Elon Musk’s September 13–14 announcements on X have become the dominant driver of trader sentiment for the next Grok 4.8+ release. He described Grok 4.8 as a 2.5-trillion-parameter model trained on xAI’s new C++ stack that would finish pre-training that week before entering reinforcement learning, positioning it as a noticeable step up from Grok 4.7 (released September 21 and benchmarked near Opus 5.0 parity). This fits xAI’s accelerated cadence of frontier large language model drops roughly every four to six weeks, supported by Colossus-scale GPU clusters and a recent $20 billion funding round. Traders are weighing historical gaps between Musk’s training-complete posts and public API or arena availability against the lab’s rapid iteration and multimodal improvements still in progress. Key near-term catalysts include completion of 4.8’s RL phase and any developer-conference or earnings updates that could shift implied probabilities on release timing or capability thresholds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourView resolved

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