Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall holds a strong position in the 2026 Kansas Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican voting patterns, including double-digit margins in recent presidential elections, and his established Senate record since 2021. Adam Hamilton, a pastor who won a fragmented Democratic primary in August, has raised significant early funds and narrowed the gap in some polling averages to within a few points, prompting forecasters to rate the contest as likely Republican rather than safe. However, Kansas has not elected a Democratic senator since 1932, and Marshall benefits from incumbency advantages in a midterm environment. The November 3 general election outcome remains the resolution trigger, with trader consensus reflecting these structural and historical factors over Hamilton's visibility gains.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$46,467 वॉल्यूम
$46,467 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
रोजर मार्शल (रिपब्लिकन)
81%
एडम हैमिल्टन (डेमोक्रेट)
19%
$46,467 वॉल्यूम
$46,467 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
रोजर मार्शल (रिपब्लिकन)
$30,174 वॉल्यूम
81%
एडम हैमिल्टन (डेमोक्रेट)
$16,293 वॉल्यूम
19%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall holds a strong position in the 2026 Kansas Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican voting patterns, including double-digit margins in recent presidential elections, and his established Senate record since 2021. Adam Hamilton, a pastor who won a fragmented Democratic primary in August, has raised significant early funds and narrowed the gap in some polling averages to within a few points, prompting forecasters to rate the contest as likely Republican rather than safe. However, Kansas has not elected a Democratic senator since 1932, and Marshall benefits from incumbency advantages in a midterm environment. The November 3 general election outcome remains the resolution trigger, with trader consensus reflecting these structural and historical factors over Hamilton's visibility gains.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
बाज़ार खुला: Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$46,467समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall holds a strong position in the 2026 Kansas Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican voting patterns, including double-digit margins in recent presidential elections, and his established Senate record since 2021. Adam Hamilton, a pastor who won a fragmented Democratic primary in August, has raised significant early funds and narrowed the gap in some polling averages to within a few points, prompting forecasters to rate the contest as likely Republican rather than safe. However, Kansas has not elected a Democratic senator since 1932, and Marshall benefits from incumbency advantages in a midterm environment. The November 3 general election outcome remains the resolution trigger, with trader consensus reflecting these structural and historical factors over Hamilton's visibility gains.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
वॉल्यूम
$46,467समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall holds a strong position in the 2026 Kansas Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican voting patterns, including double-digit margins in recent presidential elections, and his established Senate record since 2021. Adam Hamilton, a pastor who won a fragmented Democratic primary in August, has raised significant early funds and narrowed the gap in some polling averages to within a few points, prompting forecasters to rate the contest as likely Republican rather than safe. However, Kansas has not elected a Democratic senator since 1932, and Marshall benefits from incumbency advantages in a midterm environment. The November 3 general election outcome remains the resolution trigger, with trader consensus reflecting these structural and historical factors over Hamilton's visibility gains.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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