OpenAI's September 22 announcement that an internal model, trained starting August 28, solved over 100 long-standing open math problems—including a proposed resolution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium Prize problem and reportedly the Hodge conjecture—has become the dominant driver of trader sentiment. The claims, generated via thousands of coordinated agents with code execution and Lean formalization, surprised even the company's mathematicians and prompted formation of an independent advisory group at the Institute for Advanced Study to assess results and guide communication. Earlier 2026 progress, including AI solutions to other open problems and high FrontierMath Tier 4 scores exceeding 97% for leading OpenAI models, underscores accelerating capabilities in research-level reasoning. Verification timelines, potential lab announcements before year-end, and debates over proof rigor remain key swing factors for markets on specific conjectures.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$28,321 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Conjecture de la matrice de Hadamard
33%
Conjecture de Hodge
25%
Conjecture de Beal
19%
Birch et Swinnerton-Dyer
15%
Forte conjecture de Goldbach
14%
Nombre de Ramsey R(5,5)
13%
Conjecture des nombres premiers jumeaux
10%
Nombre parfait impair
10%
Hypothèse de Riemann
7%
Yang-Mills
6%
Conjecture de Collatz
6%
Problème de Hadwiger-Nelson
6%
Conjecture de Legendre
5%
P contre NP
3%
$28,321 Vol.
Conjecture de la matrice de Hadamard
$1,325 Vol.
33%
Conjecture de Hodge
$7,095 Vol.
25%
Conjecture de Beal
$1,163 Vol.
19%
Birch et Swinnerton-Dyer
$6,758 Vol.
15%
Forte conjecture de Goldbach
$501 Vol.
14%
Nombre de Ramsey R(5,5)
$717 Vol.
13%
Conjecture des nombres premiers jumeaux
$798 Vol.
10%
Nombre parfait impair
$1,371 Vol.
10%
Hypothèse de Riemann
$2,680 Vol.
7%
Yang-Mills
$734 Vol.
6%
Conjecture de Collatz
$1,357 Vol.
6%
Problème de Hadwiger-Nelson
$1,640 Vol.
6%
Conjecture de Legendre
$1,114 Vol.
5%
P contre NP
$1,067 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an eligible AI lab announces a solution to the problem specified in the title by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem specified in the title has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from the Clay Mathematics Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's September 22 announcement that an internal model, trained starting August 28, solved over 100 long-standing open math problems—including a proposed resolution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium Prize problem and reportedly the Hodge conjecture—has become the dominant driver of trader sentiment. The claims, generated via thousands of coordinated agents with code execution and Lean formalization, surprised even the company's mathematicians and prompted formation of an independent advisory group at the Institute for Advanced Study to assess results and guide communication. Earlier 2026 progress, including AI solutions to other open problems and high FrontierMath Tier 4 scores exceeding 97% for leading OpenAI models, underscores accelerating capabilities in research-level reasoning. Verification timelines, potential lab announcements before year-end, and debates over proof rigor remain key swing factors for markets on specific conjectures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an eligible AI lab announces a solution to the problem specified in the title by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem specified in the title has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from the Clay Mathematics Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem specified in the title has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from the Clay Mathematics Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Sep 9, 2026, 3:44 PM ET
Volume
$28,321Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Sep 9, 2026, 3:44 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an eligible AI lab announces a solution to the problem specified in the title by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem specified in the title has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from the Clay Mathematics Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's September 22 announcement that an internal model, trained starting August 28, solved over 100 long-standing open math problems—including a proposed resolution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium Prize problem and reportedly the Hodge conjecture—has become the dominant driver of trader sentiment. The claims, generated via thousands of coordinated agents with code execution and Lean formalization, surprised even the company's mathematicians and prompted formation of an independent advisory group at the Institute for Advanced Study to assess results and guide communication. Earlier 2026 progress, including AI solutions to other open problems and high FrontierMath Tier 4 scores exceeding 97% for leading OpenAI models, underscores accelerating capabilities in research-level reasoning. Verification timelines, potential lab announcements before year-end, and debates over proof rigor remain key swing factors for markets on specific conjectures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an eligible AI lab announces a solution to the problem specified in the title by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem specified in the title has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from the Clay Mathematics Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem specified in the title has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from the Clay Mathematics Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$28,321Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Sep 9, 2026, 3:44 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...OpenAI's September 22 announcement that an internal model, trained starting August 28, solved over 100 long-standing open math problems—including a proposed resolution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium Prize problem and reportedly the Hodge conjecture—has become the dominant driver of trader sentiment. The claims, generated via thousands of coordinated agents with code execution and Lean formalization, surprised even the company's mathematicians and prompted formation of an independent advisory group at the Institute for Advanced Study to assess results and guide communication. Earlier 2026 progress, including AI solutions to other open problems and high FrontierMath Tier 4 scores exceeding 97% for leading OpenAI models, underscores accelerating capabilities in research-level reasoning. Verification timelines, potential lab announcements before year-end, and debates over proof rigor remain key swing factors for markets on specific conjectures.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
L'IA résoudra-t-elle 0 autres Problèmes du Prix du Millénaire en 2026 ?
50%
Oui
La conjecture de Hodge sera-t-elle le prochain problème du prix du millénaire résolu par l'IA ?
61%
Oui
Un laboratoire d'IA annoncera-t-il une nouvelle solution à un problème du prix du Millénaire d'ici le 31 décembre 2027 ?
84%
Oui
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