Rick Crawford's long incumbency since 2011, combined with Arkansas's 1st District's strong Republican lean (R+23 partisan voting index), anchors trader consensus at 97.5% for the November 3, 2026, general election. The district delivered 71.7% support for the Republican presidential nominee in the prior cycle, and Crawford advanced unopposed through the canceled Republican primary while raising over $940,000 compared to Democratic nominee Terri Yarbrough Green's roughly $65,000. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. A late-breaking scandal, health issue, or unexpected national midterm shift could theoretically narrow the margin, though the district's structural and financial fundamentals have historically limited such volatility.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाAR -01 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
AR -01 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$26,845 वॉल्यूम
$26,845 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
रिक क्रॉफ़र्ड (रिपब्लिकन)
96%
टेरी ग्रीन (डेमोक्रेट)
2%
$26,845 वॉल्यूम
$26,845 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
रिक क्रॉफ़र्ड (रिपब्लिकन)
$16,491 वॉल्यूम
96%
टेरी ग्रीन (डेमोक्रेट)
$10,354 वॉल्यूम
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rick Crawford's long incumbency since 2011, combined with Arkansas's 1st District's strong Republican lean (R+23 partisan voting index), anchors trader consensus at 97.5% for the November 3, 2026, general election. The district delivered 71.7% support for the Republican presidential nominee in the prior cycle, and Crawford advanced unopposed through the canceled Republican primary while raising over $940,000 compared to Democratic nominee Terri Yarbrough Green's roughly $65,000. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. A late-breaking scandal, health issue, or unexpected national midterm shift could theoretically narrow the margin, though the district's structural and financial fundamentals have historically limited such volatility.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$26,845समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rick Crawford's long incumbency since 2011, combined with Arkansas's 1st District's strong Republican lean (R+23 partisan voting index), anchors trader consensus at 97.5% for the November 3, 2026, general election. The district delivered 71.7% support for the Republican presidential nominee in the prior cycle, and Crawford advanced unopposed through the canceled Republican primary while raising over $940,000 compared to Democratic nominee Terri Yarbrough Green's roughly $65,000. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. A late-breaking scandal, health issue, or unexpected national midterm shift could theoretically narrow the margin, though the district's structural and financial fundamentals have historically limited such volatility.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$26,845समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...Rick Crawford's long incumbency since 2011, combined with Arkansas's 1st District's strong Republican lean (R+23 partisan voting index), anchors trader consensus at 97.5% for the November 3, 2026, general election. The district delivered 71.7% support for the Republican presidential nominee in the prior cycle, and Crawford advanced unopposed through the canceled Republican primary while raising over $940,000 compared to Democratic nominee Terri Yarbrough Green's roughly $65,000. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. A late-breaking scandal, health issue, or unexpected national midterm shift could theoretically narrow the margin, though the district's structural and financial fundamentals have historically limited such volatility.
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