Recent polling averages place Dan Sullivan and Mary Peltola within roughly 2 points of each other ahead of the November 3 general election, with results fluctuating between narrow leads for either candidate. Alaska’s ranked-choice voting system and the presence of minor candidates on the ballot create potential for vote redistribution that keeps projected first-round margins small. The August top-four primary, where Peltola captured 49.5 percent and Sullivan 41.4 percent, established a competitive baseline, while national midterm dynamics and state-specific factors such as turnout among independents sustain the even odds reflected in trader pricing for sub-6 percent outcomes. Late-cycle shifts in voter preference or minor-candidate performance could widen or narrow the final first-round spread.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयासुलिवन 6-9% 23%
पेलटोला 6-9% 18%
पेलटोला 0-3% 15%
सुलिवन 9-12% 13%
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
सुलिवन 12+%
2%
सुलिवन 9-12%
13%
सुलिवन 6-9%
23%
सुलिवन 3-6%
10%
सुलिवन 0-3%
16%
पेलटोला 0-3%
10%
पेलटोला 3-6%
13%
पेलटोला 6-9%
18%
पेल्टोला 9-12%
3%
पेलटोला 12+%
13%
सुलिवन 6-9% 23%
पेलटोला 6-9% 18%
पेलटोला 0-3% 15%
सुलिवन 9-12% 13%
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
सुलिवन 12+%
$249 वॉल्यूम
2%
सुलिवन 9-12%
$45 वॉल्यूम
13%
सुलिवन 6-9%
$44 वॉल्यूम
23%
सुलिवन 3-6%
$86 वॉल्यूम
10%
सुलिवन 0-3%
$66 वॉल्यूम
16%
पेलटोला 0-3%
$182 वॉल्यूम
10%
पेलटोला 3-6%
$63 वॉल्यूम
13%
पेलटोला 6-9%
$50 वॉल्यूम
18%
पेल्टोला 9-12%
$54 वॉल्यूम
3%
पेलटोला 12+%
$50 वॉल्यूम
13%
The first round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The candidates named in this market are individual candidates appearing on the general election ballot. They do not represent party options, and this market will not resolve based on the party affiliation of any candidate.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Alaska senate election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polling averages place Dan Sullivan and Mary Peltola within roughly 2 points of each other ahead of the November 3 general election, with results fluctuating between narrow leads for either candidate. Alaska’s ranked-choice voting system and the presence of minor candidates on the ballot create potential for vote redistribution that keeps projected first-round margins small. The August top-four primary, where Peltola captured 49.5 percent and Sullivan 41.4 percent, established a competitive baseline, while national midterm dynamics and state-specific factors such as turnout among independents sustain the even odds reflected in trader pricing for sub-6 percent outcomes. Late-cycle shifts in voter preference or minor-candidate performance could widen or narrow the final first-round spread.
The first round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The candidates named in this market are individual candidates appearing on the general election ballot. They do not represent party options, and this market will not resolve based on the party affiliation of any candidate.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Alaska senate election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The candidates named in this market are individual candidates appearing on the general election ballot. They do not represent party options, and this market will not resolve based on the party affiliation of any candidate.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Alaska senate election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 17, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$889समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 17, 2026, 2:29 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The first round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The candidates named in this market are individual candidates appearing on the general election ballot. They do not represent party options, and this market will not resolve based on the party affiliation of any candidate.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Alaska senate election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polling averages place Dan Sullivan and Mary Peltola within roughly 2 points of each other ahead of the November 3 general election, with results fluctuating between narrow leads for either candidate. Alaska’s ranked-choice voting system and the presence of minor candidates on the ballot create potential for vote redistribution that keeps projected first-round margins small. The August top-four primary, where Peltola captured 49.5 percent and Sullivan 41.4 percent, established a competitive baseline, while national midterm dynamics and state-specific factors such as turnout among independents sustain the even odds reflected in trader pricing for sub-6 percent outcomes. Late-cycle shifts in voter preference or minor-candidate performance could widen or narrow the final first-round spread.
The first round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The candidates named in this market are individual candidates appearing on the general election ballot. They do not represent party options, and this market will not resolve based on the party affiliation of any candidate.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Alaska senate election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The candidates named in this market are individual candidates appearing on the general election ballot. They do not represent party options, and this market will not resolve based on the party affiliation of any candidate.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Alaska senate election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$889समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 17, 2026, 2:29 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place Dan Sullivan and Mary Peltola within roughly 2 points of each other ahead of the November 3 general election, with results fluctuating between narrow leads for either candidate. Alaska’s ranked-choice voting system and the presence of minor candidates on the ballot create potential for vote redistribution that keeps projected first-round margins small. The August top-four primary, where Peltola captured 49.5 percent and Sullivan 41.4 percent, established a competitive baseline, while national midterm dynamics and state-specific factors such as turnout among independents sustain the even odds reflected in trader pricing for sub-6 percent outcomes. Late-cycle shifts in voter preference or minor-candidate performance could widen or narrow the final first-round spread.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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