The CA-11 district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+36 Partisan Voter Index and Nancy Pelosi's consistent 80-plus percent victories, anchors trader consensus for a Democratic win at 98.3 percent. Nancy Pelosi's retirement opened the seat, and California's top-two primary on June 2 advanced state Sen. Scott Wiener and Supervisor Connie Chan, both Democrats, to the November 3 general election. Multiple forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic, with no Republican candidate positioned to advance or compete effectively. Historical turnout patterns and the absence of a viable opposition candidate reinforce this positioning. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome remain limited to an unlikely candidate withdrawal, ballot disqualification, or major unforeseen development before election day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाCA-11 House Election Winner
CA-11 House Election Winner
$21,768 वॉल्यूम
$21,768 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
98%
Republican Party
1%
$21,768 वॉल्यूम
$21,768 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$14,980 वॉल्यूम
98%
Republican Party
$6,788 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The CA-11 district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+36 Partisan Voter Index and Nancy Pelosi's consistent 80-plus percent victories, anchors trader consensus for a Democratic win at 98.3 percent. Nancy Pelosi's retirement opened the seat, and California's top-two primary on June 2 advanced state Sen. Scott Wiener and Supervisor Connie Chan, both Democrats, to the November 3 general election. Multiple forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic, with no Republican candidate positioned to advance or compete effectively. Historical turnout patterns and the absence of a viable opposition candidate reinforce this positioning. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome remain limited to an unlikely candidate withdrawal, ballot disqualification, or major unforeseen development before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$21,768समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The CA-11 district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+36 Partisan Voter Index and Nancy Pelosi's consistent 80-plus percent victories, anchors trader consensus for a Democratic win at 98.3 percent. Nancy Pelosi's retirement opened the seat, and California's top-two primary on June 2 advanced state Sen. Scott Wiener and Supervisor Connie Chan, both Democrats, to the November 3 general election. Multiple forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic, with no Republican candidate positioned to advance or compete effectively. Historical turnout patterns and the absence of a viable opposition candidate reinforce this positioning. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome remain limited to an unlikely candidate withdrawal, ballot disqualification, or major unforeseen development before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$21,768समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...The CA-11 district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+36 Partisan Voter Index and Nancy Pelosi's consistent 80-plus percent victories, anchors trader consensus for a Democratic win at 98.3 percent. Nancy Pelosi's retirement opened the seat, and California's top-two primary on June 2 advanced state Sen. Scott Wiener and Supervisor Connie Chan, both Democrats, to the November 3 general election. Multiple forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic, with no Republican candidate positioned to advance or compete effectively. Historical turnout patterns and the absence of a viable opposition candidate reinforce this positioning. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome remain limited to an unlikely candidate withdrawal, ballot disqualification, or major unforeseen development before election day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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