Recent releases have accelerated progress on Arena.ai’s Code Arena WebDev leaderboard, the key resolution source for these markets. OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra launched September 3 and quickly reached 1797 points, edging Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 (1762–1765) and Opus 5 variants (1688). Alibaba’s Qwen3.8 series and Moonshot’s Kimi K3 also sit above 1670, while open-weight contenders trail slightly. These Elo-style ratings reflect crowdsourced votes on real frontend and agentic coding tasks, rewarding multi-step reasoning and tool use. With frontier labs iterating rapidly and historical monthly gains of 20–40 points common in coding categories, trader focus centers on whether new “max” or “thinking” variants can push past the next threshold before year-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$212,331 Vol.
1560
36%
1580
25%
1600
13%
$212,331 Vol.
1560
36%
1580
25%
1600
13%
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Marché ouvert : Apr 2, 2026, 6:09 PM ET
Résolveur
0x65070BE91...Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Résolveur
0x65070BE91...Recent releases have accelerated progress on Arena.ai’s Code Arena WebDev leaderboard, the key resolution source for these markets. OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra launched September 3 and quickly reached 1797 points, edging Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 (1762–1765) and Opus 5 variants (1688). Alibaba’s Qwen3.8 series and Moonshot’s Kimi K3 also sit above 1670, while open-weight contenders trail slightly. These Elo-style ratings reflect crowdsourced votes on real frontend and agentic coding tasks, rewarding multi-step reasoning and tool use. With frontier labs iterating rapidly and historical monthly gains of 20–40 points common in coding categories, trader focus centers on whether new “max” or “thinking” variants can push past the next threshold before year-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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