Recent U.S.-Russia diplomacy, including the September 8 phone call between Trump and Putin and prior visits by envoys Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff to Moscow and Kyiv, has centered on Ukraine peace proposals and potential trilateral talks. Trader consensus favors China at 56% largely due to the scheduled APEC summit in Shenzhen on November 18-19, where Kremlin statements indicate a possible side meeting with Xi Jinping could occur on the margins of the multilateral forum. The 35% probability assigned to no meeting by year-end reflects ongoing uncertainty over whether bilateral or trilateral negotiations will produce a confirmed in-person summit before December 31, despite active shuttle diplomacy and statements emphasizing restored bilateral ties. Low odds on other venues stem from the absence of announced plans outside this China-hosted event.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOù Trump et Poutine se rencontreront-ils en 2026 ?
Où Trump et Poutine se rencontreront-ils en 2026 ?
China 56%
Aucune rencontre d'ici le 31 décembre 35%
Gulf country 2.6%
Russia 2.1%
$975,056 Vol.
$975,056 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
China
56%
Aucune rencontre d'ici le 31 décembre
35%
Gulf country
3%
Russia
2%
United States
2%
Turkey
1%
Other
1%
Switzerland
1%
Belarus
1%
Japan
1%
Finland
<1%
South Korea
<1%
Other EU country
<1%
Australia
<1%
Ukraine
<1%
China 56%
Aucune rencontre d'ici le 31 décembre 35%
Gulf country 2.6%
Russia 2.1%
$975,056 Vol.
$975,056 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
China
$131,269 Vol.
56%
Aucune rencontre d'ici le 31 décembre
$228,071 Vol.
35%
Gulf country
$41,347 Vol.
3%
Russia
$93,912 Vol.
2%
United States
$51,997 Vol.
2%
Turkey
$44,935 Vol.
1%
Other
$42,935 Vol.
1%
Switzerland
$46,210 Vol.
1%
Belarus
$44,778 Vol.
1%
Japan
$41,624 Vol.
1%
Finland
$41,445 Vol.
<1%
South Korea
$46,591 Vol.
<1%
Other EU country
$43,826 Vol.
<1%
Australia
$45,810 Vol.
<1%
Ukraine
$30,306 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent U.S.-Russia diplomacy, including the September 8 phone call between Trump and Putin and prior visits by envoys Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff to Moscow and Kyiv, has centered on Ukraine peace proposals and potential trilateral talks. Trader consensus favors China at 56% largely due to the scheduled APEC summit in Shenzhen on November 18-19, where Kremlin statements indicate a possible side meeting with Xi Jinping could occur on the margins of the multilateral forum. The 35% probability assigned to no meeting by year-end reflects ongoing uncertainty over whether bilateral or trilateral negotiations will produce a confirmed in-person summit before December 31, despite active shuttle diplomacy and statements emphasizing restored bilateral ties. Low odds on other venues stem from the absence of announced plans outside this China-hosted event.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Volume
$975,056Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent U.S.-Russia diplomacy, including the September 8 phone call between Trump and Putin and prior visits by envoys Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff to Moscow and Kyiv, has centered on Ukraine peace proposals and potential trilateral talks. Trader consensus favors China at 56% largely due to the scheduled APEC summit in Shenzhen on November 18-19, where Kremlin statements indicate a possible side meeting with Xi Jinping could occur on the margins of the multilateral forum. The 35% probability assigned to no meeting by year-end reflects ongoing uncertainty over whether bilateral or trilateral negotiations will produce a confirmed in-person summit before December 31, despite active shuttle diplomacy and statements emphasizing restored bilateral ties. Low odds on other venues stem from the absence of announced plans outside this China-hosted event.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$975,056Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent U.S.-Russia diplomacy, including the September 8 phone call between Trump and Putin and prior visits by envoys Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff to Moscow and Kyiv, has centered on Ukraine peace proposals and potential trilateral talks. Trader consensus favors China at 56% largely due to the scheduled APEC summit in Shenzhen on November 18-19, where Kremlin statements indicate a possible side meeting with Xi Jinping could occur on the margins of the multilateral forum. The 35% probability assigned to no meeting by year-end reflects ongoing uncertainty over whether bilateral or trilateral negotiations will produce a confirmed in-person summit before December 31, despite active shuttle diplomacy and statements emphasizing restored bilateral ties. Low odds on other venues stem from the absence of announced plans outside this China-hosted event.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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