Recent affirmations of the U.S. sovereign rating at AA+ (or equivalent) with stable outlooks by S&P in June 2026 and Fitch in August 2026 reflect agencies' assessments of economic resilience, revenue support from tariffs, and high but not sharply worsening deficits. Moody’s completed its downgrade to Aa1 in May 2025, leaving all three major agencies aligned one notch below top-tier status. The debt ceiling increase enacted in 2025 provides headroom through mid-2027, deferring near-term brinkmanship risks that previously contributed to rating pressure. With no scheduled agency reviews or fiscal events signaling imminent action before year-end 2026, trader consensus assigns an 86% implied probability against another downgrade in the resolution window.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2027 से पहले एक और अमेरिकी ऋण डाउनग्रेड?
2027 से पहले एक और अमेरिकी ऋण डाउनग्रेड?
16% संभावना
$13,246 वॉल्यूम
$13,246 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
16% संभावना
$13,246 वॉल्यूम
$13,246 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent affirmations of the U.S. sovereign rating at AA+ (or equivalent) with stable outlooks by S&P in June 2026 and Fitch in August 2026 reflect agencies' assessments of economic resilience, revenue support from tariffs, and high but not sharply worsening deficits. Moody’s completed its downgrade to Aa1 in May 2025, leaving all three major agencies aligned one notch below top-tier status. The debt ceiling increase enacted in 2025 provides headroom through mid-2027, deferring near-term brinkmanship risks that previously contributed to rating pressure. With no scheduled agency reviews or fiscal events signaling imminent action before year-end 2026, trader consensus assigns an 86% implied probability against another downgrade in the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$13,246समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent affirmations of the U.S. sovereign rating at AA+ (or equivalent) with stable outlooks by S&P in June 2026 and Fitch in August 2026 reflect agencies' assessments of economic resilience, revenue support from tariffs, and high but not sharply worsening deficits. Moody’s completed its downgrade to Aa1 in May 2025, leaving all three major agencies aligned one notch below top-tier status. The debt ceiling increase enacted in 2025 provides headroom through mid-2027, deferring near-term brinkmanship risks that previously contributed to rating pressure. With no scheduled agency reviews or fiscal events signaling imminent action before year-end 2026, trader consensus assigns an 86% implied probability against another downgrade in the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$13,246समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Recent affirmations of the U.S. sovereign rating at AA+ (or equivalent) with stable outlooks by S&P in June 2026 and Fitch in August 2026 reflect agencies' assessments of economic resilience, revenue support from tariffs, and high but not sharply worsening deficits. Moody’s completed its downgrade to Aa1 in May 2025, leaving all three major agencies aligned one notch below top-tier status. The debt ceiling increase enacted in 2025 provides headroom through mid-2027, deferring near-term brinkmanship risks that previously contributed to rating pressure. With no scheduled agency reviews or fiscal events signaling imminent action before year-end 2026, trader consensus assigns an 86% implied probability against another downgrade in the resolution window.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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