The September 18 by-election for Samoa’s Falealili 1 seat in the Legislative Assembly stems from the Court of Appeal’s June 2026 ruling that voided former FAST MP and deputy prime minister Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo’s 2025 victory on bribery grounds. A crowded field of roughly a dozen candidates, including multiple FAST nominees such as Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale and independents or HRPP-linked contenders like Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu and Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko, has fragmented support and kept implied probabilities tightly clustered. Recent candidate nominations and limited time for withdrawals have reinforced the competitive balance, with traders viewing the outcome as sensitive to local turnout patterns, party coordination, and any late shifts in voter preferences among the main contenders before polling.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाऔसेउगालेलेई उइटी लगावाले 37%
टावेउवेउ विली तुआतागालोआ फेतू 25%
तुइलोमा तुसा सीइलीली लनिसेलोता लामेको 24%
स्युमाफ़ालेपोलु एपरिला वा तियाई 6.6%
$13,444 वॉल्यूम
$13,444 वॉल्यूम
औसेउगालेलेई उइटी लगावाले
37%
टावेउवेउ विली तुआतागालोआ फेतू
25%
तुइलोमा तुसा सीइलीली लनिसेलोता लामेको
18%
स्युमाफ़ालेपोलु एपरिला वा तियाई
7%
सिया फालेतोनी एलेक लातु
4%
फुआओलेमोलि फलाइला फाउसु एलन
4%
पटेआ टावेउवेउ तामालेतोआ आइपोवी पटेआ
4%
औसेउगालेलेई उइटी लगावाले 37%
टावेउवेउ विली तुआतागालोआ फेतू 25%
तुइलोमा तुसा सीइलीली लनिसेलोता लामेको 24%
स्युमाफ़ालेपोलु एपरिला वा तियाई 6.6%
$13,444 वॉल्यूम
$13,444 वॉल्यूम
औसेउगालेलेई उइटी लगावाले
37%
टावेउवेउ विली तुआतागालोआ फेतू
25%
तुइलोमा तुसा सीइलीली लनिसेलोता लामेको
18%
स्युमाफ़ालेपोलु एपरिला वा तियाई
7%
सिया फालेतोनी एलेक लातु
4%
फुआओलेमोलि फलाइला फाउसु एलन
4%
पटेआ टावेउवेउ तामालेतोआ आइपोवी पटेआ
4%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 31, 2026, 3:59 PM ET
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The September 18 by-election for Samoa’s Falealili 1 seat in the Legislative Assembly stems from the Court of Appeal’s June 2026 ruling that voided former FAST MP and deputy prime minister Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo’s 2025 victory on bribery grounds. A crowded field of roughly a dozen candidates, including multiple FAST nominees such as Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale and independents or HRPP-linked contenders like Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu and Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko, has fragmented support and kept implied probabilities tightly clustered. Recent candidate nominations and limited time for withdrawals have reinforced the competitive balance, with traders viewing the outcome as sensitive to local turnout patterns, party coordination, and any late shifts in voter preferences among the main contenders before polling.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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