Trent Kelly, the Republican incumbent since 2015, maintains a commanding lead in Mississippi's 1st Congressional District due to the area's consistent Republican tilt, reflected in an R+18 Partisan Voter Index and his 2024 general election margin exceeding 39 points. Kelly advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Cliff Johnson secured his party's nomination after defeating Kelvin Buck. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat as solidly or safely Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus on the frontrunner aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of competitive polling shifts or major campaign developments in recent months. Scenarios that could narrow the outcome include a substantial national Democratic surge, a significant scandal affecting Kelly, or unusually elevated challenger turnout, though such factors have not materialized in prior cycles for this northeastern Mississippi district.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाMS -01 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
MS -01 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$117,455 वॉल्यूम
$117,455 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
ट्रेंट केली (आर)
95%
क्लिफ जॉनसन (डी)
4%
$117,455 वॉल्यूम
$117,455 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
ट्रेंट केली (आर)
$85,217 वॉल्यूम
95%
क्लिफ जॉनसन (डी)
$32,239 वॉल्यूम
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trent Kelly, the Republican incumbent since 2015, maintains a commanding lead in Mississippi's 1st Congressional District due to the area's consistent Republican tilt, reflected in an R+18 Partisan Voter Index and his 2024 general election margin exceeding 39 points. Kelly advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Cliff Johnson secured his party's nomination after defeating Kelvin Buck. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat as solidly or safely Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus on the frontrunner aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of competitive polling shifts or major campaign developments in recent months. Scenarios that could narrow the outcome include a substantial national Democratic surge, a significant scandal affecting Kelly, or unusually elevated challenger turnout, though such factors have not materialized in prior cycles for this northeastern Mississippi district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$117,455समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trent Kelly, the Republican incumbent since 2015, maintains a commanding lead in Mississippi's 1st Congressional District due to the area's consistent Republican tilt, reflected in an R+18 Partisan Voter Index and his 2024 general election margin exceeding 39 points. Kelly advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Cliff Johnson secured his party's nomination after defeating Kelvin Buck. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat as solidly or safely Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus on the frontrunner aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of competitive polling shifts or major campaign developments in recent months. Scenarios that could narrow the outcome include a substantial national Democratic surge, a significant scandal affecting Kelly, or unusually elevated challenger turnout, though such factors have not materialized in prior cycles for this northeastern Mississippi district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$117,455समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...Trent Kelly, the Republican incumbent since 2015, maintains a commanding lead in Mississippi's 1st Congressional District due to the area's consistent Republican tilt, reflected in an R+18 Partisan Voter Index and his 2024 general election margin exceeding 39 points. Kelly advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Cliff Johnson secured his party's nomination after defeating Kelvin Buck. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat as solidly or safely Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus on the frontrunner aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of competitive polling shifts or major campaign developments in recent months. Scenarios that could narrow the outcome include a substantial national Democratic surge, a significant scandal affecting Kelly, or unusually elevated challenger turnout, though such factors have not materialized in prior cycles for this northeastern Mississippi district.
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