistic shift would require a major late-cycle event such as a health crisis for Scalise or an unforeseen scandal capable of overcoming the district’s entrenched partisan lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$52,223समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...Louisiana’s 1st congressional district carries an R+19 to R+20 partisan voter index and has delivered double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, including the incumbent’s 66.8% share in 2024. Steve Scalise, the House Majority Leader seeking re-election, faces limited primary opposition from Randall Arrington and a Democratic challenger in Lauren Jewett who has raised under $150,000. All major race-rating outlets classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, and no significant developments since candidate filing have altered that assessment. Trader consensus at 96% Republican reflects these structural advantages, incumbency strength, and fundraising disparity. A realistic shift would require a major late-cycle event such as a health crisis for Scalise or an unforeseen scandal capable of overcoming the district’s entrenched partisan lean.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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