Incumbent Democrat Adam Gray holds a commanding lead in the CA-13 House race, reflected in the 96% trader consensus, due to his narrow 2024 victory that established name recognition, a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $4 million compared to challenger Kevin Lincoln’s roughly $2.2 million, and post-primary redistricting under Proposition 50 that shifted the Central Valley district toward a stronger Democratic baseline. Gray advanced comfortably through the June 2026 top-two primary, while independent forecasts from outlets such as Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the contest as Lean or Likely Democratic. Lincoln, a former Stockton mayor and Marine veteran, benefits from national Republican endorsements but faces structural headwinds in a district where recent presidential results and voter registration trends favor Democrats. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or sharp turnout surge among Republican-leaning voters could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$19,910 वॉल्यूम
$19,910 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
एडम ग्रे (डेमोक्रेट)
95%
केविन लिंकन (आर)
4%
$19,910 वॉल्यूम
$19,910 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
एडम ग्रे (डेमोक्रेट)
$11,000 वॉल्यूम
95%
केविन लिंकन (आर)
$8,911 वॉल्यूम
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Adam Gray holds a commanding lead in the CA-13 House race, reflected in the 96% trader consensus, due to his narrow 2024 victory that established name recognition, a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $4 million compared to challenger Kevin Lincoln’s roughly $2.2 million, and post-primary redistricting under Proposition 50 that shifted the Central Valley district toward a stronger Democratic baseline. Gray advanced comfortably through the June 2026 top-two primary, while independent forecasts from outlets such as Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the contest as Lean or Likely Democratic. Lincoln, a former Stockton mayor and Marine veteran, benefits from national Republican endorsements but faces structural headwinds in a district where recent presidential results and voter registration trends favor Democrats. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or sharp turnout surge among Republican-leaning voters could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 16, 2025, 11:45 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$19,910समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 11:45 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Adam Gray holds a commanding lead in the CA-13 House race, reflected in the 96% trader consensus, due to his narrow 2024 victory that established name recognition, a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $4 million compared to challenger Kevin Lincoln’s roughly $2.2 million, and post-primary redistricting under Proposition 50 that shifted the Central Valley district toward a stronger Democratic baseline. Gray advanced comfortably through the June 2026 top-two primary, while independent forecasts from outlets such as Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the contest as Lean or Likely Democratic. Lincoln, a former Stockton mayor and Marine veteran, benefits from national Republican endorsements but faces structural headwinds in a district where recent presidential results and voter registration trends favor Democrats. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or sharp turnout surge among Republican-leaning voters could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$19,910समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 11:45 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Adam Gray holds a commanding lead in the CA-13 House race, reflected in the 96% trader consensus, due to his narrow 2024 victory that established name recognition, a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $4 million compared to challenger Kevin Lincoln’s roughly $2.2 million, and post-primary redistricting under Proposition 50 that shifted the Central Valley district toward a stronger Democratic baseline. Gray advanced comfortably through the June 2026 top-two primary, while independent forecasts from outlets such as Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the contest as Lean or Likely Democratic. Lincoln, a former Stockton mayor and Marine veteran, benefits from national Republican endorsements but faces structural headwinds in a district where recent presidential results and voter registration trends favor Democrats. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or sharp turnout surge among Republican-leaning voters could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न